Czech Republic vs Estonia
I am betting Estonia here, I don’t see how the Czech republic can really move forward with a win even if Belgium beat Wales, the Czech’s would have to win by 9 goals in order to get seeded for the playoffs and that is not going to happen against an improving Estonian side who were only beaten 3-1 away to Belgium on Saturday night. The Czech’s star striker Patrik Schick is unavailable for the match and that is a blow for them. Estonia went to Cardiff and got a 0-0 draw, they were narrowly beaten at home to Wales going down 1-0 in the reverse match and also beat Belarus 2-0, they played as well as expected against Belgium and there are clear signs Estonia are on an upwards trajectory and believe they are value Estonia +2.25. I am also betting the under goals, Estonia are a well organised side and well drilled defensively side and with the Czech probably having no real great realistic appetite for goals I think the unders is a value bet too.
Estonia +2.25 min odds 1.87
Under 3.25 Goals min odds 1.94
Wales vs Belgium
I am betting Under 2.5 goals scored here tonight, Wales, need a point in order to qualify as a seeded team for the playoffs, they face a Belgium side with nothing to play for and missing some key players too. I think Wales will be happy to play for a point and move on, their games don’t tend to feature many goals, they had only scored 8 and conceded 7 goals in the 6 games before the Belarus match on Saturday night and 5 of those 15 goals came in the away match against Belarus, meaning excluding their matches against the worst team in the group their other games have only averaged 2 goals a game in the other 5 matches. Betting the under 2.5 goals as I believe it is value and with the home team only needing a point everything points to a cautious match.
Under 2.5 goals scored min odds 1.82
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