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Football Betting Tips
by Simon, last updated 2010-12-10 18:53:57Premiership Betting Tips
11th - 13th December 2010
11th December 2010Aston Villa (2.15) Draw (3.4) West Brom (3.8)
Villa are going through a real bad patch. The last time they played well was in the first half against Manchester United a month ago. They have had injuries but they have been poor non the less. The fans and the players are losing patience with Houllier. The first half against Liverpool last week was particularly poor. West Brom seem to be back on the up after their dip. Great 4-1 win away to Everton and then following it up with a 3-1 win at home to Newcastle. Brunt and Odemwingie are doubtful for this game which is a big blow They've been instrumental in the wins this season for West Brom. I can't see Villa getting anything from this game and fear that West Brom aren't the team that can win 3 in a row. It's the draw then at 3.4 at Totesport.
Everton (1.44) Draw (4.5) Wigan (9)
Everton were fantastic second half against Chelsea. They could have gone on to win that game. Their results have generally been poor recently though. The week before they were thrashed 4-1 at home by West Brom. The last game they won was back at the end of October against Stoke 1-0. Scoring goals has been a problem for them and with Arteta suspended for 2 games its not going to get any easier for them. Wigan are a poor side. A couple of weeks ago they have an important game against bottom of the league West Ham. They were thrashed 3-1 then. They did well to get a point against Stoke last weekend. Rodallega is back from suspension this game so that'll be a big boost for them. Everton home win most likely but I can't be backing them at 1.44. I'd much rather be backing Wigan at 9.0 but Wigan have been so poor this season, I'll skip this one.
Fulham (2.25) Draw (3.25) Sunderland (3.75)
Maybe a bit unlucky for Fulham last weekend. They played a good game but were playing Arsenal with Nasari in great form. Another day that could have been a morale boosting draw at the Emirates. Fulham do seem to be sliding under Mark Hughes. Only 2 wins all season at what was once fortress Craven Cottage. Sunderland looked like they found a way to win away from home with that stunning 3-0 victory over Chelsea. The subsequent loss to Wolves makes that look more like a freak result than a change in form. For some reason they just can't seem to win away from home. This game looks like a draw to me. Fulham play nice football but can't seem to win and Sunderland can't win away from home. The draw is 3.25 at bluesquare.
Stoke (1.67) Draw (4) Blackpool (6)
Stoke are pretty good form with 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5. The Britannia is once again a fortress with only Spurs and Manchester United winning there this season. Blackpool had a rest last weekend when their game was called off due to a frozen pitch. They still continue to defy the odds and pick up points here and there. Only 1 defeat in 6 and that was away to Villa. They haven't played any big teams in that run though but Stoke aren't what I'd call a big team. Stoke should win this but 1.67 is really low. They managed to get wins away at Newcastle and Liverpool so the potential for a Blackpool win is there. 6.0 at VC Bet is too big a price in my opinion. I think that warrants a small bet.
West Ham (4.5) Draw (3.6) Manchester City (2)
West Ham won their must win game a couple of weeks ago against Wigan 3-1 and followed that up with a 4-0 win against Manchester United's B side in the Carling Cup. They were quite shocking against Sunderland though where they were fortunate to get away with a 1-0 loss. Manchester City seem to have got it together now. Unbeaten in the last 6 they are only 3 points off the top. No Tevez for this game though. I think that explains the odds. Its rock bottom of the table vs 4th. Imagine if this was a traditional top 4 team. You'd be lucky to get 1.5 never mind 2.0. I think the bookmakers have over reacted here. True when Tevez hasn't been scoring Manchester City have struggled but they still have an excellent striker in Adebayor. Its 2.0 at VC Bet for the Manchester City win.
Newcastle United (3.75) Draw (3.4) Liverpool (2.15)
I don't understand what has happened at Newcastle. They have been doing fairly well and have proved many pundits wrong. A win at Arsenal, a 6-0 thrashing of Villa and 5-1 of Sunderland will make this a memorable season for Newcastle no matter what happens. Sacking their manager is was a stupid decision. They were poor against West Brom but no reason to sack the manager. Liverpool possibly could have turned the corner. In the last 3 games without their big stars they've been playing the best all season. A couple of 3-0 wins against Villa and West Ham and an unlucky defeat at Spurs. Torres should be back for this game so that might upset things a bit. Looking at the odds though, I can't see why Liverpool are favourites. Their away for is terrible with only the lucky win away at Bolton this season. Newcastle may have problems with the new manager but 2.15 for the Liverpool win is far too low. 3.75 at VC Bet for the home win is a better bet. A couple of seasons ago, Liverpool won this fixture won 5-1. Time for revenge.
12th December 2010
Bolton (2.1) Draw (3.4) Blackburn (4)
Bolton have been in good form before the last 2 weeks. They were up to 4th at one point. They may be going through a little bit of a dip though. A 2-2 home draw to Blackpool and then a 1-0 away loss to Manchester City. The latter doesn't look that bad on paper but in all honesty, they should have lost that game by more. Blackburn come here off the back of a 3-0 thrashing of Wolves. History does favour Blackburn. Bolton have not beaten Blackburn since 1998. Big Sam seems to know how to beat his former teams too. It's a tricky game to call this. With no team being consistent, anything could happen here. I think I will go for the over 2.5 goals bet. Its 1.95 at bet365. Bolton have a 75% overs rate at home and Rovers a 75% overs rate away.
Wolverhampton (2.5) Draw (3.3) Birmingham (3.25)
Wolves lost 3-0 against Blackburn last weekend. They had their chances but they just didn't go in. That's the story of Wolve's season. They play well but just seem to be unlucky. The week before they did manage to beat Sunderland 3-2 though and no doubt all the stuff going on at Newcastle has helped keep the pressure of Mick McCarthy. Birmingham are getting back to the type of form they had last season, ie, very difficult to beat. Only 1 defeat in the last 8 but also only 2 wins. They played Chelsea, Manchester City and Spurs in that run too. I don't think Birmingham will lose this game but as they haven't won away all season it doesn't make sense to back them. It's the draw then. 3.3 at Betfred.
Tottenham (2.9) Draw (3.5) Chelsea (2.63)
Spurs had a disappointing 1-1 draw at Birmingham last weekend. I guess they haven't mastered the away wins yet. Their home form has been very good this year though. 4-3-1 with the shock defeat to Wigan fairly early on. Van der Vaart is out but Spurs have a strong team to chose from after resting players in the midweek Champions League game. Chelsea are on the slide. No win in 4 for them with 2 defeats. Last game against Everton they could have easily lost as Everton were much the better side second half. I can't see why Chelsea are favourites here. Spurs have won the last 2 encounters here and that was when Chelsea were much stronger and Spurs weaker. 1X for me this game. bet365 have Spurs on the Asian Handicap +0 at 2.15 (same bet as draw no bet). I really can't see Chelsea getting anything from this game.
13th December 2010
Manchester United (2) Draw (3.6) Arsenal (4.2)
Manchester United aren't exactly flying but are still the only unbeaten team in the league. Last league game they thrashed Blackburn 7-1 with Berbatov getting 5. Quite an achievement. They would be top of the league if their game at Blackpool wasn't called off due to the weather. Midweek they were fairly flat against Valencia's B side. They only need the draw to the top the group though so maybe they were saving their energy for this game. Arsenal have been inconsistent at home and their away record is actually better. Last 2 games, they were unconvincing against Partizan Belgrade in the Champions League and they only beat Fulham with the brilliance of Nasri who has been one of the Premiership's star players this season. I will pick the home win here. Manchester United haven't hit top form yet and still have a 7-1-0 record at home. Maybe with Fabregas in the side I might be tempted to back Arsenal but I can see Manchester United turning up the style and winning this game. Its 2.0 at Totesport.
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