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Football Betting Tips
by Ben, last updated 2010-09-24 15:00:02Premiership Betting Tips
25th -26th September 2010
25th September 2010Manchester City (3.6) Draw (3.4) Chelsea (2.2)
First proper game of the season for Chelsea. We'll see if the are really champions elect or just been lucky with some easy fixtures. Both teams were knocked out of the Carling Cup mideweek. I'll not read too much in to that as both must have had one eye on this fixture and didn't play full strength sides. City saw off Wigan last weekend 2-0 in a game. There was little between the two sides until City scored. Chelsea more or less declared last weekend against Blackpool, 4-0 up at half time they didn't push any further. City did the double over Chelsea last season. I don't think it will happen this time. I will go for Chelsea at 2.2 at Totesport. Even though they have been playing cannon fodder type teams it still takes class to fire on average 4 goals past a team.
Arsenal (1.22) Draw (6.5) West Bromwich (18)
Arsenal kids beat Spurs midweek. Its pretty much the story of Arsenal. I remember a few years ago thinking that their youth side was just as good as their senior side. Arsenal were probably a little unlucky not go get all 3 points from Sunderland last weekend. They played most of the second half with 10 men and missed a penalty. West Brom's weakened side managed to see off Manchester City's weakened side midweek. It'll be a different team this time. That team came back from 1-0 down to beat Birmingham 3-1 last week. I am still unsure about Arsenal's strength but am willing to back them this week on the handicap. When they do win against these sort of sides, they usually win big. Arsenal -1.75 is 2.05 on the Asian Handicap at bet365. Basically, 1 goal win (lose bet), 2 goal win (win half), 3+ goal win (full win).
Birmingham (1.83) Draw (3.6) Wigan (5)
Birmingham were one of the sides that did the Premiership proud in the Carling Cup, seeing off MK Dons 3-1. Last weekend they beaten 3-1 in the derby against West Brom. They were leading but some terrible mistakes allowed West Brom to take all 3 points. Wigan also saw off lower league opposition in the Carling Cup but it took 2 very late goals. Last weekend, they match City until they conceded. Sloppy defending let them down. I don't like the odds on the home win here, 1.83 is a little low for me. Birmingham aren't pulling up any trees and Wigan can turn it up on occasions, just look at Spurs a few weeks ago. I think the best bet is the draw at 3.6 at Betfred.
Blackpool (3.25) Draw (3.4) Blackburn (2.4)
Blackpool got knocked of the Carling Cup in the second round so didn't have a midweek game. Last weekend only a slow down on Chelsea's part stopped them getting totally humiliated at Stamford Bridge. This is Blackpool's second game at home this season. The first finished in a 2-2 draw against Fulham. Balckburn have had a typical mid-table looking kind of season so far. Their manager, Sam Allardyce has come under a bit of ridicule this week for suggesting he would be better at at Inter Milan or Real Madrid. In terms of betting, I see more value in the home side at 3.25 at Betfred than backing Blackburn. Blackpool have had more time to prepare and home advantage. They did look clueless against Chelsea but I think they can bounce back here with a win.
Fulham (2.75) Draw (3.4) Everton (2.8)
Fulham have had a good start to the season considering their fixtures. 1 win and 4 draws. It will take time for the new manager to get the most of his team but he's already improved on Fulham's abysmal away record in recent seasons. Everton are almost at crisis point. With no injuries at the start of the season they started off very poorly. Now with Saha and Anichebe out they only have Yakubu as a striker. They were knocked out of the Carling Cup by Brentford midweek. Looking at the team it looked more or less their full side. Usually I would be jumping all over Fulham here. I think I still may do. The odds just don't seem right to me. How can an unbeaten side, strong at home only be slight favorites for this game against a team that has only drawn 2 home games and lost the other 3? Maybe the bookies think that this is the week when Everton's season gets started.
Liverpool (1.5) Draw (4.5) Sunderland (8.5)
16th place seems strange for Liverpool. I can't recall them ever been there. Only 5 points from 5 and their only win being 1-0 at home against West Brom. Getting dumped out of the Carling Cup by Northampton was a major setback too. The full strength side should be back for this game though so we should see a much better performance. Last weekend they were largely outclassed by Manchester United though and so even at full strength they are a shadow of former Liverpool teams. Sunderland hung on in the game against Arsenal last week and were rewarded with a stoppage time penalty which they scored to salvage a point. Away from home they are a different beat though and don't pull out those types of performances. The was Liverpool are playing it doesn't make sense for them to be at 1.5. It should be more profitable to oppose them most weeks at those odds unless they get their act together. Sunderland +1 goal on the Asian Handicap is 2.18 at Ladbrokes.
West Ham (3.75) Draw (3.4) Tottenham (2.1)
Some good news for West Ham at last. They managed to follow up their point at Stoke with a 2-1 away win against Sunderland in the Carling Cup. The turning point in their season maybe? Spurs experimental side got thrashed 4-1 in the Carling Cup but I doubt Harry Redknapp will care. Its the Champions League next week and the Premiership that matter. I am going to go Spurs on this. West Ham have shown improvement but from a dismal start. Spurs need to be winning these types of games if they are going to qualify for the Champions League again. Spurs at 2.1 is generally available.
26th September 2010
Bolton (8) Draw (4.3) Manchester United (1.53)
Bolton look likely not to be facing the relegation scrap this year. Still early days but only the single defeat at Arsenal isn't too bad a start. Last week they got a good point away at Villa. Manchester United have been struggling a bit away from home with late goals. They were winning in normal time at both Fulham and Everton but were pegged back. I guess Ferguson will have learnt his lesson. Against Liverpool last week they were clearly the better side but it took at late goal to get all 3 points. Berbatov is finally playing like the world class player he is which is fortunate as Rooney is going through a massive loss of form period. Odds of 1.53 are a bit short for Manchester United. I can't see Bolton just rolling over here. I do like the look over over 2.5 goals at bet365. All 5 Permiership games have ended up over 2.5 goals and so have 3/5 games for Bolton.
Wolverhampton (2.88) Draw (3.4) Aston Villa (2.6)
Wolves were beating Spurs 1-0 up until the 77th minute and then 2 more very late goals put a nice look to the scoreline. Wolves battled hard and maybe deserved something from the game. Gerrard Houllier had a good start in the Carling Cup beating Blackburn 3-1. I can see this being a bit of a sterner test though. I can't decide what to go for. New managers always give teams a boost first few games but Wolves are under rated to me. I'll go for the draw then. Its 3.4 at Betfred.
Newcastle United (2) Draw (3.5) Stoke (4.2)
Stunning performance at Everton and Chelsea by Newcastle. The 2-0 home defeat at home to Blackpool has already been forgiven by most. I've changed my opinion of Newcastle. Stoke came out winners too in their Carling Cup game but that was at home to Fulham. In the league, they have been a little unlucky and I thought they had turned the corner with the win against Villa but then they go on to draw at home to a poor West Ham side. Its Newcastle all the way for me. Stoke have never been as good away from home and Newcastle would like to banish the Blackpool result with a solid win. Its 2.0 for Newcastle at Skybet.
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