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Football Betting Tips
by Ben, last updated 2011-11-18 19:46:15Premiership Weekend Betting tips
19th - 21st November 2011
19th November 2011Norwich (5.5) Draw (3.8) Arsenal (1.73)
Norwich continue to play their attractive brand of football. They have been a bit sloppy at the back though and thus conceded 3 goals in each of their last 3 games. They have been playing really well though and have been scoring freely too. Arsenal have been on a 4 game mini-run since losing to Spurs. They have been mainly playing poor teams at home but they did manage to get that 5-3 win over Chelsea at Stamford Bridge. That was their only win away from home this season though and part of the reason they won was because Chelsea were pushing for a winner, leaving massive gaps at the back. Norwich, if they play their brand of football should lose this one. If you try play against Arsenal they will beat you. I am still not confortable backing Arsenal away from home though, especially at odds on. They may have turned the corner but that win at Chelsea could have been a blip. I think the overs betting is was to play this. It's 1.67 at Totesport which is low for overs but I can see both teams scoring here and a probable Arsenal win.
Everton (1.67) Draw (3.8) Wolverhampton (6.5)
Another week, another defeat for Everton. I can't believe that Newcastle drifted out to 2.5 before kick off. Everton are a limited side. Looking at their goal scorers they have Royston on 2 goals and Rodwell on 2. Everyone else is on 0 or 1. To be fair, they have had a tough run of fixtures, losing to City, Liverpool, Chelsea, Manchester United and Newcastle. They did manage to beat Fulham away from home but I put that down to good fortune. Wolves managed their first win in 8 against Wigan last round. Everyone beats Wigan nowadays though so no big deal. Wolves haven't been scoring much either but at least they have recognised strikers that score. Fletcher has 3, Doyle 2 and O'Hara 2. I can't be even considering Everton at 1.67. The 6.5 on the away win is much better value in my opinion. Wolve's have a fully fit squad and shouldn't be 6.5. I think 5.0 would be too generous so 6.5 is a great speculative bet at Boylesports.
Manchester City (1.33) Draw (5.75) Newcastle (11)
City made hard work of beating QPR last round 3-2. It took a late Toure goal to seal the victory. I suppose no team can keep playing at the pace they have set. It's still an amazing start to the season though. The only worry is that a lot of City stars have been away on international duty and may be a little tired. Also they have Napoli next week in a crucial Champions League game but with the depth of their squad, Mancini should be able to rotate and still play a strong team. Newcastle keep defying gravity. Every week they are expected to lose as this run can't go on forever but they still manage it. They face a big test now though, with City, then United, then Chelsea. Even the most diehard Newcastle supporter must expect them to lose at least one of those. It probably will be this one but at 5.75 for the draw its got to be worth backing that. City have been winning games by scoring late goals when the opposition gets tired. This Newcastle team is so hard working though, they may be able to hold them off. The draw is 5.75 at bluesquare.
Stoke (1.85) Draw (3.6) QPR (4.75)
There is something wrong at Stoke. Its no longer the fortress Britannia. They are 2-2-1 there. Games in Europe have taken their toll on them and they haven't been just losing games after European fixtures, they've been getting thrashed. Fortunately they've had a long international break. QPR played a great game against City last round. I thought it was the safest game on the coupon but QPR gave City a run for their money. There would have been no complaints if they would have got a point there. Previously they were outclassed first half against Spurs and came out fighting second half with a very good performance. QPR may finally be living up to their potential. Looking at the odds, I see much better value in the 4.75 on the away win that on the 1.85 home win. QPR are 4.75 at VC Bet.
Sunderland (2.38) Draw (3.3) Fulham (3.3)
Overall a poor start to the season for Sunderland and Bruce is under pressure at this early stage of the season. Decent enough result last round though. They only went down 1-0 at Old Trafford. Not sure whether that was because Sunderland were great or United were just poor. A Wes Brown own goal is what sank them in a forgettable game. Fulham threw everything at Spurs last game and somehow managed to lose 3-1. I guess its just one of those things in football. They were unlucky to lose at Everton the home game before too. With the players they have, they should be higher up the league for sure. I think if there is going to be a winner its going to be Fulham but I don't there will be so I'll back the draw. Its 3.3 at Totesport.
West Brom (2.15) Draw (3.5) Bolton (4.0)
West Brom have had a couple of shocking performances. They probably would expected to lose to Liverpool and Arsenal but it's the manner in which they lost which is worrying. With no Long or Odemwingie in the side they looked toothless at Arsenal. Odemwingie may be back but no Long for this game. It was looking grim for Bolton. 5 home games and 5 defeats but then they pull out a 5-0 win over Stoke. Stoke have been getting battered after European fixtures though so it may be more to do with Stoke's ineptness than Bolton hitting form. Whatever the reason, it would have given the Bolton team a big confidence boost which they can build on. I guess the price on the away win is a bit too big for me to pass on. It's 4.0 at VC Bet.
Wigan (2.6) Draw (3.3) Blackburn (3)
Terrible run of form for Wigan. Since that win against QPR its been 8 losses in a row. Sometimes when teams go on these runs you can see some green shoots of hope. A decision going against them or a tight 1-0. With Wigan though, there's nothing like that. They lost the last 2 games by 2 goals. Rodallega isn't the player he was last season and without him in form, they are struggling to score. With Blackburn, you can see the potential there. They were unlucky not to get all 3 points from Norwich and were unlucky to lose against Chelsea. Samba could be back in defence making it hard for Wigan to break through. I am going to go with Blackburn here. It's 3.0 at VC Bet.
Swansea City (8) Draw (4.33) Manchester United (1.53)
Swansea defied the odds and got a good point at Anfield last round. They've been playing well just like the other promoted teams. At home, they are 3-2-0 with the 2 draws early on and winning the last 3. The opposition hasn't been that spectacular though with Bolton, West Brom and Stoke being the losers. United haven't really bounced back from that 6-1 thrashing at the hands of Manchester City. They've played 2 games since then winning both 1-0 but for a title contender you'd expect a better bounce back than that. They didn't even score against Sunderland – the goal was an own goal by ex-united star, Wes Brown. Young should be back which I think will give them a much needed boost. I think they play better when he's out on the wing. Looking at the odds, I don't think I can bring myself to back United. I think Swansea +1 on the Asian Handicap is a much better bet at even money at bet365. With the exception of the 5-0 win at Bolton, United haven't won by more than 2 goals away from home. With the way United have been playing recently, it wouldn't surprise me if Swansea got a draw from this or a narrow loss.
20th November 2011
Chelsea (1.91) Draw (3.6) Liverpool (4.75)
Chelsea bounced back from the 5-3 home defeat against Arsenal with a 1-0 away win at Blackburn. It wasn't the most convincing of performances though and if Blackburn would have taken their chances, they could have easily won that game with no complaints. Drogba should be back for this game. They need him back as Torres just misses too many chances. Liverpool had a disappointing 0-0 home draw against Swansea last home game. They have got a better record away from home this season which is surprising. I'd have assumed that Anfield would be a fortress. Carroll and Suarez haven't quite clicked yet but its only a matter of time. The Bridge is a tough place to go though and with that 5-3 defeat fresh in their minds, Chelsea will be tightening it up at the back. My first instinct was that this would be an unders game. That's even money. That's pretty decent but as I'll be watching this game, I will be going for Liverpool on the +1 (1X2) handicap. That's even money at Skybet. I am not that impressed with Chelsea's performances and this game could go either way. May as well have the draw on your side. Skybet are offering a free no deposit £10 bet for new users. Click here to sign up.
21st November 2011
Tottenham (1.6) Draw (4.33) Aston Villa (7)
Spurs rode their luck a bit at Fulham. Somehow they managed to win 3-1 despite being second best. Bale on fine form again. That's 7 wins out of 8 now and Spurs are looking like City's biggest challengers on paper. They may be going off the boil a bit based on performances but if you can't argue with the results. No clean sheet in 6 either. Bent and Agbonlahor have formed a great partnership upfront for Villa. Agbonlahor may be missing though as he suffered a hamstring injury during the international break. Villa face a tough run of fixtures now, starting at Spurs. I can't see them getting anything away on a Monday night. A decent price too on Spurs. If Spurs are a top 4 team then you'd be looking at getting 1.4 tops for a game like this. Villa probably will avoid a relegation battle this year but will be mid-table at best. Spurs are 1.6 at William Hill.
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