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Football Betting Tips

by Ben, last updated 2010-09-09 18:14:52

 Premiership Betting Tips

 11th -12th September 2010


11th September 2010

Everton (4.5) Draw (3.5) Manchester United (1.91)
A slow start for Everton put them in the bottom 3 after 3 games. Their only point was at home to Wolves. That was their only time they have scored in the league this season. With Fellaini not playing too well and Saha and Yajubu injured it'll be up to Cahill and Arteta to get the goals. Manchester United have no major problems coming in to this game. Well apart from maybe the stick that Rooney is going to get about his personal life. He's had a good week off on international duty though and scoring a goal against Switzerland must have done his confidence no end of good. The last couple of seasons haven't been good for Manchester United here. Last year they lost 3-1 and the year before that was 1-1 draw. I just can't see Everton scoring in this game though and if they do am sure Manchester United can score one more than them. Its Manchester United for me. Its 1.91 at 888sport.

Arsenal (1.25) Draw (6) Bolton (15)
Bad times for Arsenal with the Walcott injury. He's been instrumental in them picking up points in their last 2 games. With Van Persie, Nasri and Bendtner out, it looks like they may have problems shooting. Bolton are a different team under Owen Coyle and are playing some pretty football now. This may play in to Arsenal's hands but as the old Bolton didn't have much joy against Arsenal (7 league losses in a row) it may be worth a try. Bolton have started the season fairly well and were resilient when they back against Birmingham in the last game even though they were down to 10 men. I can't be bringing myself to be backing Arsenal at such short odds especially with their injuries. The draw price looks big but I'll skip this game from a betting perspective.

Fulham (1.83) Draw (3.6) Wolverhampton (5)
Could this be the first win for Fulham. 3 out of 3 draws so far. To be fair Fulham's strength has always been at home and their only home game so far has been against Manchester United so a point there was good and they deserved it. I am liking the look of Wolves to stay up. Mick McCarthy has them playing like a Premiership side. Saying that though, Newcastle were looking the more likely to win in their last game. I just don't think the odds here represent the probabilities. Fulham shouldn't be odds on here. Maybe something like 2.2. Wolves aren't a bad side and Fulham under Mark Hughes is still to be proven. I'll go for the draw at 3.6 at Betfred.

Manchester City (1.36) Draw (5) Blackburn (11)
Manchester City maybe are a Jekyll and Hyde, home and away side. The were very disappointing last game out and Sunderland. Maybe if Tevez didn't miss his sitter it would have been different but he did and it allowed Darren Bent to score a late penalty to snatch all 3 points. Blackburn played a good game against Arsenal last game but didn't create enough chances when they had possession. Blackburn were terrible away from home last season and I expect more of the same from them. 1.36 does seem a bit short on Man City but they are potentially a top 4 side and I did see what they did to Liverpool when they were at home. Man City -1 on the 1X2 handicap (so have to win by 2 clears goals for bet to come in) is even money at PaddyPower.

Newcastle United (1.62) Draw (4) Blackpool (6)
Maybe I did get Newcastle wrong. An inept performance against Manchester United at Old Trafford and I'd almost written them off. However they spanked Villa 6-0 and then came from 1-0 behind to Wolves to get a good draw. They looked more the likely to score too. Blackpool went on a little roller coaster ride last game with Fulham, 1-0 down, then 2-1 up and finishing 2-2. They did deserve to win that game though as they dominated for long periods. I am not convinced the odds should be so one sided here. 1.62 for a newly promoted team seems really short to me. I would much rather go for the away win at 6.0. Looks like most punters disagree with that so check closer to kick off and you'll get an even better price by the looks of things.

West Bromwich (4) Draw (3.5) Tottenham (2.1)
West Brom put in a good performance against Liverpool last game and maybe should have got something out of it. On another day they may well have had a penalty for a handball and the game would have ended 1-1 instead of 1-0. Nothing wrong with the way West Brom have picked themselves up after that opening day thrashing. Possibly shock of the season last round when Wigan beat Spurs 1-0. I was discussing this with a friend and he said he saw it coming. Midweek Champions League games take it out of teams and Wigan couldn't carry on getting thrashed to nil. Anyway, it will be good to see how Spurs respond to the set back. With Defoe out and possibly Crouch they could struggle to score goals. Saying that, I was expecting them to be odds on for this game, so 2.1 is a price I will take at Ladbrokes for the Spurs win.

West Ham (12) Draw (5) Chelsea (1.33)
West Ham are in for the relegation fight. I guess Averam Grant isn't really a top, top flight manager or just needs a bit more time to get his team together. Even against a sluggish looking Machester United they were beat 3-0. In fact the only team so far this season that hasn't put 3 past them is Oxford United. The Chelsea machine goes on. As I thought they couldn't carry on stream rolling teams but winning without conceding seems to be with in their comfort zone. 2-0 against Stoke was a good result. I'm just going to go for the same bet as last time, Chelsea to win to nil at 2.38 at 888sport. Seems utter madness that a team 1.33 is 2.38 to win to nil.

Wigan (2.5) Draw (3.3) Sunderland (3)
First points of the season for Wigan last time out against a poor looking Spurs side. Maybe the Champions League tired Spurs out or maybe Wigan were sick of getting thrashed and wanted revenge for last seasons 9-1 humiliation. Whatever the reason, the win would have done wonders for their confidence. Sunderland rode their luck in the first half against Manchester City and got a penalty deep in to stoppage time at the end of the 90. Darren Bent scored that and they won the game. Sunderland are another one of those sides that you can't trust away from home though and I'll not be backing them. Looking at 1X but leaning more towards the draw. Wigan aren't a side I don't think that can pull out consecutive good performances and the draw is the best price on the coupon. Its 3.3 at Betfred.

12th September 2010

Birmingham (3.3) Draw (3.3) Liverpool (2.4)
Birmingham were the better side against Bolton last round. 2-0 up and against 10 men they will be kicking themselves for not getting all 3 points. Liverpool are in deep trouble in my opinion. Kuyt, one of their better players is out and Torres had a long trip to Argentina with Spain midweek. Even though Torres scored last round he's not been in form at all and a long trip like that won't help. Liverpool barely deserved to beat West Brom last round and this game will be a lot tougher for them. I think this game has draw written all over it. Its 3.3 at Betfred.







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