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Football Betting Tips
by Ben, last updated 2010-08-28 01:35:34Premiership Betting Tips
28th -29th August
28th August 2010Blackburn (6) Draw (4) Arsenal (1.67)
Blackburn have had the start that could have easily been predicted. One win at home and one on the road. Last weekend they had a penalty saved by Ben Foster then went on to lose the game against Birmingham. A bit unlucky there I think. Arsenal thrashed 10 man Blackpool 6-0 and looked like they were potential champions. I think anyone could do that though against 10 men Blackpool though. This will be a much tougher test for Arsenal. Last year this fixture ended up 2-1 to Blackburn and ended Arsenal's faint hope of winning the league. I don't think Arsenal should be so heavy favourites here. 6.0 is a big price for the home win and I'd be more inclined to back that then the 1.67 on Arsenal. However, I am going to go for an over 2.5 goals bet. Its 1,88 at bet365. There have been goals galore in the Premiership so far and the last 4 meetings between these sides have produced over 2.5 goals.
Blackpool (3.2) Draw (3.4) Fulham (2.38)
Unlucky for Blackpool at Arsenal last week. 11 against 11 they may have had a chance but they had a man sent off and that was pretty much game over. First home game of the season for Blackpool so maybe they'll get more of a boost than usual for being the home side. Fulham were great against Manchester United last week and really did deserve the draw. Nani's penalty miss helped but they played well enough for a point. On the road they seem to be a different team though and I am not as convinced that they will play as well away from home. Its a tricky one but the draw seems the best bet to me. Its the biggest price on the coupon too, 3.4 at bet365. Maybe a 0-0. .
Chelsea (1.13) Draw (9) Stoke (29)
Chelsea seem to like thrashing teams 6-0 but I don't think its going to happen again this weekend. Last season it was 7-0 to Chelsea so maybe its possible but unlikely. 1.13 is about as low as I've seen a Premiership home side. Stoke are of course a better side than Wigan or West Brom so I'd want better odds than 1.13. Stoke were a bit unlucky against Spurs last weekend and should have got a point. In terms of betting I am going to stick with betting on Chelsea to win to nil. I can't believe Coral are offering 1.91 on this.
Tottenham (1.29) Draw (6) Wigan (15)
Spurs got through to the Champions League proper in Style thrashing Young Boys 4-0 on the return leg and made the aggregate score look a lot more respectable (6-3). They were a bit fortunate to beat Stoke last weekend but they did. Wigan's season could well be going from bad to worse to write off. 10 goals conceded in the first 2 games and none scored. I don't think that a 3-0 away win to Hartlepool is much of a boost to them coming in to this tough fixture. I remember last season I tipped Wigan to cause and upset here. They lost 9-1. Spurs win for sure but I think I will go on the overs market. Its 1.53 at Bodog. That basically covers every home win apart from the 1-0 and 2-0. I can see Spurs winning by a different margin to that so I think its a better bet.
Wolverhampton (2.5) Draw (3.3) Newcastle United (3.1)
Wolves got a good point at Everton, they rode their luck a bit in the first half but fully deserved their point. They are looking like a Premiership team now. Newcastle thrashed Villa 6-0. No one was expecting that. It could have been all so different if Carew would have scored Villa's penalty but he blazed it over the bar and 2 minutes later, Newcastle were 1 up. Villa just fell apart after that. Maybe things aren't as dire for Newcastle as I thought. I will still go with the home win here though. 2.5 is a good price I think against a Newcastle side that looked inept away from home a couple of weeks ago. Its 2.5 at VC Bet.
Manchester United (1.17) Draw (8) West Ham (23)
Manchester United could have sealed victory at Fulham last weekend but Nani missed what was to be a vital penalty. To their credit Fulham never gave up and deserved the point. Manchester United cannot afford to drop points here if they are going to keep up with Chelsea. West Ham are only not rock bottom because Wigan have been so dire. Their top players really need to step up if they are going to avoid a relegation fight. A 1-0 win over Oxford United (90th minute goal) will not have done their confidence any good either. Looking around for a betting angle here, Manchester United to win to nil is 1.73 at Ladbrokes. I don't see why its more likely that Manchester United are to win to nil than Chelsea but thats what the odds say. I am expecting a goal fest here and when that happens the anytime goal scorer market looks decent. Wayne Rooney is 1.62 which is some type of bookie joke I think. Berbatov looks decent at even money at Boylesports though.
29th August 2010
Bolton (2.2) Draw (3.4) Birmingham (3.8)
Bolton seem to be getting back to the side they were under Sam Aladyce, ie, hard to beat. They may have been fortunate that West Ham missed a penalty but a 3-1 away win is usually the sign of a great team. Striker, Johan Elmander scored 2 goals in that victory and looks like he can cause any defence problems. Birmingham could be one of the luckier sides this year. They have 4 points but could easily had 0 points and could not complain. They have come from behind twice and were very fortunate last weekend to get all 3 points from Blackburn. I am going for a home win here. Bolton have won the last 3 games here against Birmingham and I can't see why this can't be number 4. Bolton win is 2.2 at PaddyPower.
Liverpool (1.25) Draw (6) West Bromwich (15)
Bad times for Liverpool. The first game against Arsenal provided a lot of positives but the game at City was worrying. They progressed in the Europa League without Torres or Gerrard thanks to a couple of late goals. Some comfort I suppose but its not looking good for Liverpool to regain a top 4 spot. Lucky for them they are West Brom this weekend. West Brom scored a late goal against Sunderland to win 1-0. I don't think Liverpool should be mega favourites here. I recall last year they drew some of these supposedly easy games. I won't be in a hurry to be backing West Brom at 15.0 though. If I had to bet, I suppose I'd go for the draw but I'll skip this one.
Sunderland (4.5) Draw (3.6) Manchester City (1.91)
Sunderland were well beaten by West Brom even though the score was 1-0. That was away from home though. At home they play a lot better. They would have beat Birmingham if they kept 10 men on the field. Manchester City put a market down last week with a 3-0 win over Liverpool. It looked like Mancini has got the players playing together. It could well be a home and away thing though. They were terrible away to Spurs the week before. I think I will go for the City win though. 1.91 is good price if you consider what an established Big 4 team would be in this fixture. Its 1.91 at Totesport.
Aston Villa (2.7) Draw (3.3) Everton (3)
I don't know what happened to Villa last weekend. All the signs pointed to an away win but they crumbled and got spanked 6-0. Just as worrying is that they were dumped out of the Europa League too with a 3-2 home loss against Rapid Wien. Everton could only manage a draw against Wolves at home but at least they made good midweek with a 5-1 thrashing of Huddersfield in the Carling Cup. They will be going into this game with a solid manager and more confidence for sure. Betting wise I can see all outcomes as not being a surprise. Times like this I usually go for the draw. 3.3 is the biggest price on the coupon so there's some value there I think. It's been a draw the last 3 games I was going to go for the both teams to score option but the odds are a bit low I think. Draw 3.3 at Betfred.
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