Arminia Bielefeld vs Mainz
I am betting Mainz, they were awesome last week v Augsburg winning 4-1 and in truth could have won by more and I fancy them to have too much against Bielefeld who have the 2nd worst xG in the whole of the Bundesliga and the worst expected points in the league. Both sides pretty much have full teams and -0.25 is just too good a line to pass up on Mainz away to a poor team like Bielefeld.
Mainz -0.25 min odds 1.85
Borussia Dortmund vs Koln
Dortmund are missing what feels like half their team, the biggest miss is key man Erling Haaland, he is such a loss, I don’t think there is a team who relies on a player in the top divisions in Europe as much as Dortmund rely on Haaland but also out is Dahoud, Can, Ryena, Guerreiro and Zagadou while Malen, Coulibaly and Kobel are all doubts. Koln were impressive in the 2nd half last weekend in their derby v Leverkusen and +1.25 is more than a fair line at current odds given how many players Dortmund is missing.
Koln +1.25 min odds 1.93
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