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Football Betting Tips
by Simon, last updated 2010-10-15 17:12:37Premiership Betting Tips
16th - 19th October 2010
16th October 2010Arsenal (1.33) Draw (5.5) Birmingham (11)
Arsenal played a good game against Chelsea but suffer from that old problem of not being able to shoot enough. They still like their pretty passes. They really do need their strikers back and Fabregras. Birmingham were pretty ordinary last game and were beat 2-0 by Everton at home. They aren't the team they were last season and may well get sucked in to the relegation battle if they don't start scoring. Only 1 goal in their last 4 league games. Looking at the odds, you'd be a fool to be backing Arsenal at 1.33. I did look at the win to nil market which is 2.2 at PaddyPower but I noticed that they also do a bet that is both teams to score. Yes is 1.73 and no is 2.0. I think betting on 'no' is the way to play this. It covers all the Arsenal win to nil scores, as well as 0-0 and any Birmingham to win to nil scores.
Bolton (2.25) Draw (3.3) Stoke (3.6)
Bolton have been playing some decent football but have failed to turn the good football in to wins. Only 1 win all season and that was against West Ham when they were going though their early season gelling period. Saying that, Bolton have only lost 1 too at Arsenal. Stoke, after their early season bad start have picked up, 3 wins and a draw in their last 4. Kenwyne Jones has been a great signing for them so far. This game looks like its got draw written all over it. Bolton have drawn 5 out of 7 and Stoke aren't the type of team that can win 3 in a row. The draw is 3.3 at Betfred.
Fulham (2.9) Draw (3.3) Tottenham (2.6)
Fulham are one of only 2 undefeated teams in the league. Its shame for them that their record is played 7, drawn 6 and won 1. I guess this may be down to Mark Hughes. Recall that when he was at City they didn't lose much but drew a hell of a lot of games. Spurs recovered fine against the defeat at West Ham with a couple of good home wins against FC Twente and Villa. Rafael van der Vaart looks like he could be signing of the season. I am still a bit weary of backing Spurs away from home though. They have only managed to beat Stoke so far and that was quite a lucky win. They also have a trip to Inter Milan next week that must be on their mind. I am going to go for the draw on this. Its the biggest price and with Fulham being the draw specialist its the most likely result. Its 3.3 at Coral.
Manchester United (1.29) Draw (6) West Bromwich (13)
Manchester United are having some serious problems away from home in the league. The pattern is win at home, draw away from home. Logically, this means that this should be a win and looking at the odds, the bookies and everyone things so too. I am not too sure, Manchester United haven't been playing well and with all the stuff about Rooney can't be helping behind the scenes. West Brom couldn't keep up their winning steak but still remain unbeaten in 4. Its no easy feat to be 3-0 at Arsenal and play them off the pitch. I guess it would be asking too much for this to happen again but I can't see them rolling over. I am going to be backing West Brom on the Asian Handicap. Its +1.5 goals at bet365 at 2.08. I can't see Manchester United walking this and a 1 goal United win will stay payout.
Newcastle United (1.9) Draw (3.6) Wigan (4.5)
Maybe the two most unpredictable teams in the league. After the 6-0 win against Villa, you were expecting that their home form would keep them up. Since then though, they have lost at home to Blackpool and Stoke. Wigan looked like they were certs to go down after a shocking start but have started picking up some good points. Those last round against Wolves may provide invaluable. I can't really see why Newcastle are odds on favourites here. They haven't delivered in the last 2 games against a similar standard of opposition. Wigan are unpredictable but given that the price is 4.5 for a Wigan win thats much better than 1.9 for the Newcastle win. Its 4.5 at most Bookmakers.
Wolverhampton (2.3) Draw (3.3) West Ham (3.4)
I may have got Wolves wrong. I thought they looked like a decent Premiership side but recent results leave them second from bottom. I thought they were unlucky but 4 losses in a row is a lot of bad luck. West Ham have picked up since Piquionne got in to the team. 2 draws and a win mean they can come off the bottom of the table with a win here. I guess I will have to go with the team with the momentum. West Ham are 3.4 at VC Bet which looks a better bet than the home win.
Aston Villa (5) Draw (3.75) Chelsea (1.83)
Villa were looking good for the win but the brilliance of van der Vaart undid them. In this game, I expect Villa to sit back and play like an away team, which Villa are strong at. Doubts over Agbonlahor and Heskey though so their striking options may be limited. Chelsea looked on paper to come back strong from that 1-0 defeat at Manchester City. A 2-0 win against Arsenal looks good on paper but Arsenal were the dominant team. With the fixture list Chelsea have had, they would really have struggled not to be top of the league if they were serious challengers. Looking at the odds here, I would have to go Villa. 5.0 is a big price for a decent side against an Chelsea team that has had only one real test and failed. Its 5.0 at Boylesports.
17th October 2010
Everton (2.5) Draw (3.3) Liverpool (3.2)
Who would have though this would be a game against 17th and 18th. Everton's season may have been kick started last game. A good 2-0 win at Birmingham will surely have raised their confidence. Liverpool's season is going from bad to worse. The 2-1 home loss will hopefully be the rock bottom point for Liverpool fans but I fear for them here. Only Reina, Gerrard and Carragher seem to be performing and I can't see anyone else that is fit that can lift Liverpool's game. First time in years I've seen Everton favourite in this derby. I'm not sure I can pick a winner here so I'll go for the draw. Good price for the home win but I am not going to be backing a team that's only won 1 game out of 7. Draw is 3.3 at Skybet.
Blackpool (6) Draw (4) Manchester City (1.62)
Blackpool are currently the bookies friend. Their victory against Liverpool must have broken so many coupons. The win was as much down to Liverpool's ineptness as Blackpool's footballing skills. Despite being in 9th place, they are still favourite to go down. The trouble is that they haven't been picking up points at home, early days as they've only played 2 home games so it may still pick up. City sneaked past Newcastle last game with a 2-1 win at home. Not really the type of performance that you'd expect potential league winners to give but they still won. I am expecting them to win here but I don't think that 1.62 is a good price. I suppose you can't argue against the fact that Blackpool is the least expensive club in the league and Manchester City is probably the most expensive. Its 1.62 at bet365.
18th October 2010
Blackburn (2.15) Draw (3.4) Sunderland (3.75)
Blackburn have been very strong at home since Big Sam took over. I think its only something like 5 home defeats and they were against the big 4 teams. Its a tough place for teams to go. They get a lot of stick for being overly physical but it works. Sunderland have Darren Bent as an injury doubt. This is important as he's been their top goal scorer. I guess if he was playing, I'd take a chance of the away win. Sunderland have had a tough fixture list and come out of it with a respectable number of points, considering they have played Manchester United, Manchester City, Arsenal and Liverpool. They were the better team against Manchester United last game and should maybe have got more than a point. Away performance has been bad over the last season but they have been playing so well, that if Bent plays I'll be willing to back them at 3.75 at Boylesports.
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