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Football Betting Tips

by Ben, last updated 2011-02-11 18:22:09

 Premiership Weekend 12th - 14th February 2010


12th February 2011

Manchester United (1.83) Draw (3.75) Manchester City (4.75)
Manchester United went down to a shock defeat at Wolves last weekend. You could argue that it was going to come sooner or later as they have been playing badly and winning. It was only a matter of time before someone was going to punish them. The lack of goal scoring chances and some poor defending will also be a worry. City cruised passed West Brom last weekend 3-0, with a Tevez hattrick. Still not convinced about their away form though. A few weeks ago they went to Arsenal and set up for a 0-0 draw which they got, then they lost to Villa and drew at Birmingham. On paper they are an equal strength side to United. They can close the gap here to just 2 points with a win but United will still have a game in hand. There has never been a better time for City to challenge for the title and a win here would be priceless. I fear that Mancini may opt for the safe option though and firstly make sure he doesn't lose this game. A draw would actually suit both sides I think. That will be my bet. Its 3.75 at William Hill.

Arsenal (1.25) Draw (6.5) Wolverhampton (15)
What happened to Arsenal last weekend? 4-0 up and cruising. Even down to 10 men, you'd have thought they'd hang on. Guess not, game ended 4-4. A lot of players were involved in international duty midweek too. Wenger will have half an eye on the Barcelona game next week. I expect him to make a few changes. Last year, Arsenal were embarrassed by Barcelona and its looking likely it will happen again this year so maybe Wenger will not put out his strongest side for this Wolves game. Wolves upset Manchester United last weekend. They deserved the win though. Most teams going down so early to Manchester United may have just accepted it but Wolves battled on and were rewarded by their efforts. Strange set of results for Wolves against the big sides. They have managed to beat, Manchester City, Liverpool, Chelsea and Sunderland too. Can they add Arsenal to the list? Possibly but I'll not bet on it. Arsenal odds are pretty poor too. 1.25 is not a price you want on a team that threw away a 4-0 lead. my bet will be over 2.5 goals. Its 1.57 at VC Bet. Lots of goals at the Emirates this season and its more than twice the odds of a Arsenal straight win.

Birmingham (2.6) Draw (3.25) Stoke (3.1)
I didn't think that Birmingham would get anything from West Ham last weekend but they went there and took all 3 points. Zigic with the only goal of the game. Were in not for that, Birmingham would have been in the relegation zone. Birmingham may have actually got it together this season but their run of fixtures has just been awfully hard. Stoke came back from 2-1 down with 2 late goals to win 3-2 against Sunderland. Set pieces are their specialty and if they do score here, it will be from a set piece. I see this being a low scoring game. The reverse fixture this season was 3-2 to Stoke which I think was a blip. The previous 5 results were all under 2 goals. A low scoring this game would be my bet but the bookies have priced it too low. It 1.62 for under 2.5 goals. At that price I'd be more tempted to lay it than back it. I will instead opt for the draw at 3.25 at VC Bet but to be honest this is a tricky game and maybe best avoided for betting purposes.

Blackburn (2.15) Draw (3.4) Newcastle (3.65)
Blackburn were involved in a crazy game last weekend going down 4-3 to Wigan. The week before, they were unlucky to lose to Spurs at home. Santa Cruz will be back for this game boosting their attack. Newcastle had an unbelievable game against Arsenal last weekend. 4-0 down at half time, they were written off. But a red card for Arsenal and 2 Newcastle penalties allowed them to get a point. I still can't believe it with thier strike force. This week they will have Shefki Kuqi who they signed on loan. I can't see Newcastle doing what they did last weekend again. Its Blackburn for me. They are strong at home and will want to put the disappointment of the last 2 narrow defeats behind them with a win here. Its 2.15 at VC Bet for a Blackburn win.

Blackpool (3.4) Draw (3.6) Aston Villa (2.25)
Shocking result for Blackpool last weekend. They were 3-2 up and managed to lose the game 5-3. They just can't defend. I thought it was due to the fact that they chased games and got caught late but all they had to do was hold on to a lead. Thats 7 losses in the last 8 now with the only win against Liverpool when Liverpool were going through their rough patch. This is the Hull City of 2 years ago. Villa are looking a tidy side now. Despite only getting a draw in their last 2 games, you can look at their team and see match winners. Several of their team are in the England side including the 2 goal scorers Bent and Young. They will come in to this match with much more confidence after the win in Denmark. Great price on the away win IMO, 2.25 at PaddyPower.

Liverpool (1.39) Draw (5) Wigan (10.5)
Good run of form for Liverpool are on. That win against Chelsea wasn't a classic but they did contain Chelsea really well. It did look more likely that Liverpool would score the next goal at 1-0 than Chelsea. Thats 4 wins out of 4 now with 4 clean sheets. Wigan had the crazy 4-3 win over Blackburn last weekend but still are in the relegation zone. N'Zogbia and Rodallega can alway be counted on to get a goal. Looking at the odds, I don't see much value, in 1.39 for the Liverpool win. I don't really like the look of Wigan or the draw though. I was thinking about Liverpool to win to nil at 2.2 at bluesquare but thinking about it, I can see Wigan scoring a goal here. Both teams to score is 2.25 at William Hill. Either of those bets is more appealing than any of the 1X2 bets but my bet will be both teams to score.

West Brom (2) Draw (3.75) West Ham (4)
New manager for West Brom after the 3-0 defeat at Manchester City. Caretaker coach, Michael Appleton will be in charge for this game with Roy Hodgson taking over after that. West Brom have been on a massive downward spiral. Only 1 win and 1 draw in the last 9. The win was against Blackpool. West Ham were disappointing against Birmingham against Birmingham. Just when you thought they were getting it together, they go lose. Tricky one to predict this but the odds make it easy. I can't see how West Brom are even money here. I'd be wanting 6/4 at least. You can see the potential with West Ham there but with West Brom, you can't. The only reason I'd be even thinking of West Brom is the new manager boost but its not enough for me to want to back them at evens. West Ham for me at 4.0 at VC Bet.

Sunderland (2.75) Draw (3.3) Tottenham (2.77)
Two losses on the bounce for Sunderland from winning positions too. It'll be a worry for Bruce how they let these leads slip and have conceded 7 goals. On the plus side they have scored 2 in each of those games, and if they kept it a little tighter at the back, they could well have taken 6 points from those games. Spurs were a little fortunate last weekend with a stoppage time winner against Bolton and the game before they were fortunate to leave Blackburn with a 1-0 win. They say its a sign of a great side that can play badly and win but I see that as a weakness. Bale and Van Der Vaart will be out which while not a massive blow, will weaken their midfield. Redknapp has half an eye on next weeks Champions League game in Milan. I will go Sunderland here. They will want to make amends for the last 2 defeats, whereas Spurs have been fortunate in their last 2 wins and have their mind on other things. Its 2.75 at bet365 for the Sunderland win.

13th February 2011

Bolton (2.76) Draw (3.3) Everton (2.75)
Bolton deserved a point against Spurs last weekend. It was only a stoppage time goal that denied them the point and if referee decisions would have gone for them, they could have won the game. Quite a bad run of form on paper for Bolton, but if you look at the sides they have been up against, its not actually that bad. Maybe the 4-0 against Chelsea was a disaster but really nothing to be too concerned about. Everton came from 3-2 down against Blackpool to beat the 5-3, with Saha scoring 4 goals in total. At last, one of their strikers is performing. The trouble is that its Blackpool this was against. Far too many false dawns for Everton this season. Just when you think they will go on a run, the draw or lose. I don't think Bolton will lose this game and the odds are good enough for me to back the home win. Its 2.75 at VC Bet.

14th February 2011

Fulham (5.3) Draw (3.75) Chelsea (1.8)
Fulham seem to have turned Craven Cottage back in to a fortress. Since the last West Ham defeat, they have won, 3-0, 2-0 and 1-0. They are back to where they were last season, when Hodgson was managing them. Chelsea were disappointing against Liverpool to say the least. I don't think they had a single shot on target. Maybe playing Torres, Drogba and Anelka up front wasn't the best of ideas for Ancelotti. I did think that Chelsea were back to their old selves after scoring 4 in each of the previous 2 games but I guess the ineffective Torres has disrupted their system. Hard to imagine but I can see Torres maybe not starting this game. Looking at the odds, I would have to go for a 1X result. 1.8 for this Chelsea team is too low. It wouldn't surprise me if Chelsea did win 4-0 but then again, it wouldn't be that much of a surprise if Fulham won this 1-0. Fulham +1 on the 1X2 handicap is even money at bet365. That covers the home win and the draw which will be my bet.





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