Aston Villa vs Brighton
There is not a lot of value in the Premier league today but i believe the under 2.5 goals in this match does actually offer some. This match marks Steven Gerard’s first game in charge, Gerard was known at his previous club, Glasgow Rangers, as a manager who used to keep it tight in matches and if you did not concede you did not lose the match at least. Rangers were a big fish in their league but Villa are not and I think Gerard will be happy to take a point in his first match against a decent Brighton team who are low scorers themselves with their games only averaging 2.18 goals per match, so betting under 2.5 goals.
Under 2.25 Goals scored min odds 1.80
Norwich City vs Southampton
I am betting under under 2.5 goals here, This is Dean Smith’s first game in charge of Norwich and he is sure to want any sort of positive result for his first match, So i can see him just wanting to keep the game tight and close. This match sees the 2 of the 3 lowest scorers in the premier league meet, Norwich have only scored 5goals all season why Southampton have scored only 10 in 11 games although they have only conceded 12 which results in their games averaging only 2 goals per match so far this season. I think there is real value in the under 2.5 goals in a match where both teams have scored only 15 goals combined in 22 matches.
Under 2.5 goals scored min odds 1.87
Watford vs Manchester United
I am betting the over goals here, United i think will win this game but the match odds are not high enough for me to have a bet on them but I think they can score, they showed against Spurs they can score goals and Watford are levels below Spurs however United’s problem is at the other end of the pitch, defensively they look a shambles and I think Watford can cause them some trouble, to be fair if the United front players click they can cover the Over 2.75 goals line themselves and with both side’s games averaging 2.82 and 3.27 goals per match I think Over 2.75 at present odds is value.
Over 2.75 goals scored min odds 1.84
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