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Football Betting Tips
by Ben, last updated 2012-04-27 17:16:09Premiership Weekend Betting tips
28th - 30th April 2012
28th April 2012
Everton FC (1.87) Draw (3.6) Fulham (5)
Excellent result for Everton last weekend. They were 4-2 down and looking out of it at Old Trafford, they came back to 4-4. That's 5 unbeaten now with 3 wins in there. There still is a chance they can get in to a Europa League spot for next season so there is something to play for. Fulham are finishing the season strongly too. 3 wins out of 4 and the a draw against Chelsea isn't bad at all. They even managed to beta Bolton 3-0 away from home earlier this month. Dembele and Dempsey have been playing superbly. I think Everton are the better bet here though. Maybe a little on the short side but I think they will win it. After that come back against United last weekend, I can't see how they can come home and then not win. Everton are 1.87 at Boylesports.
Stoke (4.5) Draw (3.7) Arsenal (1.91)
No chance for Stoke at high flying Newcastle last weekend. Stoke have put up some decent performances this season but the Britannia is no fortress and Stoke have been hit and miss all season. At first it was down to the European commitments but now they are out of Europe they come up with some stinking performances. Arsenal should get top 4 but Newcastle are breathing down their necks for that 3rd place. No goal in open play for Van Persie is hurting them. Usually, he'd pop up and score the winner but nothing. I guess on the likes of Ronaldo and Messi is Spain can score consistently all season. Stoke have been Arsenal's bogie team in recent seasons. Last year they won 3-1. I can see this going either way. I think the over 2.5 goals is the way to play it. Stoke 7 of the last 10 of the encounters between these sides have been overs. I can see this being a 2-1 either way. Over 2.5 goals is 1.95 at bet365.
Sunderland (2.05) Draw (3.6) Bolton (4)
The Sunderland bubble looks like its burst. No more O'Neil factor in play. They haven't scored in the last 4 games but amazingly they have only lost 1 of those (3, 0-0 draws). I guess there is only so much a new manager can do and it'll be next year when O'Neil brings in his own players that they can start pushing up the league. Bolton scored 2 quick fire goals midweek to give them a chance at staying up. A win here and they could leapfrog both Wigan and QPR. Villa have been extremely poor though and Sunderland are probably slightly better at the moment. I think they can get something here. Well, if Sunderland can't score then Bolton can't lose. A draw probably won't do Bolton much good so they have to go for the win. Bolton are 4.0 at bluesquare.
Swansea (1.57) Draw (4.3) Wolverhampton (6.5)
Swansea got a draw at Bolton last round. They should have got more as they were much the better side. I am still in 2 minds about Swansea's brand of football. Is it boring or exciting? I suppose it depends on whether they win. Pretty much a nothingness game this for Swansea. Wolves were relegated officially last weekend with the defeat at the hands of City. It was actually pretty close for a long period of the game but City just have better strikers. Sometimes teams after the pressure is off, teams perform better. I don't see it this time though. Swansea all day long for me. They are 1.57 at Bet Victor.
West Brom (2.15) Draw (3.4) Aston Villa (3.7)
West Brom rode their luck last weekend at Liverpool and managed to sneak it 1-0 with Odemwingie bagging the winner. West Brom are in no mans land in the league and have little to play for now. The thing about this fixture is that they'd love for Villa to go down such is the rivalry between the 2 sides. Villa are in danger of going down but do just need a point to survive I think. 37 points with their goal difference should be enough to keep them up. Midweek, they took the lead against Bolton but 2 minutes later they were 2-1 down and looked out of it. I think McLeish will get his point from somewhere but not from here. West Brom at 2.15 for me at Betfred.
Wigan (2.9) Draw (3.5) Newcastle (2.6)
Wigan's mini-run came to an end last weekend with a 2-1 defeat at Fulham. Their position is looking precarious again due to wins by those around them. Still nothing wrong with the Wigan side and they are playing better than their league position suggests. Its just a shame they are facing the in form side. Newcastle have won their last 6 games. With their strikeforce, you can't see them not scoring. If Newcastle, were called Manchester United instead of Newcastle United, they'd be 1.5 tops for this game not 2.6. I think you got to keep backing Newcastle until they stop winning. They are 2.6 at William Hill.
Norwich (4) Draw (3.6) Liverpool (2.05)
Maybe its season over or maybe Blackburn just wanted it more but Norwich lost the last game 2-0. They can go level on points here with a win. Norwich have had a cracking season and this would be the icing on the cake for them. Liverpool lost at home to West Brom last weekend. They must have smashed a load of mirrors or done something to get so much bad luck. 27 total shots vs 8, 13 on target vs 4, 62% possession vs 38% and they lost. Too many of those unlucky games for Liverpool this season though. I don't know whether Liverpool are still bothered about the league. They have Chelsea next weekend in the FA Cup final. A win or loss here wouldn't really make any difference to their shocking season. Looking at the odds, I suppose the only bet to have is Norwich. Its 4.0 at Bet Victor.
29th April 2012
Chelsea (1.44) Draw (5) QPR (9.5)
Fantastic performance by Chelsea midweek. Even though I backed Barcelona I couldn't help being happy for Chelsea and Torres. I can't see them after the highs of midweek not coming back here and beating QPR. They do have a bit of an injury crisis in defence though. With Cahill and Luiz out, Terry is the only fit centre back. QPR kept up their recent pattern of losing their away games and winning their home games. That run of form has pulled them out of the relegation zone. I can see that pattern continuing here with a loss. If it was a nothingness game for Chelsea, maybe something on QPR but as Chelsea still need to finish in 4th I can see them going for this one. Chelsea are 1.44 at Bet Victor.
Tottenham (1.4) Draw (5.25) Blackburn (9.5)
Where did it all go wrong for Spurs? Since beating Newcastle 5-0 back at the start of February, they have only won 1 game out the next 9. Players such as Parker, Van der Vaart and Adebayor aren't playing as well as they were. King who was once excellent, is now a liability. With the fixtures the way they are, they are still more favoured than Chelsea or Newcastle to get in to the top 4 but they need to start winning again. Blackburn gave themselves a lifeline last weekend with a 2-0 win over Norwich. Its as if it only just clicked that they needed to win to stay up. I've thought it all along that they have the players to stay up but just too many bad performances. I can't see them getting anything here though. Spurs need the points a lot more than Blackburn do. Its pretty much win this or say goodbye to Champions League football next year. Spurs are 1.4 at Ladbrokes.
30th April 2012
Manchester City (2.25) Draw (3.6) Manchester United (3.5)
Potentially the title decider. Well, its almost certain if City don't win then United will win the league but even if City win, they still might not win it due to the tricky away fixture at Newcastle. City were given a lifeline with Everton getting a draw at Old Trafford. City beat Wolves 2-0 afterwards to close the gap to 3 points but the performance was far from convincing. There has been a revival at City but who have they played? West Brom, Norwich and Wolves. No exactly top class teams. I think that Aguero and Tezez make a great partnership though, much better than Dzeko or Balotelli. Balotelli could return for this which I think will be a bad thing for City. United come in to this game, knowing a draw would be great. A lot depends on how Fergusson approaches this. He could pack the midfield and put Rooney up front by himself. A 0-0 would be an excellent result. Tricky one to bet on but I am going for City. On paper they are a better side. They are 2.1 at bet365 which isn't the greatest price but they are giving away a free in running bet up to the value of a bet placed beforehand. See site for details but its one of the best free offers for the game.
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