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Football Betting Tips
by Ben, last updated 2011-01-15 00:54:23Premiership Weekend Betting tips
15th - 16th January 2011
15th January 2011Chelsea (1.3) Draw (6) Blackburn (13)
Chelsea were back to their winning ways last weekend but it was against a Championship side in the FA Cup. Lampard looks back to his scoring ways though and may be the one to drag Chelsea out of this slump. Whether they can do this in the league is a different matter though. They couldn't score at Wolves and had a crazy 3-3 draw against Villa. Things still not settle at Blackburn after Allardyce's departure. Some erratic form but their last game against Liverpool was a comfortable win. That might not be saying much given Liverpool's form but still, its a win for Blackburn, who really shouldn't be 9th in the table. 1.3 is far too low a price to be backing Chelsea at. If anything there is more value on the draw or away win. However, I still think Chelsea will win this. My old favourite Chelsea to win to nil bet is 2.0 at Totesport. Much better than backing them at 1.3 just to win.
Manchester City (1.35) Draw (5) Wolverhampton (12)
City are second in the league and look like they are the only serious contender for the title. They have just splashed out on a £27m striker in Edin Dzeko who may play some part in this game. Apart from that freak Everton result, they have had a decent home form, not conceding in any of the other 6 league games at home. They kept it tight at the Emirates and got a 0-0 there. Wolves have had some fantastic results of late. A win over Liverpool and Chelsea but a defeat to West Ham sandwiched in-between them. I've always thought that Wolves were unlucky and their skill doesn't reflect their league position. I can't see them getting anything here though. Odds of 1.35 are too short again though but you can 2.1 on the win to nil market at bluesquare.
Stoke (2.2) Draw (3.3) Bolton (4)
The Britania is not the fortress it once was. Last game they were good against Everton, winning 2-0 but losses against Blackpool and Fulham makes me not automatically put this down as a home win. Bolton are going through a little bit of a slump in form, especially away from home. They have lost their last 4 away games by a single goal. It took them to the 83rd minute to break down York City in the FA Cup. From a betting point of view this looks like one of those 1-1 games. Neither side are playing badly or particular well. A bit of a cop out but its the draw for me. Its 3.3 at Totesport.
West Brom (1.83) Draw (3.85) Blackpool (4.6)
West Brom are on a 5 game losing streak. Key injuries in defence have been costly for them. Olsson is serving a 1 match ban after getting sent off at Reading. This game must be all about Blackpool though, they are the true inspirational story of the Premiership this year. No one gave them a chance but they keep picking up points and look certain to stay up now. That win against Liverpool midweek was golden. 1 goal down after a few minutes, they stuck in their and won 2-1. With Blackpool's away form, I can't see why they are 4.6. They've gone to Stoke and Sunderland and won, and Manchester City where they lost 1-0. Looks like the bookies are pricing this up as if Blackpool are a relegation side still. 4.6 for the Blackpool win at VC Bet.
Wigan (2.64) Draw (3.3) Fulham (3)
Wigan are in the relegation zone now. Not much at the bottom of the table and a win will allow Wigan to leapfrog Fulham who are currently in 14th. They will be boosted by the return of N'Zogbia after a 3 match ban. Fulham have had a little mini run, winning 2/3 and only losing 1-0 away to Spurs. Things were looking bleak for them at one stage. Johnson could return to the team after injury which will be good for Fulham. Looking at the previous 4 meetings here, its gone, 1-1, 0-0. 1-1. 0-0. Its looks like a draw to me anyway and it is the highest price on the coupon. It's 3.3 at Skybet.
West Ham (7.0) Draw (4.2) Arsenal (1.57)
Contrasting fortunes for these teams in the cup competitions. Whereas West Ham have been winning, Arsenal have been struggling. If you do take in to account the cup games and that 5-0 hammering at Newcastle, you could say West Ham are on a good run. Its one defeat in 7 games. Arsenal struggled against Championship teams Leeds and Ipswich in the cup competitions. Wenger usually puts out a weakened Carling Cup side but looking at the team against Ipswich it was pretty strong. Arsenal seem to have no plan B if they can't pass the ball in to the back of the goal. If West Ham shut up shop, they should be able to get a 0-0 easily. When they played earlier on in the season, only a late goal saved Arsenal's blushes, winning 1-0 in the 88th minute. I think 1.57 is way too short for Arsenal in this form. I'd be much more inclined to back West Ham at 7.0 at VC Bet than Arsenal.
16th January 2011
Birmingham (2.40) Draw (3.3) Aston Villa (3.2)
Birmingham looked tired when they lost to Arsenal 3-0 at home. They have bounced back well though with a win against Blackpool. They did lose to West Ham in the Carling Cup but I don't think they deserved to, given their second half performance. David Bently on loan from Spurs will make his debut in this game. Villa sit in the bottom 3 at the moment. Something has gone wrong their with the team. They managed to lose 1-0 to Sunderland last home game. Last season you'd have jumped all over 3.2 on a Villa win, given their counter attacking set up but this year, they've lost 7 away from home. No Heskey or Young for this game either. My pick will be Birmingham win at 2.4 at bet365.
Sunderland (2.1) Draw (3.3) Newcastle United (4)
Revenge for Sunderland maybe. Their 5-1 thrashing earlier on in the year at the hands of Newcastle was probably their second worse result of the season. Their worse result of the season must have been last weekend when they lost 2-1 at home to Notts County who are 16th in League 1. I see that as more humiliating for Bruce. A good couple of results prior though with the away win at 10 man Villa and a 3-0 home win against Blackburn. Newcastle were also dumped out of the cup by a lower league team. League 2's Stevenage knocked them out but that was away from home so its not as bad as Sunderland. They do come in to this on the back of 2 league wins though. A 5-0 against West Ham and a 1-0 against Wigan. I have a theory that ordinary teams struggle to win 3 on the bounce. Newcastle will slip up here setting wise, I will back Sunderland. Its 2.1 at PaddyPower.
Liverpool (2.3) Draw (3.35) Everton (3.6)
Not a great start for Dalglish. The FA Cup game was over as soon as Gerrard was sent off but the game against Blackpool was a disaster. 1-0 after a few minutes all they had to do was sit back and hit on the counter. They managed to lose that 2-1 due to some dreadful defending. The new manager bounce that Dalglish and Liverpool were hoping for has not materialised. Looking at their team, you can see why. Apart from Gerrard (who's out), Torres and Reina, they have a pretty ordinary side. Everton will be looking at this as a very winnable game. They will be without Cahill, their top scorer, but they did alright without him in the 2-1 win over Spurs. I can't be backing Liverpool against anyone at the moment. Its Everton for me, They managed to beat Manchester City a few weeks ago at Eastlands. 3.6 is a good price at VC Bet. .
Tottenham (2.88) Draw (3.4) Manchester United (2.63)
Spurs seem to have broken their bad form against the big teams with a win over Arsenal earlier in the season. I recall backing Manchester United back in October, saying that even with all the hype, Spurs just collapsed against the big teams. I think this time it will be different though. Manchester United are there for the taking. They have been winning games but not playing well at all. I cannot believe they are top of the table. It just shows how the quality of the Premiership has dipped this year. Looks like Rooney may be back in the team for Manchester United which is a big plus for Spurs in his form. All streaks must come to an end and I think Manchester United's non-losing streak this year will end here. I'm not brave enough to go for the straight win though. Its 2.1 for Spurs draw no bet at bluesquare. Money back for the draw is great insurance. I just can't see how Manchester United with their poor performances can keep winning.
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