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Football Betting Tips
by Simon, last updated 2010-01-22 00:37:15FA Cup 5th Round and Premiership Betting Tips
23rd January 2010
Manchester United (1.17) Draw (8) Hull (21)
Man U lost midweek to Man City. It wasn't that big a shock considering the poor form Man U have been in. These types of games Man U should win, at 1.17, you don't need me to tell you that. Hull's keeper played the game of his life last week to deny Spur's a win. I can't see that happening again. One bet that does stand out on this game is at William Hill, 2.5 for both teams to score. Man U are certs to score, so you are practically getting, 2.5 on Hull to score. A much better bet than the 1.17 Man U win.
Preston (13) Draw (6) Chelsea (1.29)
Preston's form has been pretty indifferent this year. In previous years, they were always play off contenders but this year, they sit 17th. Only 4 wins out of 11 at home. Chelsea demolished Sunderland last weekend, 7-2. It was as much to do with a poor Sunderland side as it was to do with a good Chelsea side. On paper, Chelsea should breeze this. No doubt they will. 1.29 on the away win is a fair price I suppose. If you are little braver, the draw/Chelsea half-time/full-time result is 4.5 though. Chelsea have a habit of making hard work of these easy games.
Reading (2.63) Draw (3.4) Burnley (2.88)
Reading thoroughly deserved to get through against Liverpool last round. They outplayed Liverpool in both games. In the league, they aren't doing well and sit in the relegation zone. This will be a nice distraction for them. There are many worse teams in the Championship, so Reading should stay up. Burnley made a good start with the new manager at Old Trafford. They lost 3-0 but that score flattered Man U. I can see Burnley's priority to stay up this year so they may not try as hard as they could. Even with a full strength side it still would be tough for them as they don't win away from home very often. Reading for me. Its 2.63 at Betfred
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Accrington (8) Draw (4.5) Fulham (1.5)
League 2 Accrington only qualified for this round on Tuesday by beating League 1 Gillingham 1-0 with a late goal. Accrington are a full 3 leagues below Fulham. From the raw stats. I cannot see another upset. Accrington are 11th in League 2, with a 5-0-5 home record, hardly sparkling. Fulham have been playing badly away from home, losing their last 3. Still, this is a team many places below them. Accrington's pitch may diminish Fulham's skill advantage but I can still see Fulham winning this. This game is priced as if an upset is on the cards. 1.5 is a great price at Skybet for Fulham.
Aston Villa (1.22) Draw (7) Brighton (15)
What a crazy game for Villa in the Carling Cup. You don't get many 6-4 games. That puts them in the Carling Cup final. Last week, they played out a 0-0 draw against West Ham. Disappointing to say the least. That's the 3rd league game where they failed to score. With Arsenal, next midweek, O'Neil may be tempted to make a few changes. Brighton sit 19th in League 1. They have actually won their last 3 away games. I can't really see them causing an upset here though. 1.22 isn't a price I'd wanting to be backing Villa at though. Its a no bet for me, or a small punt on the draw at 7.0.
Bolton (1.85) Draw (3.6) Sheffield Utd (4.5)
Tough start for Owen Coyle, having to play Arsenal twice. This will be his chance to get a first win under his belt. He should go for the win but you never know. They host Burnley on Tuesday night. Sheffield United have been in terrific form recently. After a bad patch they have climbed up to 6th place in the Championship and in to that last play off spot. Only 1 loss in 11. 4.5 is a good price for Sheffield United. It wouldn't be too much of a shock if United did win this.
Everton (1.87) Draw (3.5) Birmingham (5)
Great performance against City from Everton. If they play like that again, they'll surely end this unbeaten run of Birmingham's. It'll be pretty hard for Everton to play like that again though. Birmingham are unbeaten in 14 matches in all competitions. It has to end sometime but it could easily last another week. The way I see this game, is that no result would surprise me. I don't get why Everton are odds on. Unbeaten in 7 league games but they've only won 2 of those. I'd be much more inclined to back Birmingham on the Asian Handicap, 2.05 +0.5 at bet365.
Tottenham (1.33) Draw (6) Leeds (11)
Spurs laid down midweek and got beat by Liverpool 2-0. Last weekend, they were disappointing against Hull only getting a 0-0 draw. Good form before then though. Its that consistency that makes me think that they won't break in to the top 4 this season. Leeds had a dream at Old Trafford knocking Man U out. Since then its not been as rosy. They have drawn 1 and lost 2. Maybe their season has peaked. The result at Old Trafford will make sure that Spurs won't be complacent here. They'll put out a strong side. I can see no upset here. In fact, I'd be happy to back Spurs on the handicap here. You can get 1.91 for Spurs -1 on the 1X2 handicap at Skybet. They have to win by 2 clear goals for it to come in.
24th January 2010
Stoke (5) Draw (3.5) Arsenal (1.83)
Tricky game to call so early on. Its the FA Cup and it really does depend on the team that Wenger decides to put out. If you could be sure that a full strength Arsenal team was out, you'd not get 1.83 on them. Arsenal are currently top of the league and have Villa on Wednesday. The league is winnable for Arsenal this year and maybe Wenger will sacrifice the FA Cup chance for it. Stoke aren't a bad side at home and would be able to beat an Arsenal side with some 2nd/3rd stringers in it. Best check out the team news before betting on this game.
Scunthorpe (10) Draw (4.8) Manchester City (1.4)
This is another potentially tricky game. Scunthorpe are 20th in the Championship so on paper, Man City should win this with ease. The only spanner in the works is the game on Wednesday against Man U. Mancini will surely have that in mind considering the rivalry. A weakened side could struggle here. Best check the team news before betting on this one.
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