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Football Betting Tips

by Ben, last updated 2010-12-17 17:49:37

 Premiership Betting Tips

 18th - 20th December 2010

18th December 2010

Arsenal (1.3) Draw (5.5) Stoke (12)

Arsenal played a dull game against Manchester United Monday night. On another day that could have been 0-0. United's goal came out of nothing and nothing exciting happened in the entire game. Well, Rooney missed a penalty which would have made the scoreline more flattering to Manchester United but it was a dull Monday night game overall. Arsenal's injury worries have passed now and Wenger has more or less all his top players to pick from apart from the 1st and second choice goalkeepers are out. Stoke were humbled 1-0 against Blackpool last weekend. It should have been a routine game at the fortress Britannia but Blackpool managed to grab all 3 points. Arsenal should win this easily. It wouldn't surprise me at all if it was a 2+ goal margin. The trouble is, that West Brom, Newcastle and Spurs have all come to the Emirates this year and won. They haven't cleared their handicap in the last 6 home games either. With that in mind, I'm going to go for Stoke, +1.5 goals on the Asian Handicap. Its 1.95 at VC Bet.

Birmingham (2.4) Draw (3.3) Newcastle United (3.25)

Birmingham lost their local derby to Wolves last weekend 1-0. The worrying thing will be that Birmingham didn't score against one of the leakiest defences in the league. Averaging just a goal a game, Jerome and Gardener just aren't scoring the required goals to win games. Alan Pardew had a cracking start with a 3-1 home win against Liverpool. Nolan and Carroll both on the scoresheet again. The trouble is they don't seem to be able to score these goals away from home. Birmingham will be a tough nut to crack as their points have come from strong defensive playing rather than any skills upfront. I can see this being a tight game with no side looking great value. The draw is 3.3 at VC Bet.

Blackburn (1.83) Draw (3.75) West Ham (4.8)

Blackburn sacked their manager this week, which is very surprising. After all, Allardyce saved them relegation and was in the process of building a solid Blackburn team on a solid budget. The 2-1 defeat at Bolton may have been disappointing especially, when playing against 10 men but sacking the manager was a bit harsh. Nothing wrong with the Blackburn home form at all, with only Arsenal and Chelsea taking points from there. West Ham's season is going from bad to worse. The gulf in class between them and Manchester City was evident last weekend when they lost 3-1. Grant is favourite to be the next manager out. Things are looking bleak for West Ham. Looks like a Blackburn win for me, 1.83 is a good price. I suppose the bookmakers have factored in the departure of Allardyce. I can't imagine it would be so high if he was still in charge. Still, I will go for them as all the backroom staff are the same and Blackburn are a great home side. Its 1.83 at PaddyPower.

Wigan (2.88) Draw (3.3) Aston Villa (2.7)

Wigan got a good draw at Everton last weekend. They kept it tight and could have sneaked a win late on. Only 1 win in 10 for Wigan though and are in the relegation zone on goal difference. Villa looked like they were on the slide but they came good last weekend against local rivals West Brom, winning 2-1. They were actually outplayed for most the of the first half and the last few minutes of the game. West Brom scored late on a were threatening to steal a point. That gives Houllier some breathing room as well as the Villa side some more confidence. With them over their injury crisis, I expect them to start climbing the table. I'll not be backing them for the straight win though. So many false dawns for teams this season. I'll play safe and go for Villa draw no bet. Skybet have them at 1.91 which is strange considering Villa are exactly the same price as Wigan on the 1X2.

Liverpool (1.57) Draw (4) Fulham (7.5)

Liverpool have seemed to have dropped in to a nice pattern for punters. Win at home, lose or draw away from home. Last weekend they lost 3-1 away to Newcastle. Torres missed a few opportunities, including one to take the lead at 1-1. Still, its 4 wins in a row at home for Liverpool. Carragher is still out but Gerrard could return for this one. Fulham drew 0-0 last weekend in a dull game. They really are missing Zamora's goals. Hodgson should know this Fulham side pretty well, considering he managed them last year. They are still the team that can't win away from home. In fact, under Mark Hughes they can't seem to win at all. Only 2 wins all season against Wolves and Wigan. I can see this being an easy win for Liverpool and 1.57 at PaddyPower isn't a bad price at all.

19th December 2010

West Brom (1.83) Draw (3.8) Wolverhampton (4.75)

West Brom out played Villa last weekend for most of the game but still lost 2-1. The could have nicked a point at the end too. Previous, they had beat Everton 4-1 and Newcastle 3-1 though. Wolves managed to win the derby 1-0 against Birmingham. All their hard work finally paid off. Sometimes I see Wolves as a good team that has just had a mega run of bad luck. They managed to keep their first clean sheet of the season too which is something that Mick McCarthy has been wanting all season. Looking at the odds, I can't be backing West Brom at 1.83. Punters have short memories and it was only a month ago that they lost to Wigan and Stoke. I am tempted more by the Wolves odds of 4.75 but will opt for the over 2.5 goals alternative. I think West Brom will win this but pricewise, I see overs to be a better bet as neither team are good at keeping clean sheets. Over 2.5 goals is 1.85 at bet365.

Blackpool (5.5) Draw (4.2) Tottenham (1.7)

I think people will start to take Blackpool a little more seriously now they have managed to get 22 points, most of them away from home. Last weekend's win at Stoke was a great 3 points even though it was backs against the wall for most of the second half. Spurs are on a great run of form. Unbeaten in 6 now. Last weekend they had their chances to beat Chelsea but were also very lucky that Drogba missed a stoppage time penalty. Spurs haven't been consistent away from home with a 3-2-3 record. I am not sure I am willing to trust them at 1.7 against a Blackpool side that has been underrated all season by the bookies. I was going to suggest overs as 100% of Blackpool's home games have been over 2.5 goals. Spurs have traditionally been associated with high scoring games but this season they have slightly more games under than over. At 1.57 top price though, overs isn't really an option either. I am going to go for Blackpool +1 on the Asian Handicap. Spurs haven't won an away game by more than a goal and a 1 goal margin of victory for Spurs voids the bet. A draw or Blackpool win pays out. Its 1.75 at VC Bet.

Chelsea (2.25) Draw (3.3) Manchester United (3.75)

Big game of the season. Early days but if Manchester United win this, they open up a 6 point lead over Chelsea with a game in hand. Chelsea have been going through a very bad patch by anyone's standard but this is the worse run of form I have seen Chelsea in years. Only 1 win in 7. To be fair, Chelsea should have beat Spurs but Drogba missed a stoppage time penalty. Lampard should start for this game after coming on as a sub against Spurs. That'll be a big boost to them. Maybe that's all that's been missing but the bad run of form also coincided with the sacking of Howard Wilkinson. Manchester United leapfrogged Arsenal in the league with a 1-0 win over them on Monday. A pretty dull game in which no player really stood out. Rooney missed a penalty and played poorly all game. That's Manchester United this season though. Average performances but seem to win at home and draw away from home. Extremely tricky game to pick but I will go for the home win. Bad runs come to an end at some point and what better way than to beat Manchester United. Its top price at 2.25 at PaddyPower

20th December 2010

Manchester City (1.75) Draw (3.8) Everton (5.5)

Manchester City outclassed West Ham last weekend. This was without their captain and talisman, Tevez. Their unbeaten run of 7 games put them in 3rd place and 5 points above 5th place Spurs. Lots of rumours going on about Tevez requesting a transfer. Could be a distraction but Tevez is a real team player and no doubt he'll perform regardless of whether he gets transferred in January. Everton are the bookmakers friend. No win in 7 and in 4 of them they were odds on favourites. The bookies expect them to turn the corner at some point but they keep disappointing. Saha, Yakubu, Anchibe and Beckford aren't performing and they still have to rely on Cahill. Looking at the odds, I think it's a great price for Manchester City. It's a top 4 side vs a mid-table side at best and you are getting 1.75 at PaddyPower.





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