Newcastle United v Leeds United
This game should be a real fun match with plenty of goals in it, both these teams have the 2nd and 3rd highest expected goals against, 3 of Newcastle’s 4 games have gone over 2.75 this season where you would have collected in full if you had bet that line in them and the 4th should have too against Villa. Leeds have a similar stat where 3 of their 4 games featuring at least 3 goals and the 4th away to Burnley should have seen at least 3 goals in it. Leeds looked very open against Liverpool at the weekend while I thought Newcastle could have got closer to Man United, it will help they have Karl Darlow returning, he was on the bench against Man United and could start tonight. The team news for Leeds is not as good with centre backs Koch and Llorente out through injury whilst Struijk is suspended after a red card v Liverpool last weekend. This team news makes me fancy Newcastle +0.25 and Over 2.75 goals to be scored and while i rarely bet over and the underdog in matches I will so here as i believe both are value.
Newcastle Utd +0.25 min odds 1.88
Over 2.75 goals scored min odds 1.82
Great handicap pick. Shame it ended 1-1