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Football Betting Tips

by Simon, last updated 2010-01-08 02:32:50

 Premiership Betting Tips - 9th - 11th January 2010


9th January 2010

Hull (11) Draw (5) Chelsea (1.36)
A great fixture for Chelsea. Missing their top player, Didier Drogba, this is the place they'd want to go. Not a great Christmas for Chelsea, drawing 0-0 at Birmingham and having to come from behind to narrowly defeat Fulham. Hull, more or less sealed Megson's sacking from Bolton by coming from 2-0 down to take a point from the Reebok. Should be an away win but not as comfortable as the odds suggest. 1.36 at most bookmakers. A bet that might offer a bit more value is the both teams to score at 2.2 at William Hill. Chelsea are bad at defending set pieces and Hull could easily nick one.

Arsenal (1.4) Draw (4.5) Everton (9)
Arsenal have surprised me since losing van Persie. I thought they would really struggle to score but thats not been the case. They've scored 10 in their last 3 league games. Everton are picking up form, unbeaten in 5 but 4 of those were draws and everyone beats Burnley at their home ground. I still think Everton's squad is too small. First day of the season, Arsenal thrashed Everton 6-1. I can't see that score line again but can see another win for Arsenal. 1.4 at most bookies.

Burnley (2.38) Draw (3.3) Stoke (3.4)
Once upon a time I would have backed Burnley at home blindly. Not a good time for Burnley though, losing a manager is never good. 4 straight home draws at home for Burnley. Stoke looked like they could have been going on the slide but the win against Fulham was great. 3-0 up at half time they were cruising. Game ended 3-2 but Stoke played great. I will back the draw in this game. Burnley's home form has dipped and Stoke are rarely good away so the draw is the logical result. Odds are 3.3 at Totesport.

Fulham (1.67) Draw (3.75) Portsmouth (6)
After 2 away defeats Fulham will be glad to be back at home. Against Chelsea they were unlucky not to get anything from the game. They were leading up until the 73rd minute. Against Stoke, they lost that game by half time but did make a good fight of it. Portsmouth are in danger of becoming the next Leeds United. Players are being paid late and there is a real chance of administration here. A few weeks ago, I gave Portsmouth a chance but results not point to them being certain to go down. The win against Liverpool looks like a blip in a downward spiral. Fulham is a banker for me at 1.67 at bet365.

Sunderland (1.95) Draw (3.5) Bolton (4.5)
Sunderland are one of the disappointments of the season. So much promise but lately they've been poor. They have the same players but maybe just over performed at the start. Bolton have a new manager in Owen Coyle. I guess this would give them a boost. Without that, I would be all over Sunderland. The new manager factor with Bolton cannot be ignored though. My bet will be Darren Bent to score anytime. He's netted 11 times (13 goals total) in 20 Premier League games. Odds on him scoring anytime should be about evens or less now but at Boylesport they have him at 2.63. A better bet I think.

Wigan (3.2) Draw (3.4) Aston Villa (2.4)
I've been avoiding tipping Wigan matches due to their unpredictability. You never know who is going to turn up. Times are changing though and I think that its time to start backing against them. Since the win against Sunderland, they have drawn 2 and lost 3. Thats relegation form to me. Just when you thought Villa might have the strength to break in to the top 4, they go lose to Arsenal and Liverpool. Worse still, they were unable to score in any of those games. Before that they were on a 5 game winning streak though. Villa were beat 2-0 on the opening day of the season by Wigan. I can see this being revenge. Villa win for me at 2.4 at William Hill.

Birmingham (6.8) Draw (3.8) Manchester United (1.62)
Quite a big price for the in form team in the Premiership. Unbeaten in 11, with 7 of them wins, this is amazing for a newly promoted team. Big shock for Man U getting dumped out of the cup by Leeds. The team was weakened but not by much. Man U still have many problems. No way should they be 1.62. For me, this is a 1X game. Similar price to the Fulham game the other week, which Fulham won 3-0. I am going to go for the draw here. Birmingham don't score that many goals. Draw pays 3.8 at William Hill

10th January 2010

West Ham (1.91) Draw (3.5) Wolverhampton (4.8)
West Ham is a team I have changed my mind about. It was the Chelsea game that was the turning point in my eyes. Only a dodgy penalty allowed Chelsea to take a point. Against Arsenal in the cup they were great. They should have been 2-3 up by the time Arsenal equalised. Wolves haven't had a good Christmas, losing to Liverpool and Man City. Before then though, they did win 3/4 and the defeat at Old Trafford was partly down to McCarthy playing a weakened side. I have to back West Ham in this game though. The win at Spurs was Wolves only away win of the season and they don't score many. West Ham is 1.91 at bluesquare.

Liverpool (1.91) Draw (3.6) Tottenham (4.5)
Big, big fixture for Liverpool this. I can't see them making top 4 if they don't win this. Liverpool have won their last 2 but haven't played well. The win against Villa was good but it was very late in stoppage time. Gerrard and Torres haven't been performing. Spurs are in 4th and are on 4 unbeaten run winning 3 of those and all clean sheets. X2 for me. I am not brave enough to bet on the Spurs win so I'll go for the Asian Handicap +0.5 (Spurs win or draw) at even money at bet365.

11th January 2010

Manchester City (1.44) Draw (4.8) Blackburn (8.5)
3 wins out of 3 (including the FA Cup game) for City under Mancini with no goals conceded. City could we be living up to their potential now. Its not like they were bad under Mark Hughes, it was the draws that cost them (and punters). Tevez is in fine form. Blackburn are 1-2-7 away from home. No win in 8 either so chances aren't good at Eastlands. Home win is 1.44 at bet365.





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