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Football Betting Tips
by Ben, last updated 2012-04-21 03:24:47Premiership Weekend Betting tips
21st - 22nd April 2012
21st April 2012Arsenal (2.1) Draw (3.6) Chelsea (4)
Poor showing from Arsenal on Monday to lose 2-1 at home to Wigan. I think they missed Arteta in midfield and he will be out for the season. To some, the loss wouldn't have been much of a surprise. After all, Wigan had just beaten Manchester United and would have beaten Chelsea if it wasn't for the referee. Also, some of Arsenals wins have just been lucky. Chelsea played a stunning game against Barcelona on Wednesday. With only 28% of the possession and 1 shot on target, they managed to beat Barcelona 1-0. Unbelievable. Drogba won't be playing in this game due to an injury and Di Matteo is going to be rotating his squad due to them having to face Barcelona in the second leg on Tuesday. Chelsea were great against Spurs in the FA Cup last weekend too. If he puts out a half decent side I think they can win this. 4.0 is a massive price at Bet Victor
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Aston Villa (2.4) Draw (3.4) Sunderland (3.4)
It is a good job that Villa picked up points early in the season because their squad is down to the bare bones and they aren't getting the results. Only the 1 win in 11. Last round they were thrashed 4-0 by an average Manchester United side. They'll stay up though as there are 3 teams below them that won't be able to catch them. Sunderland have gone off the boil recently. No goal in their last 3 games. Against Spurs and Everton that's understandable but against bottom of the table Wolves, that's shocking. O'Neil will try getting them fired up for this game against his former team but I do sometimes feel that he inherited a limited squad that has over performed. I think this could end in a draw. It's a result both sides would be happy with I think. Its 3.4 at Betfred.
Blackburn (2.15) Draw (3.7) Norwich (3.8)
5 losses in a row now for Blackburn. It was looking so good for them a month ago but its all gone wrong. Good news is that Yakubu and Hoilett should be fit for this game. With the way they played last weekend against Swansea though, its unlikely they'll be able to get anything from anyone in this league and deserve to go down. On paper, Norwich were thrashed 6-1 by City last round. 4 of those goals were in the last 20 minutes though and before then at 2-1 it was nervy for City. The previous game they beat Spurs 2-1 at White Hart Lane which they were the better team. If they can beat Spurs I can see them beating this poor Blackburn side. I'll play it safe though with draw no bet at 2.75 at bluesquare. I just can't see how Blackburn can win this but they may be able to get a draw.
Bolton (2.3) Draw (3.4) Swansea (3.6)
With 2 games in hand and only 2 points behind QPR, Bolton are odds against to stay up. Recent performances suggest they can do. They were unlucky to lose 2-0 to Newcastle last round. They were playing well and it was only a late wonder goal by Ben Arfa than un did them. Cisse scored one as well to make the victory look comfortable for Newcastle but Bolton did play really well and probably deserved something out of it. Swansea stopped their run of 4 straight losses last round with a 3-0 beating of Blackburn. Blackburn have been extremely poor though and I am not convinced that their brand of football can work. Too much passing around the back so they possession stats look good but if teams push them up the pitch they are easily beaten. I think Bolton can do it. Bolton are 2.3 at Bet Victor.
Fulham (1.91) Draw (3.7) Wigan (4.33)
Fulham have found some good form recently. Last round I thought they were well worth their point against Chelsea. They had the better chances. Clint Dempsey is in fine scoring form for them. Their form is topped by Wigan's though. 4 wins in the last 5 including Manchester United, Liverpool and Arsenal. You could say they are the Premiership's in form team. It'd be 5/5 if the referee wouldn't have given the offside goals against them at Stanford Bridge where Chelsea beat them 2-1. The odds on for Fulham are not tempting at all. They are against a team that have just beat 1st and 3rd in the league. Wigan +0.5 goals on the Asian Handicap is 2.02 at bet365.
Newcastle (1.7) Draw (3.8) Stoke (5.8)
Fantastic form for Newcastle. Ba and Cisse make up a great strike partnership and Ben Arfa is class too. Tiote, Guthrie and Obertan could be back in the side after injury. Newcastle have won their last 5 game and the last 4 by 2 clear goals. Stoke's form has been pretty indifferent. Some good draws I suppose but they haven't got anything to play for now. They've never been the best travelling side anyway. I am going to go for Newcastle here. They are playing like a top 4 team and aren't priced right IMO. I think Spurs were only about 1.4 when Stoke went to the Lane last month. Newcastle at 1.7 is a great bet at PaddyPower.
QPR (4) Draw (3.75) Tottenham (2)
QPR lost their last game 1-0 away to West Brom. Nothing wrong with their performance and their away form has been much poorer than their home form. In the last 3 home games, they have managed to beat Liverpool, Arsenal and Swansea. Not easy fixtures to win. Cisse will be available for this game after returning from suspension. Its not known whether he'll play though as he hasn't exactly shined since his move to QPR. Spurs bad run of form continues. Only 1 win in the last 8 in the Premier League and then last weekend, they lost 5-1 in the FA Cup to Spurs. I can't understand the reason for the dip in form. It coincided with Harry being in the frame for the England job but that can't have caused such a change in fortunes. At 4.0 QPR is the only bet to have here. Spurs haven't even scored away from home in the last 3. QPR are 4.0 at bet365.
22nd April 2012
Manchester United (1.36) Draw (5.5) Everton FC (11)
Routine home win for Manchester United last weekend. Villa aren't the strongest of opponents though and the weaknesses that Wigan exploited the game before are probably still there, namely a poor midfield. Rooney has been off form and been subbed twice in the last 2 games. Everton were disappointing the FA Cup semi final against Liverpool. They took the lead but some poor defending let Liverpool win the game 2-1. The outcome of this game depends on how Everton respond to that defeat. Is that season over now for them? Possibly, they still could easily finish above Liverpool though which they will want to aim for. The 11.0 does look like it has some value. I am going to go for United to win to nil though. Its one of those bets that has paid out the last 4 home games. Its 2.2 at Skybet. New customers get £10 no deposit when they sign up. Bet with their money.
Liverpool (1.5) Draw (4.75) West Brom (8)
Great cup form for Liverpool. They came back from 1-0 down to beat Everton 2-1. Andy Carroll scoring the winner again after breaking Blackburn hearts with a late winner the Premiership game before. The fans will expect the cup form to spill over in to the league where its not been so great. They are currently in 8th which is the lowest I've seen them with just 5 games to go. West Brom are a team that are blowing hot and cold. Any performance is possible. I suppose Hodgson would love to get a result here from his former club. I am never comfortable backing Liverpool at home to anyone due to the amount of draws they had at home. I think the 4.75 at Boylesports is the best value here.
Wolverhampton (13) Draw (6.5) Manchester City (1.25)
Wolves stopped their losing streak with a 0-0 at Sunderland. Its not enough to keep them up though. They down. City look stunning now with Aguero and Tevez up front. This is the shortest away price in the Premiership I have ever seen. Even Manchester United at home this weekend pays out more. I think its bet on the handicap or win to nil. City -2 on the Asian Handicap is 2.2 at PaddyPower. I think they should clear that easily. If you think 1-0 or 2-0 are likely then the win to nil bet is probably better. It's 2.1 at Skybet. I prefer the handicap though as Wolves may get a lucky goal but I don't think they'll be able to stop City scoring 3-4 goals.
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