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Football Betting Tips
by Ben, last updated 2010-10-01 16:27:47What a crazy set of results last weekend. The bookies were absolutely loving it. William Hill had one of their best ever Premiership weekends after all four of the 'Big Four' failed to win in the Premiership. A William Hill Spokesperson said "It has been a fantastic weekend for the bookies, we alone have made a substantial seven figure sum. Sunday was particularly good as punters were chasing Saturday loses, backing United and the United-Rangers double at 5/4,"
Hopefully this week will be more predictable.
Premiership Betting Tips
2nd - 3rd October 2010
2nd October 2010Wigan (2.38) Draw (3.3) Wolverhampton (3.3)
Neither of these teams have started brilliantly. They sit 17th and 18th in the league respectively. Wigan had a goalless draw last weekend at Birmingham. With no really good strikers they are struggling to score. Wolves are still underated in my opinion. They were unlucky not to get anything from Villa's visit last weekend. Looking at the odds, its got to be X2. I will go with the away win because I think Wolve's luck has to change at some point. Wigan look like a team that deserve to be at the bottom whereas Wolves have been unlucky. Its 3.3 at PaddyPower.
Birmingham (2.88) Draw (3.3) Everton (2.7)
Birmingham have drawn their last 2 home games 0-0. The don't seem to have the ability to break teams down and their early season luck has run out. Everton are rock bottom with 3 draws. Last weekend they drew to Fulham 0-0. With no strikers I can't see them scoring the goals needed to pick themselves off the bottom of the table. Cahill is a decent player but playing a lone strike role is tough for anyone. This games looks like a 0-0, or 1-0 either way. Unders for sure. Under 2.5 goals is 1.71 at Bodog but I am going to go for under 1.5 goals at 3.2 at VC Bet.
Stoke (2.3) Draw (3.3) Blackburn (3.4)
Stoke battled well from a goal down to take all 3 points from an in form Newcastle. They were outclassed first half but second half they came back and deserved the win. Blackburn beat Blackpool last weekend. It probably should have ended a draw and Blackpool sealed their own downfall by going for the win instead of settling for a point. Both teams are masters of the long throws in to the box. Its hard to separate the sides. I will go for the home win though as I am still as Stoke have been good at home in recent seasons and Blackburn poor. Normality has to return to the Premiership sooner or later. Its 2.3 for the home win at 888sport.
Sunderland (5.5) Draw (3.6) Manchester United (1.83)
Sunderland were unlucky to only get a point from Liverpool last weekend. That first goal should never have been. I guess its payback for last seasons beach ball incident. Darren Bent seems to be on a roll with scoring, netting both Sunderland goals. Manchester United were once again disappointing away from home in the Premiership. They had to come from behind twice to get a point against Bolton. They had a better time in Spain winning 1-0 against Valencia but both teams were really set out for the 0-0 and it was a late fortunate goal which gave Manchester United the win. I am sure Manchester United will turn their away fortunes around at some point but I'm not willing to back it at 1.83 this weekend. I think over 2.5 goals is the better bet. All 6 of Manchester United's games have been over 2.5 goals. With their not so solid defense and Darren Bent free scoring they are bound to let on in, so they'll need to have an overs game to win. Its even money at bet365.
Tottenham (2) Draw (3.6) Aston Villa (4)
Spurs had a good looking win on paper against FC Twente. They were 2-0 up, then conceded, had a man sent off, got a lucky penalty and scored a very late goal. It was one of those 4-1 games that could have been a 2-2. Last weekend they lost to West Ham 1-0. Gerrard Houllier has got off to the perfect start with 2 wins out of 2. Spurs will present a tougher test than Wolves or Blackburn though. I still am siding with the away win. Spurs had a game midweek and I am still not convinced that they have gotten used to playing in Europe then winning in the league. Villa win is 4.0 at most Bookmakers
West Bromwich (2.2) Draw (3.4) Bolton (3.8)
West Brom may have shock result of the season. Not only did they outplay Arsenal, winning 3-2, they were 3-0 up with 15 minutes to go. They knocked Man City out of the Carling Cup and beat Birmingham 3-1 in the previous home game. They are the in form team. Bolton played extremely well against Manchester United and fully deserved their 2-2 draw. Johan Elmander looks very threatening for Bolton at last. I will stick with the current form. I worry that some teams outside the top few haven't got 3 wins in a row in them but you can't go against a team that has just won at Arsenal 3-2. West Brom are 2.2 at PaddyPower.
West Ham (2.38) Draw (3.3) Fulham (3.5)
Just when I was writing off West Ham this season they get a draw at Stoke, beat Sunderland away from home (in the Carling Cup) and then beat Spurs. Grant has got them playing as a team now. I think Fulham have take a step back under Mark Hughes. Unbeaten but they have only won 1 game, drawing the other 5. They created few chances against Everton last weekend and 0-0 was a fair result. I am going to go with West Ham to carry on their resurgence. Its 2.38 at Betfred for the West Ham win.
3rd October 2010
Manchester City (1.5) Draw (4.5) Newcastle United (8.5)
Great result for City last weekend against Chelsea. They outplayed them in a dull game and fully deserved the 1-0 win. On paper, they do have potentially a better team than Chelsea and it was just a case of whether they would gell at the right time. Newcastle were good against Stoke and going in to the break 1-0 they looked comfortable winners but Stoke came back and won 2-1. A little more consistency is needed. I probably could make the case for the Newcastle win. They did beat Chelsea's (strongish) Carling Cup side 4-3. I am going to go for the home win though and put last week's freak results behind. I think City will make top 4 this season. 1.5 is a great price for any top 4 team at home against a bottom tier team. Its 1.5 at William Hill
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Liverpool (1.33) Draw (5) Blackpool (11)
Liverpool's season is going from bad to worse. In a game on paper, they should have won easily, they needed a referee's mistake to earn them a point. There were signs of improvement but from a very bad start. Blackpool should have really settled for the draw against Blackburn last weekend. They lost because they went for the win. I know what Ian Holloway means when he says that draws don't keep you up but better to have 1 point than 0. I really can't see Blackpool getting anything here. They have had 2 shock away wins so far but against the big teams they have got spanked pretty hard. Liverpool win but to be honest 1.33 doesn't appeal to me at all. I am still unsure whether Liverpool are a big team this year.
Chelsea (1.75) Draw (3.75) Arsenal (5.5)
Chelsea were brought crashing down to reality with the 1-0 loss at Manchester City last weekend. Many people thought they would walk the league this season (including myself) but they have shown that against strong opposition they can fail. Arsenal were humiliated last weekend by West Brom. Even Wenger, who usually defends his players or blames someone else, blamed his players. Its tough for Arsenal with all the players out though. Fabregas is very doubtful for this game and his role is vital if Arsenal are going to get anything from this. Usually, I would be saying back Arsenal at 5.5. How often does that happen? With all the injuries though, I can't see them getting anything here. Chelsea are 1.75 at Boylesports.
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