Manchester United v Everton
I am betting Everton here today +1.25, the toffees are missing key players in attack in Dominic Calvert-Lewin and Richarlison while Seamus Coleman is also out injured. They face a United side who look all over the place at the moment, defensively they were terrible midweek and not much better in midfield, it was a real fluke that they won the match as on another night Villarreal would have won the match by 2 or even 3 goals, they were also beaten by Villa at home the week before. The team news is not good for United with key centre half Harry Maguire and full back Luke Shaw likely to miss out, attacker Marcus Rashford is still out injured. United have a brilliant team on paper but they’re not really a team rather a collection of individuals who have the ability to win matches, -1.25 is a big handicap to overcome in their current form and happy to bet Everton here.
Everton +1.25 min odds 1.80
Chelsea vs Southampton
Chelsea are a bit of a wounded animal after a couple of back-to-back defeats, they will still be without Kante who is isolating for this match but much more positive is the news Mason Mount is back fit. I like Chelsea in this match namely because Southampton usually play quite open but also because Chelsea will be desperate to get the win, I think Chelsea’s manager Thomas Tuchel will need maybe make slight changes to the way they play and set up, he will know teams are happy to give them the ball and sit back but I think Tuchel will be able to find a way to make Chelsea play and despite that they may have found an ideal opponent in Southampton who happen to be more open than most teams. Betting Chelsea -1.25.
Chelsea -1.25 min odds 1.88
Wolves vs Newcastle Utd.
I am betting over 2.5 goals here, I think the line is way too big given the mad way Newcastle have started to play this season, they are so expansive and open they are simply a joy to watch and their games resemble more like basketball games than football matches. Their last 2 matches have gone under but if you bet the overs in either of these 2 games you would have been considering yourself very unlucky given the amount of chances the teams created in those games. They face a Wolves side themselves who have been very unlucky not to score more goals, in fact according to the expected goals charts they should have scored an extra 6 goals and conceded an extra 2. I think the market lags behind what is happening in Newcastle’s matches and with Steve Bruce’s team now so different compared to previous sides he was in charge it is only natural that the market takes a little longer to catch up and this is why I make the over 2.5 goals value
Over 2.5 goals min odds 1.85
Brighton vs Arsenal
I am betting Arsenal here, I thought they were impressive last weekend v Spurs although it must be said that Spurs were dreadful but Arsenal looked much better. They face a Brighton side today who looked poor away at Crystal Palace getting a late point they should never have got and while last season they have played well and not got the results this season Brighton have played average at best but got results. Brighton should not have the number of points they currently have, with the expected points numbers showing they have got 6 points more than they should have had this stage of the season. There is a doubt over their key midfielder Bissouma who missed their last match after going off injured against Leicester City and he would be a huge loss for the seagulls but even if he line-ups I am happy to bet Arsenal at the current odds.
Arsenal -0.25 min odds 2.10
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