Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool
I think Liverpool will win this match but the odds are too short on them for a bet, so i have decided to play under 3.25 goals to be scored. Forest have changed their approach in recent weeks and have gone for a very defensive approach and have offered very attacking wise meaning it could be a case where Liverpool will need to do all the scoring to get this game over 3.25 and in the way they have been playing you would have to have doubts if that can happen scoring only 13 goals in 9 games outside of the Bournemouth match where they won 9-0. Forest’s last 3 games have seen them only concede 2 goals, this will be tougher but given their improvement in defense and lack of attacking quality i quite like the under 3.25 goals as a bet.
Under 3.25 Goals scored min odds 1.83
Everton vs Crystal Palace
Everything points to a low scoring game between these 2 teams however the last time they met was a 5 goal triller, Everton have been very defensive but I think they will be a bit more open today against a counter attacking Crystal Palace. Everton’s matches average 1.82 goals per game but according to xG they should have scored another 3 goals but conceded another extra 6 so according to xG Everton games should average 2.66 goals per match, I think Over 2 goals is such a low line and the over is a value punt.
Over 2 Goals scored min odds 1.83
Chelsea vs Manchester United
I am betting Chelsea here -0.25, they have been quite poor of late but I think they are value to get the win at home to this United side, United who have come off a good result of beating Spurs midweek have been well bet today but I think it is a case they have been over bet. I believe what we are seeing at the moment is team’s struggle to create any consistency and a lot of this is down to the tough schedules, teams are playing weekend, midweek, weekend, midweek and so on and because of that I think it is easier to forgive team’s poor performances so happy to give Chelsea a whirl, it is only a few games ago they looked very good. United are also missing Martial and I think he is a loss, make Chelsea the value.
Chelsea -0.25 min odds 1.89
Rangers vs Livingston
I am betting Livingston here +2 and under 3.25 goals scored, all is not well in the Rangers camp at the moment and this was emphasised by scraping a 1-0 win at home to Championship side Dundee in the league cup midweek. Rangers are missing a whole host of starters too, out is Goldson, Jack, Lawrence, Souttar, Helander, Hagi and Ofborh. Livingstone are a well drilled side and well organised and can put up solid display here against a Ranger side who don’t feel full of goals. Livi matches an average have only featured 2 goals a game and i can see them making it closer than the markets suggest it will be so betting Livi +2 and under 3.25 goals.
Livingstone +2 min odds 1.75
Under 3.25 min odds 1.80
Motherwell vs Aberdeen
I am betting Aberdeen here today away to Motherwell on the draw no bet line, Aberdeen were not at their best when they beat Hearts last weekend but Motherwell looked very one dimensional at home to Rangers, scoring a free kick in a game that they failed to create a single chance in. Motherwell after a tough game on Sunday then faced Celtic at home in the league cup where they were beaten 4-0 in what was another tough game for the Steelmen, Aberdeen did also play at home to Partick but they made changes and at half time substituted some of their better players in an easy 4-1 win over Partick Thistle. Aberdeen have close to a full side but Motherwell are without Louis Moult and full back Jake Carroll so the team news is positive for our bet too.
Aberdeen 0 min odds 1.90
Sunderland vs Burnley
Sunderland are set to be without a number of starters and key players for this fixture, the latest players who are major doubts going into this match is Lynden Gooch and Aji Alese as well as that they are still without key strikers Ross Stewart and Ellis Simms and now face the Championships best attack and probably best team, -0.25 on the away side at odds against is abet for me.
Burnley -0.25 min odds 2.01
