Rosario Central vs Huracan
Rosario Central came back from a 2-0 disadvantage on their visit to Lanus to secure an important point. The 2-2 draw allowed the team to make it four league games without defeat (two victories and two stalemates). El Canalla are performing a worthy campaign despite playing with a young squad: they accumulated 32 points in this tournament and hold onto their chances to qualify for the next Copa Sudamericana: Cristian Gonzalez’s men are occupying the last continental berth in the aggregate table and will secure their ticket in the event of beating Huracan. Central also are unbeaten in their last four home matches, having won three and drawn one.
Huracan hold onto a tiny chance of qualifying for the next Copa Sudamericana thanks to their 1-0 home success over Racing Club, with Matias Coccaro netting the winner in the first half. El Globo made it seven points from the last 15 on offer to accumulate 35 in the Liga Profesional, which places them two points behind the last continental berth in the aggregate table. That means they need to win here and wait three of the following results: Racing lose and Union Santa Fe, Gimnasia LP and Argentinos Juniors don’t win.
Huracan needs a lot of help to secure the Copa Sudamericana place in this last round, and I expect a more confident Rosario Central to get the win they need.
BET: Rosario Central -0.25 @ 1.99
Union vs Colon
Union Santa Fe come to the city derby after succumbing to a heavy blow in their fight for a continental ticket last time out, when they were beaten by CA Central Cordoba 2-0 away. That defeat stopped their two-game winning streak and also displaced them from the Copa Sudamericana spots in the aggregate table, having accumulated 31 points in this tournament and now trailing the last qualifying berth by goal difference. They will need to leapfrog only one among Racing Club and Rosario Central to secure their ticket (all level in points, plus Gimnasia LP).
Colon have been clearly one of the best teams in the league this season. They showed their skills in round 24, when the team claimed an easy 3-0 home success over Atletico Tucuman. El Sabalero, who lifted the title in the first semester of the year, have grabbed ten points from the last 15 available as a product of three wins, one draw and a single defeat. The team accumulated 39 points in this tournament and are now fourth-placed in the 2021 aggregate table.
Union must win, Colon will try to ruin their all time rival hopes, so I expect an open game here where a draw is pretty much useless.
BET: OVER 2.25 @ 1.87
Racing vs Godoy Cruz
Racing Club played another worrying game last time out and ended up losing 1-0 at Huracan, which represented their third defeat across the last four league games (with only one win over Lanus in that time). La Academia are going through a crisis at the moment, having accumulated only 29 points in the 24 games in the Liga Profesional. However, they remain occupying one of the Copa Sudamericana spots and will qualify for that competition in the event of beating Godoy Cruz.
After their heartbreaking slump in the Copa Argentina semi-finals, Godoy Cruz wasted their last tiny chance of fighting for a continental ticket in round 24, when they registered a 2-2 home draw against Platense in an entertaining game. Diego Flores’ men won only one of their last six league matches, along with two stalemates and three losses to make it 31 points in the Liga Profesional, which places them in the 23rd spot of the relegation standings, just five points above bottom-placed Patronato.
I also expect to see goals here as Racing will very likely need to win to grab the Copa Sudamericana place, but they’ve been poor defensively lately and Godoy Cruz has a dangerous attack.
BET: OVER 2.5 @ 1.91
Argentinos Jrs vs Sarmiento
Argentinos Juniors fans should have felt disappointed after the team’s 3-2 away defeat at Aldosivi (they had taken a 2-0 lead at one point). They would have climbed into one of the Copa Sudamericana spots in the event of winning, but after claiming a single victory across the last seven league games (along with two draws and four losses), El Bicho need to beat Sarmiento at home and wait for three of their direct rivals (Racing Club, Rosario Central, Gimnasia LP and Union Santa Fe) to not win on Saturday if they want to participate in that continental competition in 2022.
Sarmiento’s crisis is getting deeper and deeper. Last time out, the team showed a great display of effort but still lost 2-1 at home to Talleres. It was their sixth consecutive game without a win in league action, including one draw and five losses. Accumulating only 24 points in as many games, they remain occupying the penultimate spot of the relegation standings, only above Patronato. On away turf, Sarmiento are on four winless games, drawing one and losing the last three.
Argentinos must win and wait for other results, and playing at home against this terrible Sarmiento should mean 3 points for them.
BET: Argentinos Jrs -1 @ 2.05
Atletico Tucuman vs River
Atletico Tucuman continue getting worse game after game. Last time out, they had nothing to do in their away game at Colon, which ended in a 3-0 loss. El Decano made it eight league matches without a win (including two draws and six consecutive defeats) to remain occupying the penultimate spot of the Liga Profesional table on 21 points. As a result of this terrible run, the side dropped down to the 18th place in the relegation standings and will likely fight to keep their top flight to avoid the drop in 2022, which wasn’t a worry a few months ago.
River Plate saw their impressive unbeaten streak of 18 league games (14 wins and four draws) coming to an end last weekend, when they were beaten by Defensa y Justicia 3-2 at home. Of course, the team have already celebrated the league title: they still hold a seven-point gap over second-placed Talleres (53 to 46) with only one round to go. They also have been the best team during the whole season, having secured first place in the 2021 aggregate table. On away turf, River are on nine league games without defeat (six successes and three draws).
The champions visit the team with the worst defense in the league with almost 2 goals conceded per game, and I have to expect nothing but goals and an open game here.
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