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Football Betting Tips
by Ben, last updated 2010-11-20 00:37:52Premiership Betting Tips
20th - 22nd November 2010
20th November 2010Arsenal (1.67) Draw (4.2) Tottenham (5.5)
I don't know what to make of Arsenal. So up and down. Last weekend, I think it was as much to do with Everton being inept rather than Arsenal really hitting top gear. Nasari looking good nowadays but still many people out due to injury. Spurs are back on track to get back in Europe with that 4-2 win over Blackburn. Still a few important players out for Spurs too. Bale is a player that can do a lot of damage on his day so Arsenal will have to keep an eye out for him. Both teams must have one eye on next week's Champions League fixtures. Arsenal in a of a better position than Spurs with respect to the likelihood of qualifying. Odds aren't that great on Arsenal considering the strength of the Spurs team. I will go for them though as Spurs are a side that seem to collapse at the sight of a big team. Arsenal win is 1.67 at VC Bet.
Birmingham (5.5) Draw (3.75) Chelsea (1.8)
Good point at City for Birmingham last weekend. That point wasn't enough for them not to get sucked in to the bottom 3 though. It's a really tight table though and a win here could lift them to mid table, that's how close it is. I don't see them as the team they were last year but they don't look a side that is going down. Chelsea were lucky to get away with 3-0 at home to Sunderland. I guess with the backbone of their team out, they are nothing. Sunderland attacked and got what they deserved. With Lampard, Terry, Alex and Essien all still out, its not looking good for them here either. 1.8 would be a cracking price normally for Chelsea but I can see no value in this. I would be tempted by the price on the home win but I don't think that Birmingham have got it in them to break Chelsea down. So it's the draw at 3.75 at VC Bet.
Blackpool (2.6) Draw (3.4) Wolverhampton (3)
I was right about Blackpool last weekend. They are a poor side on paper but keep nicking the odd point here and there. The 0-0 wasn't a typical 0-0, there many chances at both ends and could have easily been a 3-3 thriller. Wolves fought back from 3-0 down to Bolton to make the score line a more respectable 3-2 last weekend. Once again, it was the story of Wolves, play well, get nothing out of the game. Wolves have lost 3 on the bounce now since beating City. Betting wise, I can't see Wolves losing another one. Blackpool's home record isn't very good at all. The draw looks the best value to me at 3.4 at PaddyPower.
Bolton (2.2) Draw (3.4) Newcastle United (3.75)
What a turn around for Owen Coyle, last season fighting against relegation, this season sitting in 5th place and playing some attractive football. Elmander playing well now and Davis looking brilliant, they are moving away from that physical brand of football that Alladyce had them playing. Unbeaten in 3 now, winning 2 of them and scoring 8 goals. Newcastle could only go down after beating Arsenal at the Emirates. They are strange side in that their away record is better than their home one. Carrol l was playing for England midweek so he maybe a bit tired. He's been instrumental in some of their wins. Betting wise, I am going to go Bolton. They seem to really have their act together, whereas Newcastle are still too up and down for my liking. Its 2.2 at VC Bet.
Manchester United (1.25) Draw (6.5) Wigan (17)
Manchester United once again failed to win away from home last weekend. I could have been a whole lot worse than a draw though. 2-0 down with 10 minutes left, they manage to pull it back to 2-2. Rooney is reported to be returning for this game. They need someone like him back. Not sure how the players and fans will react to him though. Berbatov may be return to his start of season form if he's partnering Rooney again. Wigan have found a little form recently. 4 points out of 6 have pulled them out of the relegation zone just. Looks like a home win here but 1.25 is no price for this current Manchester United team against anyone. If anything I'd take a punt on Wigan but best off skipping this fixture betting wise.
West Bromwich (2.25) Draw (3.3) Stoke (3.6)
I suspected that West Brom were on a little downturn last week when they played Wigan. They aren't playing like the side that beat Arsenal and drew at Manchester United any more. That loss at Blackpool looks like it was the turning point or it might have even been the week before when they narrowly beat Fulham with some help from the referee. Either way, they are heading downwards. Stoke on the hand are a team on the up. A couple of back to back wins against Birmingham and Liverpool have allowed them to climb to 10th. Still remains to be seen whether they can repeat this type of form away from home though, they are 1-0-5 on the road. I can't see Stoke winning this as its hard to win 3 on the bounce for any team outside the top 4 and West Brom are still going through a dip in form. The draw it is then. Its 3.3 at VC Bet.
Liverpool (1.53) Draw (4) West Ham (7.5)
Well after beating Chelsea 2-0 everyone thought it would kick start Liverpool's season. They were all wrong. A lucky point at Wigan and a defeat at Stoke is all they have got. Gerrard is out of the game after getting injured in the friendly game. West Ham sit bottom of the table. Last 3 games have been draws but given the opposition and 2 of the games being at home, they would have expected to pick up more points. Parker seems to be the only one that is playing well for them. Whichever manager loses this game will be in deep trouble and probably will be favourite for the next manager out. I am actually quite surprised by the odds here. I was expecting maybe 9.0 or 10.0 for West Ham. They are bottom of the table and this is Liverpool. Looks like the bookies or punters have over reacted to the news that Gerrard is out. There probably is some value in backing Liverpool then but I'll skip this game. It's 1.53 at VC Bet.
21st November 2010
Blackburn (2.38) Draw (3.3) Aston Villa (3.3)
Blackburn's mini streak came to an end with a 4-2 defeat at Spurs. Winning 3 in a row seems to be beyond more Premiership sides. I can see Allardyce tightening up the defence after the display at Spurs and to counter the counter attacking style of Villa. Villa's injury ridden side did brilliantly against Manchester United last weekend. They could have easily won the game but let is slip in the last 10 minutes. I see this as being a much tougher test for the young Villa side though. Blackburn are hard to break down and will not be caught on the counter like Manchester United were. Home win for me. Its 2.38 at VC Bet.
Fulham (3.25) Draw (3.3) Manchester City (2.4)
The press will make a big deal of this game as its Mark Hughes against his former club. Fulham still seem to be playing for the draw. Their record currently reads 2-8-3. No goals in their last 2 games which is a little worrying. They have been away from home though and for some reason Fulham can't win away from home. Big pressure on Mancini after two 0-0 draws. If Tevez doesn't score it seems like no one else can. All that money they spent and still rely on 1 person for their goals. It doesn't help that they seem to play first not to lose and only secondly for the win. Looks like a draw to me this game, most likely 0-0. Its 3.3 at Totesport. Another decent bet is under 2.5 goals, that's 1.73 at Betfred.
22nd November 2010
Sunderland (2.7) Draw (3.3) Everton (2.9)
Who would have thought that away shy Sunderland would go to Stanford bridge and win 3-0? Gyan stepped up as a striker equal to the best in the Premiership and they didn't miss Darren Bent at all. They have been on great form since that thrashing at Newcastle. Everton have been a bit of a disappointment. Since beating Liverpool, they seem to have stalled. You thought they would climb the table and be in contention for Europe. It just hasn't happened for them though. They only lost the one game to Arsenal but the teams they played against you'd be expecting a team on the up to get more than draws. Big price on the home win here. I am really surprised considering the teams are going in different directions and Sunderland are 3-3-0 at home. Its 1X in my opinion. You can get 1.88 for Sunderland +0 on the Asian Handicap (same as draw no bet but better odds) at bet365.
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