FC Porto vs Liverpool
I am betting FC Porto here, they were very competitive and well backed on the opening match day away to Atletico Madrid, in quite an even match both sides had 5 shots each although Porto recorded an expected goal number of 1.68 to Atletico’s 0.36, Porto were very unlucky to have a late goal ruled out for offside by Var with what was a very close call. Liverpool is in good form at home in the premier league at present but they are vulnerable at the defensively which they showed again in their 3-3 draw v Brentford on Saturday last and Porto can have some joy against them tonight going forward. FC Porto who performed so well in last season’s champions league, giving eventual winners Chelsea a real fright, is worth a bet tonight at home on the +0.75 handicap and value at current odds.
FC Porto +0.75 min odds 1.94
AC Milan vs Atletico Madrid
I am betting AC Milan here they were under serious pressure at Anfield in the last match day but they responded well and came back to lead 2-1 at half time but went down 3-2 in the end. They looked dangerous when they attacked v Liverpool although some of that may be down to Liverpool’s defence nonetheless, they looked like they had an attack. This is more than we can say about Atletico Madrid, who looked goal shy v Porto and even in their own domestic league of La Liga. Atletico Madrid xG (Expected goals) is ranked only 9th after the first 7 games despite playing 6 of their 7 matches against teams in the bottom half of La Liga such as Getafe, Alaves, Elche, Espanyol, Villarreal and Celta de Vigo, in fact their only match against a top 10 team in La Liga was against 10th place Athletic Bilbao. AC Milan have a look of a confident side and with a record of 5 wins from their first 6 matches in Serie A it is easy to see why and with the better attack I believe they are worth a bet tonight on the draw no bet. They are also getting players back from injury such as Giroud and Calabria with Kjaer being close to fitness too although Ibrahimovic is a doubt they are still value with Atletico still missing Savic through suspension and Lemar through injury.
AC Milan 0 min odds 1.94
Paris St Germain vs Manchester City
What a match this will be tonight and I fancy City to win away in Paris and confirm what many believe that they are best team in Europe if not the world at present. Last season they won in Paris and were about even money for the win, tonight you can bet them currently at -0.25 at 2.07, Yes Paris have a stronger looking side but have they improved about 0.35 of a goal? I have my doubts even with Messi, they are an ageing team with Gueye, Messi, Herrera and Wijnaldum are all 30 years and over and all expected to play tonight, you would have to question how much legs are in this team and I think City could really make them work them with their movement and tire out this Paris St Germain team. I think City offer excellent value and should be backed -0.25 at odds against with only Gundogan missing from their starting 11.
Manchester City -0.25 min odds 2.00
RB Leipzig vs Club Brugge
I think Club Brugge +1.25 offer excellent value here tonight +1.25, they done very well against Paris St Germain in their last match having 16 attempts at goal to Paris St Germain’s with only 9, both sides in that match had a near identical xG 1.46 v 1.51. They play a Leipzig side who had an excellent win at the weekend thumping Hertha Berlin 6-0 but up until this point of the season Leipzig had offered very little and had disappointed in their games, they have lost last season’s coach and some of their best players which is very well documented but they have regressed quite a lot despite the 6-0 win v Hertha. I think Brugge offer value and should be backed on the +1.25 for tonight’s match.
Club Brugge +1.25 min odds 1.92
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