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Football Betting Tipsby Ben, last updated 2010-06-11 15:59:09
England (1.53) Draw (4.3) USA (7.5) ![]()
Arguably the toughest fixture for England in their qualifiers. Win this and they are practically though. Its not going to be as easy as the odds suggest though. 1.53 is something you'd expect for say Man U vs Spurs at Old Trafford. I see this more of a Man City vs Everton type game. So really I'd expect England to be closer to even money.
As with most England games, the bookies know that they can knock a bit off the fair price and still get punters backing them. Its one of those unfortunate things when backing England, you're unlikely to get a fair price.
England impressed in the qualifiers but looking back the quality of the opposition wasn't that great. The other two contenders for first place were Ukraine and Croatia which were once decent but over the last couple of years have fallen from grace. It wasn't too much of a surprise that England qualified comfortably.
When I saw England vs Japan, England looked poor. Maybe it was just because it was a friendly but they were extremely lucky to beat Japan 2-1. Rooney is going to be paramount to the success of England. The USA surely know this and will have a 'Rooney Plan'.
The USA are no fools on the international stage. They topped their qualifier group too (which arguably was even easier than England's qualifier group). Still, they ended Spain's 35 game unbeaten run with a 2-0 win. The friendly build ups have been sporadic but promising. The beat Australia 3-1.
Betting wise, I'd oppose England. Even PaddyPower's 1.53 top price is poor. The 7.5 for the USA is a much better value bet at William Hill. My bet will be USA +1 on the Asian Handicap though. This covers the USA win and the draw. An England win by 1 goal means money back and an England win by 2 or more goals means a loss. I can't see England scoring 2 goals never mind winning by 2 goals. USA +1 on the Asian Handicap is 2.0 at bet365
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