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Football Betting Tips
by Simon, last updated 2010-03-05 00:35:32Premiership Betting Tips - 6th - 8th March 2010
6 March 2010
Arsenal (1.14) Draw (9) Burnley (23)
This is the most one sided games I've seen in a while. I can't remember the last time I saw a Premiership game with the home side at 1.14. Its practically stealing money from the bookies. Not much point explaining this one. Some other bets worth considering for a better price are over 2.5 goals at 1.44 at Skybet and over 3.5 at 2.1 at PaddyPower. I can see Arsenal putting 4 past a hapless Burnley side.
West Ham (1.83) Draw (3.6) Bolton (5)
West Ham come in to this off the back off two home wins and an away defeat to Manchester United. With the side more or less at full strength now, they look the strongest out of those at the bottom of the league and should be able to pull themselves out. Bolton pulled themselves out of the relegation zone with a 1-0 win over fellow strugglers Wolves last week. Bolton's troubles seem to stem from not being able to score. Only 2 goals in the last 6 games. I'll back West Ham this week. Its 1.83 at bluesquare.
Wolverhampton (11) Draw (5) Manchester United (1.33)
Wolves fielded a weaken side in the reverse fixture and were duly spanked 3-0 at Old Trafford. I can't see Mick McCarthy doing the same again. I haven't seen anything from Wolves this season that makes me think they can get anything here, strongest side or not. Manchester United have had trouble away from home this season losing 5 games. I don't see any problem for Man U here. If anything I can see Man U with the weakened side. Odds are 1.33 at William Hill. A nicer bet is the to win to nil, thats 2.2 at bluesquare. I can't see Wolves scoring.
7 March 2010
Everton (1.4) Draw (4.8) Hull (10)
Everton's good run came to an end last week with a loss to Spurs. They deserved a point but just started badly and Spurs were 2-0 up at half time. They have won the last 5 home games though and this should be number 6. Hull seemed to have picked up a bit of form but then had back to back away losses to Blackburn and West Ham. This game is not going to be any easier. Its 1.4 at PaddyPower or 2.25 on the win to nil market at bluesquare. Again, I don't see Hull scoring here so thats a good bet.
8 March 2010
Wigan (6.5) v Draw (4) Liverpool (1.62)
No win for Wigan in 10 and they are slipping closer to that relegation zone. I think Wigan will have enough to stay up but they won't get anything out of this. Liverpool can't really afford to slip up now with the race for 4th place being so tight. With the 3 key players, Gerrard, Torres and Benayuan all more or less fit and playing now, they seem to be able to nick those wins while not playing that well overall - well against Blackburn anyway. Odds are currently 1.62 at most bookies.
If, like me you think that all the games are one-sided and there will be no upsets then the 5 fold pays 6.19 at Skybet.
FA Cup Matches 6th - 7th March 2010
6 March 2010
Portsmouth (2.62) Draw (3.4) Birmingham (3)
When the draw was made, you'd have thought that Birmingham would have been favourites for this game. Since then, Portsmouth have gone in to administration and really only have this to play for now. They are definitely relegated this year. Its not like they have given up in the league though with a good away win at Burnley. Birmingham's form has turned back to normality. They have the form of a mid table side now rather than a team chasing for a Champions League spot. Tricky fixture to call. Looking at 1X here. I can't decide. A draw if you held a gun to my head but not bet for me.
Fulham (3.1) Draw (3.4) Tottenham (2.5)
Fulham have picked up form. They have won their last 3 home games and drawn their last 2 away only comceeding a single goal. They'll not make Europe again this year so this is really the only thing they got to play for. Spurs have picked up recently too. On their day, they look irresistible but they do have the odd bad day. England goal scorer hero, Peter Crouch, will probably be on the bench as Pavlyuchenko is on such good form. I am leaning to 1X here. I don't see why Spurs are the favourites. I do like Fulham +0.25 on the Asian Handicap. Its 1.88 at bet365.
7 March 2010
Reading (4.5) Draw (3.6) Aston Villa (1.85)
Reading's good cup run has lead them to a good league run too. 5 wins out of the last 6 have pulled them clear of the drop zone. All good things must come to an end though. I can see this is where it ends. Villa are disappointed with the Carling Cup loss which they may have won if Vidic would have been sent off. They'll be keen to get back down to Wembley. 1.85 at William Hill for the Villa win. I see this as a great Premiership side versus an average Championship side and you aren't getting much less than even money for it.
Chelsea (1.3) Draw (6) Stoke (12)
Terrible display from Chelsea last weekend. They looked like they were going to win comfortably after they scored but some terrible defending an 2 men being sent off let City win 4-2. Chelsea are just not Chelsea this season. Stoke were unlucky to lose to Arsenal. They shouldn't have had a man sent off and that second goal was not a penalty. It'd take a brave man to back against Chelsea losing twice in a row and I am not that brave. I can't be backing Chelsea at 1.3 though. Looking though the bets, one that stands out is both teams to score. Its 2.1 at Ladbrokes. With the Delap's long throws and Chelsea's suspect defending I can see Stoke nicking a goal.
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