Everton vs Aston Villa
I am betting Everton on the draw no bet line today and over 2.5 goals, they face a tough game against a decent Aston Villa side but Everton should improve, they recently sacked Rafa Benitez as their coach who seems was as unpopular with the players as he was with the fans. I expect an upturn in Everton’s fortune with Calvert-Lewin and Richarlison both fir and will only play their 4th game together this season, it is overall a much healthier Everton team and with Liverpool legend Steven Gerrard in charge of Villa you can be sure that Goodison Park will be a hostile environment for Villa today and I believe Everton are the value. It is difficult to see Everton keep a clean sheet against this Villa team but equally with Calvert-Lewin, Richarlison and Damari Gray it is difficult to see Everton scoring as well so betting over 2.5 goals.
Everton 0 min odds 2.06
Over 2.5 goals scored min odds 2.00
Manchester United vs West Ham Utd
I am betting the overs 2.75 goals in this match, United are giving up so major chances in their games and opposition have found David De Gea in the United goals in inspirational form, Brentford recorded an xG of 2.08 in the midweek match while Villa had an xG of 1.83 in their game v United, they are giving up big chances every match and I think West Ham can get on the score sheet today but United have so much quality in attack they should be able to add the score line to even if Ronaldo is not fit to play. Both teams have the quality up front to score and I think with both sides matches averaging 3.10 and 3.23 respectively, over 2.5 goals is good value bet for me.
Over 2.75 Goals scored min odds 1.83
Leeds United vs Newcastle United
I am betting over 2.75 goals here too, Leeds is still without some key players but I think this will help the overs bet chance as star defensive midfielder, and protector of the Leeds defence, Kalvin Phillips is one of them players out. Both sides games have seen on average of 3.15 goals per match this season and I simply can’t see anything but both sides scoring in this match. Newcastle need a result and Leeds have only one way of playing so this match should be a really open affair.
Over 2.75 goals scored min odds 1.86
Bristol City vs Cardiff City
I am betting Bristol City here, before their trip to Fulham last weekend they were not performing too badly in matches and now face a poor Cardiff side who were beaten against 10 man Blackburn at home in their last match, they are almost certainly going to be without Kiefer Moore their star striker for the game and I just fancy Bristol City to bounce back draw no bet against Cardiff.
Bristol City 0 min odds 1.91
Coventry vs QPR
Coventry recorded a handsome win away to Peterborough last weekend and will fancy their chances at home to this QPR side who have 2 key players away at the African Nations cup in Cahir and Dieng. I think QPR have not been near as impressive as they were at the start of the season anyway both with those players missing, I believe Coventry offer significant value here today and should be backed.
Coventry -0.25 min odds 1.92
Sheffield United vs Luton Town
Luton are not getting the respect they deserve; they are the 7th best team in league looking at the expected goals they face a Sheffield United team who are only 14th looking at the same metric. They have a full squad bar Admiral Muskwe and I think +0.5 is a value bet for the inform Hatters who beat Bournemouth 3-2 last weekend.
Luton Town +0.5 min odds 1.95
West Brom vs Peterborough Utd
I am betting Peterborough +1.5, i have to hold my hands up admit this is an ugly bet but i have a lot of value on it on my ratings and the team news for West Brom still sees goalkeeper Sam Johnstone and central defender Alex Mowatt both suspended too. West Brom have won only 1 in 6 and that was a match against an opponent similar to Peterborough in Reading and they only won that 1-0, it is 14 matches ago since the baggies won a match by 2 goals or more and happy to take a chance on Posh +1.5.
Peterborough +1.5 min odds 1.86
Greuther Furth vs Mainz
Mainz are worth a bet here, they travel to Gurth who will play this match without any home fans in the stadium so greatly reducing the home advantage as well as that, Furth have drawn their last 3 matches although they were lucky in that run and that was against 3 of the bottom 5 sides in the xG table, Mainz are a better team even if they have had a wobble of late and I fancy them to take the 3 points here.
Mainz -0.5 min odds 1.83
Southampton vs Manchester City
I am betting Southampton +1.75, this should be a decent match and even with the Saints missing their keeper in McCarthy i make them value here against this City side. I do think City have not been as impressive recently as they were and it does give Southampton a very small squeak against them to cause an upset. For me +1.75 for a decent Saints team at home does feel value, they have to get beaten by 3 for us to lose our full stake and that is a big margin and as we have seen City have been happy just to take 3 points and move on without racking up a lot of goals.
Southampton +1.75 min odds 1.82
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