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Football Betting Tips
by Ben, last updated 2011-12-10 04:00:25Premiership Weekend Betting tips
10th - 12th December 2011
10th December 2011Arsenal (1.57) Draw (4.2) Everton (7)
Arsenal's first team disposed of Wigan effortlessly last weekend 4-0. Van Persie only getting one of the goals. Their alternative side played out a meaningless Champions League fixture midweek which they lost 3-1. The first team will be back for this game. A couple of weeks ago they did slip up against Fulham, only managing the 1-1 draw. Everton lost at home last round. They don't create enough going forward to be of any threat. The had most of the possession but with limited options up front, they don't do anything with it. The bookies are pricing them up as a top half of the table team but I think they risk going down this season. Its Arsenal all the way for me. To some it might seem a bit stingy but I think 1.57 is a great price at PaddyPower for the Arsenal win.
Bolton (2.5) Draw (3.4) Aston Villa (3)
Bolton have done themselves no favours in the last 2 games with getting men sent off early. They duly lost to Everton 2-0 and Spurs 3-0. I doubt the Spurs result would have been any different but I think they could have beat Everton. The good news for them is that Cahill will not be suspended after his red card was rescinded on appeal. The previous home game, they did beat Stoke 5-0. Villa turned in another non-performance last weekend, losing 1-0 to Manchester United. With their strike force, they should be scoring but that's 3 blanks in the last 3 games. I don't think their midfield is giving the strikers much service. I am going to go for the draw this week. Bolton haven't drawn a game this season after 14 games. It's the biggest price out of the 3 too, 3.4 at VC Bet.
Liverpool (1.36) Draw (5) QPR (12)
Liverpool could be thought of as unlucky losing to Fulham last week. They had a man harshly sent off and lost the game to a very late goal. Its just the way Liverpool's season is going now, they seem to be able to raise their game for the top teams but against the lower teams, they have struggled. Norwich and Swansea have been to Anfield and gone away with a point. QPR should have beaten West Brom last week. They were dominant and had a goal wrongly ruled out. I've been impressed with the performance of QPR. I think the odds on Liverpool are far too short for this game. Their home record is 2-5-0. I see there being much more value in the 5.0 for the draw at bet365.
Manchester United (1.25) Draw (6.5) Wolverhampton (15)
Disaster for Manchester United in Basel. They only needed a draw but managed to lose 2-1 and are out of the Champions League this year. I suppose the writing was on the wall. Since they beat Norwich 2-0 back at the start of October, they've scored exactly 1 goal in each of the 7 games after. They look a shadow of the side that beat Arsenal 8-2 earlier in the season. Their midfield just isn't strong enough and with Vidic out for the season they'll struggle at the back. Lucky for them, they have Wolves coming here. I am sure if Fergusson could have chosen any fixture to recover from the midweek defeat it would have been this one. Wolves were lucky to beat Sunderland last weekend. Sunderland missed a penalty, lost concentration for 10 minutes and found themselves behind. Odds are poor but you really have to back United at home to this Wolves side. Practically any other Premiership team, I'd be opposing them but Wolves are shocking this season. United are 1.25 at PaddyPower and the win to nil is 1.91.
Norwich (2.45) Draw (3.5) Newcastle (3)
Norwich were taught a lesson by City last weekend, going down 5-1. You can't play nice football against City and not get battered unless you are one of the top teams. Previously, when they have lost its been by just the odd goal. Newcastle lost 3-0 last weekend to Chelsea. It wasn't really a 3-0 defeat though and could have easily been 1-1 and no one would have complained. Newcastle are sitting 6th because of their strong defence and incredible hard work. They do have a few defensive worries ahead of this fixture with Williamson and Taylor definitely out and Coloccini a major doubt. I think the draw represents the value in this fixture. It's the biggest price and much will depend on how Newcastle pick themselves up from that nightmare run of fixtures (City, United and Chelsea) where they have only picked up 1 point. The draw is 3.5 at bet365
Swansea (2.7) Draw (3.3) Fulham (2.88)
Swansea's season may be going south. It happens to newly promoted teams sometimes, they get off to a good start but then drop off. They haven't been scoring many goals recently and when they did score, they let 4 in. To be fair, at 3-2 against Blackburn they were pressing and maybe could have got an equaliser before Blackburn were awarded their penalty and Swansea went down to 10 men. Fulham had a great result against Liverpool last week. They were second best but managed to win 1-0. The week before, they managed to hold Arsenal at the Emirates which is no easy feat. Jol may have finally got them playing together well and ready to climb the table. I think Fulham won't lose this game. The best bet I've seen is Fulham draw not bet at 2.0 at Skybet. Get a free £10 no deposit bet if you are a new customer.
West Brom (1.73) Draw (3.8) Wigan (6)
West Brom were fortunate to get a point at QPR last weekend. They put in a decent performance but QPR goal wrongly disallowed. Hodgson decided to play just 1 striker up from the start. 15 minutes after Odemwingie came on, he helped set up the goal for S Long. Maybe Hodgson will start them both this game. Wigan got beat 4-0 by Arsenal last weekend. They started off really well but the superior finishing of Arsenal undid all their hard work. Previously, they did beat Sunderland away from home and got a draw against Blackburn but that's it. They are favourites to go down for a reason. Betting wise, West Brom are a bit short. West Brom are only 6 points ahead of Wigan and could find themselves down at the bottom come the end of the season themselves. No bet for me.
11th December 2011
Sunderland (1.95) Draw (3.6) Blackburn (4.5)
No O'Neil factor last weekend for Sunderland. Almost came off, they were 1-0 up, missed a penalty, then Wolves score 2 in quick succession. I've got to say that Bendtner is rubbish. He didn't do very well at Arsenal surrounded by stars and he's doing worse at Sunderland. Blackburn got only their second win of the season against Swansea last round. They needed to score 4 to get that but a win is a win. Yakubu got all 4 and looks like he'll continue to score. That would have given them the confidence to start moving up the table. I think they are in a false position with some of the performances they have put in this season so far. I am going to be backing them this week. The O'Neil factor as pushed Sunderland to a price not worth backing. He's a good manager but Sunderland aren't going to be turning it around overnight. Blackburn are 4.5 at bet365
Stoke (4) Draw (3.5) Tottenham (2.15)
Stoke broke their bad run of results after a Europa League game with a 1-0 win against Everton. I think that's more to do with Everton being very limited rather than Stoke doing anything great though. Only 2 shots on target in the game for them and 1 for Everton. Spurs continued their excellent run with an easy 3-0 victory over Bolton. They did have a bit of luck with Cahill getting sent off early on for Bolton but I have no doubts the result would have been the same with the quality of the Spurs team. The Britannia is no longer a fortress and even in past seasons when it was, Spurs have come here and won. Spurs have been a gold mine for punters these past couple of months. I don't see any reason to stop backing them. When Manchester United came here, they were only 1.7ish. Spurs are playing better than United so they should be at most that price. You can get 2.15 at William Hill on the Spurs win.
12th December 2011
Chelsea (2.5) Draw (3.4) Manchester City (3)
Chelsea changed their system for the Champions League and it paid off with a 3-0 victory over Valencia. I guess they'll stick with that system with Mata, Sturridge and Drogba upfront and the defence sitting deep. Chelsea have been leaking goals playing the high defensive line so playing deep will make it hard for City to score. City are out of the Champions League now and in to the Europa League. Their win against a weakened Bayern Munich side wasn't good enough to get them through. In the league, they have just been steam rolling teams again. Norwich were their latest victims, getting thrashed 5-1. If Chelsea wouldn't have changed their system, I would be all over City now. Chelsea do have the team and home advantage to beat City here. Looking at the odds overall though, I am more inclined to back City draw no bet at 2.1 at Bet365. The great thing about Bet365 on this game is that they are having an in running special offer. Place a bet before the game of up to £50. Then in running place another bet up to the value of your first stake. If the in running bet loses then you get your stake refunded. Eg, Bet £20 on City draw no bet. You see that Chelsea are playing well, back Chelsea for £20 in running. If Chelsea win, great, if not, you get your stake refunded. Also, if you sign up this weekend you get a £200 bet basket. Sign up here
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