Aldosivi vs Arsenal
Aldosivi are starting to show slight improvements under recently-appointed coach Martin Palermo: following a 0-0 away draw at Newell’s Old Boys, the team collected four points from the last six on offer in the league. However, their campaign is very poor in general terms: having lost the previous eight games, El Tiburon collected only 17 points in this tournament, which places them bottom in the relegation table. Aldosivi won their last home match over Independiento to break a four-game losing run at Estadio Jose Maria Minella.
Sarandi Arsenal (the worst team of the season) were beaten by Gimnasia LP 1-0 at home last Wednesday, which represented their fourth consecutive game without a win (two draws and two defeats). Having won only one of the last 14 league games (along sith six stalemates and seven losses), they accumulated only 13 points, which keeps them in the 25th spot of the Liga Profesional’s table and now they have only five teams below in the relegation rankings. Furthermore, Arsenal haven’t claimed any successes in their last nine league matches on the road, drawing two and losing seven.
Aldosivi got 4 of the last 6 points showing signs of improvement lately, Arsenal just can’t be any worse than this, so I’m going with the hosts to win here.
BET: Aldosivi -0.25 @ 2.0
Lanus vs Talleres
After one draw and one defeat, Lanus returned to winning ways last Wednesday, when they reversed the score to beat San Lorenzo 3-1 away from home. Having taken seven points from the last 12 on offer, El Granate made it 30 points in 17 rounds to occupy fourth place in the league table and also approached the Copa Libertadores’ places in the 2021 aggregate rankings. At home, Luis Zubeldia’s men managed 15 of those points, having registered four victories, three draws and two defeats in this competition.
Talleres suffered a heavy blow on their fight for the title last Thursday. In spite of playing against ten men for over 80 minutes, the team lost 2-0 to River Plate at home. Now they remain second-placed on 32 points, trailing their last opponents by seven. Alexander Medina’s men lost three of the last four league games (only beating Atletico Tucuman in that span). Therefore, they probably will focus on securing a Copa Libertadores’ berth from now on: the side dropped down to the fourth spot in the aggregate table (which will very give them a ticket anyway).
A draw is pretty useless for both if they want to keep their very small chances of winning the championship alive, so I expect to see goals between this two good attacking teams.
BET: OVER 2.5 @ 1.97
River vs Argentinos Jrs
River Plate took a big step towards the league title last Thursday, when they beat Talleres 2-0 away even playing with ten men since the seventh minute of the game. As a result, Marcelo Gallardo’s men made it 12 games unbeaten in the Liga Profesional (ten victories and two draws) and reached 39 points (seven above their last opponents with eight games to go). At home, El Millonario haven’t lost any of the last eight matches in this competition, winning six and drawing two since the league opener, when Colon beat them 2-1. Key player Enzo Perez collected his fifth yellow card at Talleres and is suspended.
Argentinos Juniors stopped their two-match losing run in league action last Thursday, when they managed to beat Colon 3-1 at home. Thanks to that success, the team are now on 24 points in 17 rounds in the Liga Profesional and remain occupying the last Copa Sudamericana berth in the 2021 aggregate table. On away turf, El Bicho managed only one victory across their last five league games, having drawn two and lost two.
It’s not easy to go against this super solid River that will very likely win the championship, but Argentinos can be a solid team, they’ve lost only once in 17 rounds by more than 1 goals, so I’ll trust them here.
BET: Argentinos Jrs +1 @ 2.01
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