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Football Betting Tips

by Simon, last updated 2010-01-15 03:08:21

 Premiership Betting Tips - 16th - 17th January 2010


16th January 2010

Stoke (4) Draw (3.3) Liverpool (2.25)
An excellent time for Stoke to be playing Liverpool. Dumped out of the cup midweek and now losing, Torres, Gerrard and Benayoun, things are looking grim. Even with those 3 players I'd have backed against Liverpool. The Britannia, isn't the fortress it once was. Last time out, they did beat an in form Fulham there 3-2 though and were leading 3-0 at half time. Stoke at 4.0 at PaddyPower is a crazy price considering the home advantage and Liverpool's dismal form.

Chelsea (1.22) Draw (6) Sunderland (15)
Chelsea will look at this as a great opportunity to extend their lead at the top of the Premiership, with both Arsenal and Man U drawing last week. Even with Drogba, Essien, Kalou and Mikel out due to the African Cup of Nations, Chelsea should be too strong for Sunderland. Sunderland are 1-2-7 away from home, so I wouldn't be backing them anywhere, let alone at the Bridge. I think the game will be tighter than the odds suggest though. Chelsea haven't cleared their handicap in the last 6 league games. They won 2 home games by a 1 goal margin, 3 draws and a loss. Not a team you really want to back at 1.22. Its a no bet for me.

Manchester United (1.17) Draw (8) Burnley (19)
Bad times for Man U. Dumped out of the FA Cup by League 1, Leeds United and needing an own goal to get a point from Birmingham, things aren't going well for Ferguson. None of his stars are performing. Burnley have problems too with their manager going to Bolton. Its Brian Laws first game in charge, so they could get the 'new manager boost' though. If it wasn't for Burnley's terrible away record, I'd be tempted to back them. Still, I am not backing Man U at 1.17. Thats a price for an in form Man U, not one that is struggling. Another no bet.

Portsmouth (2.8) Draw (3.4) Birmingham (2.7)
Lucky result for Portsmouth against Coventry in the FA Cup. They looked like they were going out but goals in the 90th and 120th minute mean they are through to the 5th round. Its not going to do their survival hopes any good though. Birmingham are on this incredible run of 14 unbeaten in all competitions, which has seen them face, Chelsea, Man U and Man City. It has to end sometime but I don't think it will here. Bookies are split on this one. Ladbrokes have Birmingham as favourites at 2.5, Portsmouth 2.8 whereas Bet365 have Portsmouth favourite at 2.63, 2.7 Birmingham. I'm with Ladbrokes here so its 2.7 for Birmingham at Bet365.

Tottenham (1.29) Draw (6) Hull (13)
Hull pulled off a shocker last season beating Spurs 1-0. I can't see that happening again. Spurs did suffer a shock defeat to Wolves a month ago but have since kept 4 clean sheets, winning 3 and drawing 1. Hull are struggling without Jimmy Bullard. He was instrumental in that little mini run they went on. Out of all the mega favourite this weekend, I am most confident about this one. A bet I do like is Spurs to win to nil at 2.1 at bluesquare. Odds on everywhere else.

Wolverhampton (2.38) Draw (3.25) Wigan (3.25)
Two teams that could find themselves playing Championship football next season. Both on 19 points which is only 1 point above the relegation zone. Wolves are probably in the better form. 3 wins and 3 defeats in their last 6 but if you look at the defeats its nothing to be ashamed of, Man U away, Liverpool away and Man City at home. Wigan were inconsistent but seem to have lost the ability to win. .Only 1 win in 9 and that was after the 9-1 drubbing by Spurs. Home win for me this. 2.38 at VC Bet.

Everton (3) Draw (3.3) Manchester City (2.62)
Unlucky for Everton not picking up all 3 points from Arsenal. Maybe I got it wrong about Everton. They have still got a few players out but their squad seems to be coping well. Unbeaten in 6 now but 5 of those were draws. City have gone on a little run since Mancini took over. They are now 4th and are serious title contenders again as no one else wants to win it. This will be there first big test though. Very tricky from a betting point of view. Bookies have the odds just about right I think. In circumstances like this, I prefer the draw as its the biggest price on the coupon. You can get 3.3 at most bookies.

17th January 2010

Aston Villa (1.57) Draw (4) West Ham (7.5)
Good result for Villa in the Carling Cup. They take back a 1-0 lead back to Villa Park in the second leg against Blackburn. Villa's great run in the league ended with 2 defeats against Arsenal and Liverpool. They are still up in 6th place though. West Ham are in trouble, Only above relegation on goal difference and Bolton have 2 games in hand. Home win is 1.57 at Skybet.

Blackburn (2.5) Draw (3.25) Fulham (3.3)
Some pressure on Big Sam to deliver now. Currently, 9 league games without a win and then last night's defeat to Villa in the Carling Cup. They are still in that group of teams that could go down this season. Fulham still can't seem to win away from home. Joint top scorer Bobby Zamora is out injured. I can see no winner here so its the draw at 3.25 at most places.


Bolton (7) Draw (4.1) Arsenal (1.62)
New manager for Bolton. Owen Coyle made Turf Moor for Burnley a fortress and maybe he can at the Reebok too. He'll be hoping for a bit of the new manager syndrome where the same players up their game for a new manager. Arsenal drew with Everton last weekend. I have my doubts about the strength of the Arsenal team. They were looking at being title contenders but then drop points at home. Too much fancy football and few shots are being fired goal wards. Only 5 shots on target and 1 off. I cannot be backing Arsenal at 1.62. A Bolton win is too much to ask so I think the draw offers the best value. 4.1 at Sportingbet.




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