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Football Betting Tips
by Simon, last updated 2009-12-18 00:11:01Premiership Betting Tips - 19th - 21st December 2009
19 December 2009
Portsmouth (6) Draw (4) Liverpool (1.62)
Portsmouth ruined my Sunderland bet last weekend scoring in injury time. To be fair they deserved it with the amount of pressing they did. Midweek they were unlucky not to get a point at Chelsea. They played well and Chelsea were struggling to break them down. Liverpool looked the better side first half against Arsenal but second half, Arsenal came out fighting and Liverpool deservedly lost 2-1. Liverpool were much better against Wigan. A nervy last few minutes but they should have been out of sight before then. Odds aren't too good for an out of form Liverpool, last 6 read, DDWDLW. I'll certainly not be backing them at those odds. 4.0 at VC Bet for the draw looks the best bet.
Aston Villa (1.44) Draw (4.3) Stoke (10)
Villa are in form. Since that shock defeat at West Ham they have gone on a run which has put them second in the current form table. A couple of big scalps in there, with victories against Man U and Sunderland away. 3 clean sheets in a row too. Stoke were lucky to get a point against Wigan. Wigan missed a penalty in injury time. No midweek game for Stoke. Villa should win this, 1.44 at Totesport. You can also get 2.5 for Villa to win to nil at Totesport. Stoke have only scored 4 away goals all season. Much bigger price for something which is just as likely in my opinion.
Blackburn (3.35) Draw (3.5) Tottenham (2.25)
No win in 5 for Blackburn. They were poor against Birmingham midweek. Blackburn aren't good away though. Still only 1 defeat all season at home. Spurs are an inconsistent side. They must have broken so many accumulators last week losing 1-0 at home to Wolves. Midweek, they convincingly beat Man City 3-0. I'll not be backing them at 2.25 away from home though. Blackburn's last 3 home games have ended in draws, why not this one? Odds are 3.5 at VC Bet.
Fulham (7) Draw (4) Manchester United (1.62)
Fulham had a trip to Basel midweek, winning 3-2 securing their place in the next round of the Europa League. I am usually weary about Fulham after a European game but last time they came back and beat Sunderland 1-0 at home. Man U's luck ran out last weekend against Villa. You could see that coming, they just haven't been playing well but somehow managing to win. Wolves put out a weakened side against them midweek so I'll not read to much in to the fact that Man U won that 3-0. Looking at the odds here, the value punter really has to be looking at backing Fulham, who are 5-1-2 at home. Last season Fulham won this fixture 2-0. You can get 7.0 at Coral for the straight Fulham win or 5.0 for the draw not bet at Skybet.
Manchester City (1.57) Draw (4.2) Sunderland (8)
Bad day at the office for City mid week. Losing 3-0 is bad enough but Spurs are a top 4 rival. Previously, they only managed to salvage a draw from Bolton. The pressure is really on Mark Hughes to deliver a win here. Sunderland have gone on a dive since beating Arsenal. Unlucky last week to concede in stoppage time but still should be winning those types of games. More worrying is that they have only scored 1 goal in their last 4. They are second from bottom of the current form table, just above West Ham. Man City have cost me a lot this season but I am willing to give them one last chance here. 1.57 at VC Bet If City don't win, then at least I'll have the comfort that Mark Hughes will probably get sacked.
Arsenal (1.22) Draw (7) Hull (19)
Hull got a famous win last year against Arsenal. I don't think they'll do it again his year. 1.22 on the Arsenal win is not really a price you want to be backing though. Arsenal should win with no Van Persie. Looks like Arshavin has stepped up. Hull look like they could be going back in to free fall but I don't think they'll be too concerned if they lose this one. Arsenal win is 1.22 at Ladbrokes but not worth backing.
20 December 2009
Wolverhampton (2.1) Draw (3.5) Burnley (3.9)
Wolves got a stunning 1-0 victory against Spurs last week. They scored early and managed to nullify the Spurs attack. Midweek, McCarthy made 10 changes so 3-0 at Man U was a good result. Burnley are still managing to get those results at Turf Moor, holding Arsenal to a 1-1 draw. Still winless away from home though, 0-1-7 and the draw was against Man City when City were going through their 'draw patch'. Backing against Burnley away from home has been profitable this season so that'll be my bet. With Wolves effectively having no midweek game, they'll be that little bit fresher too. Odds are 2.1 at bet365.
Everton (1.85) Draw (3.5) Birmingham (4.8)
Everton played a midweek Europa League game, losing 1-0 to BATE at home. As Everton have already qualified though, Moyes put out a youth team. Last weekend, they got a good point against Chelsea but I think that was more to do with the fact Chelsea can't defend set pieces. Birmingham are top of the current form table. Uneaten in 8 and winning the last 5 in a row. No really big teams in the winning run though. I still can't see how Everton are odds on for this though. They haven't won at home since 20th September. I don't think Birmingham are the type of team that can win 6 games in a row either so it has to be the draw for me. You can get 3.5 at most bookies
West Ham (8.5) Draw (5) Chelsea (1.4)
West Ham are bottom of the current form table and second bottom of the over table, just 3 points above Portsmouth. A goal keeping error allowed Bolton to win and leap frog them in the table midweek. West Ham are looking like real relegation contenders now. Chelsea haven't been playing well recently. They were fortunate to beat Portsmouth with a penalty. Before that the Portsmouth defence was holding out. If it was anyone else, I'd probably be tempted to back against Chelsea but West Ham are in free fall. Odds on Chelsea are 1.4 at Totesport. £100 Free bet when you sign up.
21 December 2009
Wigan (2.1) v (3.4) Bolton (3.8)
They certainly didn't leave the best until last this weekend. Wigan are a tricky team to call. They missed a stoppage time penalty against Stoke so could have won that game. They scored late at Liverpool which set up a nervy ending but it was too little too late. Bolton beat West Ham midweek but so does everyone nowadays. They could have beat Man City, 3-2 up and City were down to 10 men but that ended 3-3. If I had to bet, I would go for the draw but I'll skip this one.
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