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Football betting tips

by Ben, last updated 2008-03-20 11:13:35

 Premiership Betting - Matchday 31 Preview (Mar 22-23)

The Premiership title race always hots up in March, considered the most important month in the Premier League calendar. It will reach boiling point this weekend with a grand slam double bill that could have a decisive influence on the outcome on the Premiership race. On Sunday Chelsea host Arsenal for a cracking London Derby, while its an all Red affair at Old Trafford, as Man Utd take on Liverpool. Go to PinnacleSports.com for up to 60% better Premiership betting odds for both key games and the rest of the weekend schedule.

Who Will Grab the Initiative in Crucial London Derby?

On Sunday, Chelsea face Arsenal in the first of two massive home games that will have a huge say in whether they can snatch the Premiership title. The other critical game is when Man Utd visit Stamford Bridge on April 26th; six points from these games would certainly hand Chelsea the initiative in the title-race. Also at stake is the Blues’ amazing unbeaten home league record which currently stretches back 77 games. The last team to win a Premiership game at the Bridge, were Sunday’s opponents, Arsenal, also the last team to beat Chelsea in the current season.

Avram Grant’s side haven’t lost since the 1-0 defeat at the Emirates Stadium, and while the Gunners last defeat was one week prior to that game, their recent form is much more of a concern. Arsene Wenger’s side have drawn four consecutive league games, looking jaded and low on confidence. In contrast Chelsea have been revitalised by the return of Frank Lampard, while Didier Drogba should lead the line up front. Wednesday’s 4-4 draw at Spurs, was certainly two points lost for Chelsea, but the Gunners recent form is worse, so the pressure is on Arsenal to pull off another historic win similar to that at the San Siro. PinnacleSports.com make Chelsea marginal favourites 1.909 (0/scratch & -0.5)* with Arsenal 2.020 (0/scratch & +0.5)* – a market priced to less than 102%.

Battle of the Reds at the Theatre of Dreams

A recent report suggested that it was no coincidence that teams that play in red tend to be successful. Two of the Premiership’s – if not the World’s – most famous ‘red’ teams will do battle at Old Trafford on Sunday, with a huge amount at stake for both clubs. It is unrealistic to suggest that Liverpool could still challenge for the title, but they still have the crucially important task of ensuring a fourth placed finish, so the Scousers have as big a motivation as the defending Champions, Man Utd.

The Red Devils’ 1-0 win over Liverpool last March was integral to their title-winning run, and Alex Ferguson will hope that three points on Sunday will provide a similar catalyst. United are without first choice keeper, Edwin Van de Sar, which will thrust either, Tomasz Kuszczak or Ben Foster into the limelight, neither with much ‘big-game’ experience, while Rio Ferdinand is also 50-50. Liverpool’s Fernando Torres will be making his debut at Old Trafford looking to enhance his growing reputation, having recently scored a match-winner at another daunting venue, the San Siro. History however, favours the home side as Liverpool haven’t even scored in the last six league meetings, losing five. PinnacleSports.com make Man Utd marginal favourites 2.080 (-0.5)* with Liverpool 1.855 (+0.5)*.

*All odds subject to change

Best Premiership Odds at PinnacleSports.com

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 Bet On Sports this weekend

We have some fantastic sport this weekend, with Super Sunday featuring Man Utd v Liverpool and Chelsea v Arsenal. We also have the 4:00pm at Doncaster and the 4:45pm at Haydock on Saturday.

Saturday’s Premiership Football

Tottenham v Portsmouth – Live on Sky Sports 1, k/o 12:45pm

After the tremendous 4-4 draw against Chelsea in mid week, Tottenham will be looking to take all three points against Portsmouth. In recent weeks, Tottenham have stuttered somewhat, having lost to Birmingham and Man City, but then demolishing West Ham and matching Chelsea, so it's difficult to predict which Tottenham will turn up on Saturday. Portsmouth have been in good form of late, having won three of the last four games, which included games against Man Utd and Aston Villa. Pompey have lost three of the last nine away games (Sunderland, Everton and United), and their impressive away form this season has seen them win eight league games from 15, scoring 22 goals. With Jermaine Defoe returning to his old club, don't bet against him getting on the scoresheet. With Tottenham at home, bookies have priced them as favourites for this match, with VC Bet offering 9/10 on a home win, while Portsmouth have been priced at 2/1 (Better) to get something at White Hart Lane.

BGbet are offering to refund all losing first goalscorer bets on Tottenham v Portsmouth if Darren Bent scores at anytime in this match.*

Everton v West Ham – Live on Setanta Sports 1, k/o 5:15pm

After last weekend's surprise defeat to Fulham, Everton's grasp on fourth place has slipped somewhat and they will be desperate to get back to winning ways against West Ham. Liverpool's run of five straight wins has left the Toffees trailing, but given the Reds' next three games are against Man Utd, Everton themselves and Arsenal, the table could look very different in a couple of weeks. The Hammers' victory over Blackburn last weekend would have gone a long way to repairing the damage of three consecutive 4-0 defeats. And while a European place is surely out of their grasp, Alan Curbishley's team will be determined to finish a largely disappointing season on a high. Bookmakers have placed Everton as favourites, pricing them at 8/11 (Centrebet) to get the win, while VC Bet have priced West Ham at 23/5 to reinstall some pride at Goodison Park.

BGbet are offering to refund all losing first goalscorer bets on Everton v West Ham if Andy Johnson scores at anytime in this match.*

Sunday’s Premiership Football

Man Utd v Liverpool – Live on Sky Sports 1, k/o 1:30pm

The first big match this Super Sunday sees fierce rivals Man Utd take on Liverpool at Old Trafford. United are strong at home and have lost just one of their 15 fixtures at Old Trafford in the top-flight this term, conceding just five times in the process. United boast plenty of strength in depth and the likes of Anderson and Hargreaves protect the back four just as effectively as Alonso and Mascherano do for Liverpool, while United's attacking options are unrivalled in the Premiership. The Red Devils have triumphed in their last four meetings against Liverpool. However, in recent seasons the Merseyside outfit has a Better record at the Theatre of Dreams than most, having prevailed in three of their last eight league visits. Encounters between these sides are invariably tight - only one of their last seven matches has produced more than a solitary goal - and one goal may well again prove enough either way. Rafa Benitez's charges have won their seven fixtures in all competitions subsequent to the shock defeat to Barnsley and the club's most potent attacking weapons, Steven Gerrard and Fernando Torres, have been in cracking form. Indeed, the dynamic duo are responsible for eight of Liverpool's last 10 goals overall and there should be more to come. Either an uncharacteristic mistake a moment of brilliance on the part of either of these giants of the game could prove the difference. Man Utd have been priced as favourites at 5/6 (Better), meanwhile Liverpool have been priced at 11/4 by Centrebet to dent United's title challenge.

Man Utd to Win 5/6 Better
Draw 21/10 Centrebet
Liverpool to Win 33/10 VC Bet

BGbet are offering to refund all losing correct score bets on Man Utd v Liverpool match if the game finishes 0-0.*

BGbet are offering to refund all losing first goalscorer bets on Man Utd v Liverpool if Michael Carrick scores at anytime in this match.*

Chelsea v Arsenal – Live on Sky Sports 1, k/o 4:00pm

The second big game of Super Sunday sees Arsenal travel to Stamford Bridge aiming to do what no other team has managed in the last four years - win. The Gunners were the last team to inflict a home defeat on The Blues, and must match that feat to keep the pressure on United at the top. However, Chelsea will go all out for the win that would blow the title race wide open. Chelsea have been in Better form in the past few weeks, having won two of the last four games. Arsenal on the other hand have drawn their last four Premiership games on the trot, seeing their three point advantage turn into a three point deficit behind Man Utd. This match will be a tight and anxious affair that could go either way, Arsenal have good record of surprising when the odds are against them. Chelsea's home form has been tremendous in recent years, having remained unbeaten in four years, a statistic that they will be resolute in defending against the Gunners. With both teams title challenge on the line in this match, neither team can afford to sit back and be content with a draw. With Chelsea's home advantage, the Blues have been priced as favourites at 5/4 (VC Bet), meanwhile Arsenal have been priced at 11/5 by Better to keep the pressure on United.

Chelsea to Win 11/10 Better
Draw 11/5 Centrebet
Arsenal to Win 5/2 VC Bet

BGbet are offering to refund all losing correct score bets on Chelsea v Arsenal match if the game finishes 0-0.*

BGbet are offering to refund all losing first goalscorer bets on Chelsea v Arsenal if Frank Lampard scores at anytime in this match.*

BGbet have a fantastic offering on the Premiership football this weekend. Place a Correct Score bet on any of the weekend Premiership matches and if it gets beat by an Injury time goal we will refund your losing correct score stakes on that game. *

Weekend Racing

This Saturday big race sees two fantastic races, the Lincoln at 4:00pm Doncaster and the Handicap Chase at 4:45pm Haydock. BGbet have some fantastic promotions for the weekend's racing:

BGbet will be paying ¼ odds 1-2-3-4-5 on The Lincoln at 4:00pm Doncaster.

If your horse falls during the Handicap Chase at 4:45pm Haydock, BGbet will refund your stakes in the form of free bets.**

Open an account with any of the following bookmakers and receive a free bet:

VC Bet £100 in Free Bets BGbet £100 Free Bet
Betterbet £25 Free Bet Centrebet £20 Free Bet

Odds subject to fluctuation - Odds taken at 9.00am 20/03/2008

* Refunds are in the form of free bets. Max stake £100

** T&C's
• Also applies if your horse was brought down, unseated or refused
• Min Stake £5 Max Stake £50
• Bets must be placed after 10am Saturday
• Singles only
• Win Or Each Way
• Web Customers only
• Free bets will be available from Monday 10am

 A Mini Weapon of Mass Destruction

 By Gerry McDonnell

Even though I was brought up as a Catholic, I have never followed a spiritual path. I blame an over-zealous Priest for my descent into heresy; he was constantly on my back when I was young.

If my memory serves me correctly, Easter is a time to reflect upon the resurrection of Christ. It's believed that after three days, He rose again. I don't want to diminish the significance, but I'd fancy Pele to beat that. The Geordies believe that King Keegan is the one true Messiah; it would be sacrilegious not to back Newcastle at 10/11 against Fulham.

Jesus may have forgiven Robbie Keane for his petulant reaction to being substituted last weekend, but Juande Ramos was apoplectic. I have a lot of sympathy for Keane in this case; it's an emotional time when you're being pulled off. I'll happily play with the even money for a Tottenham win over Portsmouth.

John Carew may not be scoring regularly on the pitch, but if press reports are to be believed, he's managed to bag 'Strictly Come Dancing' star Alesha Dixon. I've seen pictures of Alesha, and one bag may not be enough. I'll need a large container to carry home my winnings after Aston Villa see off Sunderland at 3/5.

It's rare that I shower praise upon Steve Bruce, but his decision to drop Titus Bramble was outstanding. Bruce knows what it takes to become a top class defender; he played alongside Gary Pallister. 4/5 had been placed alongside a Blackburn win over Wigan. I'm on.

Thaksin Shinawatra is not a happy man. The Thai 'businessman' has reportedly claimed that City are losing too many games in his absence, and he may have to tighten the bolt on his return. If I was Sven, I'd be worried. I'd be ringing up Ulrika, but I'd certainly be worried. Bolton can ensure the bolt is tightened with a win at 6/4.

Middlesbrough will be without Mido after he saw red for kicking Gael Clichy in the head. The Egyptian should be ashamed of his actions, as should the players who gave him the lift up. Let's all rise to celebrate the 1/2 for a Middlesbrough win over Derby.

I'm quite ashamed to admit that I have something in common with the impious Martin Taylor. We're both often referred to as 'tiny', although for Martin, it's an ironic reference. The 23/20 for a Reading win over Birmingham is healthily proportioned.

It's great to see the West Ham production line coming up trumps once again. Freddie Sears looks a great prospect, but I'm not overly impressed with the 'Alan Shearer' goal celebration; it takes too long to kick Neil Lennon, creosote a fence and unsettle the Newcastle management. Everton are going for a treble over the Hammers this season, I have to play at 3/4.

Steven Gerrard was upset when Rio Ferdinand claimed that Liverpool were not among the best teams in Europe. To be fair to Rio, he was misquoted - he meant to say that Liverpool were not among the best teams in England. Liverpool have lost their last four league meetings with their bitter rivals, and have failed to score in their last six. United can extend that run at 11/10.

Chelsea meet Arsenal in the 2nd part of Grand Slam Super Mega Awesome Sunday, in a dress rehearsal for the Champions League semi-final. I've studied Chelsea's win ratio in the big games under Avram Grant, it didn't take long. Arsenal are turning into draw specialists, I'll happily take the 9/4 for a tie.

Jesus would not be happy with the vitriolic abuse aimed at Heather Mills after her divorce from Paul McCartney. I look at is as a value gamble on Heather's part, she risked negative press and the occasional slap for a healthy financial settlement.

I was quite surprised that she received as much as £24m; I think she must have shown the judge a little leg. Blackburn, Middlesbrough, Everton and a Chelsea draw form a 13/1 accer that will hopefully lead to an equally impressive return.

Weekend Betting:

Tottenham v Portsmouth Saturday 22nd March 12:45 Live on Sky

Tottenham Evs
Draw 5/2
Portsmouth 16/5

Get on: Tottenham

Aston Villa v Sunderland Saturday 22nd March 15:00

Aston Villa 3/5
Draw 14/5
Sunderland 11/2

Get on: Aston Villa

Blackburn v Wigan Saturday 22nd March 15:00

Blackburn 4/5
Draw 13/5
Wigan 4/1

Get on: Blackburn

Bolton v Man City Saturday 22nd March 15:00

Bolton 6/4
Draw 23/10
Man City 2/1

Get on: Bolton

Middlesbrough v Derby Saturday 22nd March 15:00

Middlesbrough 1/2
Draw 10/3
Derby 8/1

Get on: Middlesbrough

Newcastle v Fulham Saturday 22nd March 15:00

Newcastle 10/11
Draw 12/5
Fulham 10/3

Get on: Newcastle

Reading v Birmingham Saturday 22nd March 15:00

Reading 23/20
Draw 5/2
Birmingham 11/4

Get on: Reading

Everton v West Ham Saturday 22nd March 17:15 Live on Setanta

Everton 3/4
Draw 13/5
West Ham 4/1

Get on: Everton

Man Utd v Liverpool Sunday 23rd March 13:30 Live on Sky

Man Utd 11/10
Draw 23/10
Liverpool 10/3

Get on: Man Utd

Chelsea v Arsenal Sunday 23rd March 16:00 Live on Sky

Chelsea 5/4
Draw 9/4
Arsenal 12/5

Get on: Draw

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