Crystal Palace vs Leicester City
I am betting Crystal Palace here, Leicester have been poor this season and are still without centre backs Wesley Fofana, Johnny Evans and also key midfielder Wilfred Ndidi, in fairness those 3 are 3 of their most important players. To add to that Leicester were in Poland on Thursday evening playing a Europa League match v Legia Warsaw where they were beaten 1-0. Crystal Palace have started the season well and quick look at the Expected charts show that Palace should have scored 2 goals more, conceded 2 goals less and have an extra 3 points. They have a full squad to choose from for this match and with Leicester coming back from a European game i fancy them to take something from this game and believe they should be backed +0.25.
Crystal Palace +0.25 min odds 1.82
West Ham Utd vs Brentford
I am betting Brentford here, a bit like Leicester City i believe that the Europa league match may have taken something out of West Ham, they are not used to playing in Europe and to play in the Europa league stages is of great importance to them and they put more emphasis on it than a lot of other clubs. Brentford have been terrific this season, they got a 3-3 draw at home to Liverpool last weekend and confidence will be sky high going into this match today, they will have had all week to prepare for this game and the hammers will not have had that same luxury. Brentford are a physical side that are very well organised and getting +0.5 i believe is a bet and offer value at the odds of 2.06 or better.
Brentford +0.5 min odds 2.06
Liverpool vs Manchester City
I am betting the under here, the line is 3 and this game reminds of a match these team played 2018 where they drew 0-0 and i don’t think a similar result today will be a bad result for either team at this stage of the season. I think this is a must not lose for both sides rather than a most win match so both could be content with a point each and move on. These matches have averaged 3.27 goals since 2016 in the premier league but some of those involved one of the teams having to push so that would those matches more open. Liverpool without doubt have some frailties at the back but they still have only conceded 4 goals this season and 3 of those were at Brentford last weekend while City have only conceded 1 goal so far this season, they are without doubt the best defensive side in the premier league. As i said the fact that neither side has to push in this match points me towards the under and i believe that is where the value is in this match. The handicap line is a draw no bet and usually these types of matches point to the teams being closely matched and tend to be lower scoring as a result so betting under 3 goals.
Under 3 goals min odds 1.82
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