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Football Betting Tips

by Ben, last updated 2010-12-03 15:15:09

 Premiership Weekend 4-6th December 2010


No tips this week.

The UK is covered in snow today as I write this. More snow is forecasted so its likely that many games will be called off.

Looking at this weeks fixtures list it would be tough at the best of times but with the snow and the crazy season we have had, it makes it really hard to find any value. In a season where it seems that any team can beat any team on its day the smart money is on trying to predict these. To an extent this has always been the case but in recent seasons, you would almost guarantee that a big team would win at home. Those type of upsets are much more common this season.

One trend this season that might be worth pursuing is the goals market. Last weekend, for the first time, all 20 Premiership teams scored. William Hill has a "Will both teams score coupon" which offered a massive 440/1 for all games, 'yes'. Fortunately for William Hill, no one had the full accumulator.

Bookmakers, don't allow dependent bets. For example, you can't combine, a 0-0 correct score with a draw. 0-0 automatically, means a draw and if by chance you manage to get that bet on, the bookmaker would not pay out. Similarly, bookmakers won't allow you to bet on related markets. The 'will it now in city X' market is a good example. You wouldn't be able to have a double for it to snow in Manchester and London. If it snows in Manchester, it is more likely to snow in London too.

Unders/ overs goals markets are dependent to some degree. I haven't done the analysis but it isn't too hard to imagine, that something like the weather, could have an effect on the number of goals being scored. For example, in wet weather, there are more mistakes being made leading to more goals, or in hot weather, players not wanting to run around as much leading to fewer goals. This season we have had more goals than average. Maybe its because teams are going for the win more and not settling for the draw.

William Hill offer the 'Will both teams score market' but others offer similar bets too. Most noticeably, Betfred with their 'goals galore coupon' and Bet365 with their 'goal - no goal market' offer some good bets on team scoring. Check out the links below. Normal tips will resume next week.

William Hill - Free £25 bet when you bet 25. Use code F25 when signing up. Click here
Betfred - Free 50 bet. No bonus code needed - Click here
Bet365 - Free 100 bet basket - No bonuse code need. Click here




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