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Football Betting Tips

by Ben, last updated 2011-03-04 18:41:24

 Premiership Weekend 5th - 7th 2011


5th March 2011

Birmingham (2.40) Draw (3.3) West Brom (3.4)
Birmingham upset quite a few punters with them beating Arsenal in the Carling Cup final last weekend. It wasn't a fluke either, Birmingham thoroughly deserved to win. Arsenal should have been down to 10 men within the first few minutes. Martins looked good when he came on and should really be starting this game. West Brom also upset a few punters by getting a draw at Stoke. In a dull game, they left it late to get the equaliser and probably could have won it at the end. Looking at the odds, I find it bizarre that the Birmingham odds are so high. Maybe its because it's a derby game but I find it hard to believe that Birmingham aren't odds on here. West Brom have been terrible away from home. No win in their last 6 away games. Birmingham win is 2.5 at William Hill.

Arsenal (1.50) Draw (4.33) Sunderland (8.5)
Big setback for Arsenal last weekend losing in the Carling Cup. Arsenal didn't play too badly but were caught out at the back too often. Birmingham did play an excellent game though and their keeper got man of the match. Van Persie will be out for this game as well as Walcott and Fabragas. Big misses for them. Bendtner can step up to the mark though and Wilshere looks great in midfield. Sunderland have lost their last 4 league games. Injuries are taking their toll on the squad. They were terrible against Everton last weekend. I do like the look of Arsenal here. I know they have Barcelona midweek in the crucial game but they can win the league if they win all their remaining fixtures. They have suffered set backs too at the Emirates but I think last week's loss has made the team stronger. I just can't see them dropping points here to an out of form Sunderland side. You can get 1.5 at PaddyPower for the Arsenal win.

Bolton (2.3) Draw (3.4) Aston Villa (3.3)
Bolton managed a 1-1 draw at Newcastle last weekend. Loan signing Sturridge scoring the goal. Their regular strikers, Elmander and Davis aren't scoring like they used to. A win here could see Bolton leapfrog Liverpool. All the talk about Villa is about the weakened side Houiller put out against City in the FA Cup. Bent was cup tied anyway but there was no need to make that many changes. They got beat 3-0 in that game but it wasn't Villa's first team. Last weekend they beat Blackburn 4-1 with Young scoring a couple. This is one of those games that has draw written all over it. The draw is 3.4 at Totesport.

Fulham (1.75) Draw (3.8) Blackburn (5.6)
Fulham got a great point at City last weekend. Hughes has them well organised now. Only 1 defeat in 8 and that was a 1-0 defeat at Liverpool. 4 draws in that run though. They are on the up. Blackburn are on the same number of points. They did play well at Villa last weekend and only lost it in the second half. Blackburn do have a terrible away record though. Its 3-1-10 with 2 of those wins back when Big Sam was manager. I would say Fulham should win this but not betting on them at 1.75. Should be odds against. Maybe something like 2.2. They have drawn their last 3 games and are playing a team on the same number of points as them. The draw at 3.8 at VC Bet is much better value than the Fulham win.

Newcastle United (2.62) Draw (3.4) Everton (2.88)
Newcastle are doing fine since selling their leading striker to Liverpool. No defeat in the last 4, 3 draw and a win. They actually sit 3 points above Everton. Everton were knocked out of the FA Cup midweek. The played terribly against Reading, a mid table Championship side. They beat Sunderland previously though but that was probably more due to a dire performance from Sunderland than quality from Everton. They only seem to be able to raise their game against the very top teams. The odds here are puzzling. I'd have thought that Newcastle would be shorter than this. I don't see Everton doing much away from home. To be safe, I will go Newcastle draw no bet at William Hill. Its 1.91.

West Ham (2.25) Draw (3.4) Stoke (3.6)
West Ham were brilliant last weekend against Liverpool. After many false dawns I really think they have turned the corner and will pull themselves out of the relegation zone. Carlton Cole came off the bench last weekend to make sure of the victory in stoppage time. Just shows how much stronger the West Ham strikers are now. Stoke played probably their worst game of the season last week against West Brom. It was a dull game but 1 nil up, they let West Brom back in with a soft goal and then could have lost it in injury time. Stoke have never been good away from home and I don't think they can get anything here. They've lost the last 5 away on the bounce and this should be number 6. West Ham for me at 2.25 at William Hill.

Manchester City (1.4) Draw (5) Wigan (10.5)
City are well out of the title race now. The defeat at Manchester United probably did it to them but last weekend's draw against Fulham made sure. They just need to concentrate on getting in the top 4 now to get in to the Champions League. Tevez didn't start against Villa in the midweek FA Cup game so should be fresh for this. Wigan were thrashed 4-0 by Manchester United last weekend. The score looks worse than it was. Wigan were playing well but once they went down they needed to chase the game and Manchester United countered well. Wigan's away form isn't that bad overall. Just too many draws. They are bottom of the league for a reason though. I can see City winning this and they usually keep it tight at the back. City to win to nil is 2.38 at bluesquare (compared with 1.8 at William Hill). This bet didn't come in last weekend but would have come in the last 4 games in all competitions. You are getting a much better price than 1.4 for the straight win. I can't see Wigan scoring.

6th March 2011

Liverpool (2.93) Draw (3.3) Manchester United (2.63)
Liverpool were terrible against West Ham last weekend. Well and truly outclassed. It shows that Dalglish has a lot of work to do. At home though, Liverpool have been a lot better. Carroll could play some part in this game as he approaches full fitness. With Gerrard not in form, they do need a goal scorer. What can I say about Manchester United against Chelsea. Manchester United played their best away from home all season and still got beat. Nothing wrong with the United performance. Chelsea just came out second half a different team, stuck in there and got a soft penalty to win the game. Influential caption Vidic will be out suspended for this game so that'll be a blow, especially as Evra and Ferdinand look out too. I do have a feeling for Liverpool here. I've been saying all season that United haven't been playing well but winning. This is a grudge match for Liverpool. It was Dalglish's first game in charge against United when they lost 1-0 in the FA Cup at Old Trafford. I'd like to keep the draw on my side though so Liverpool +0 on the Asian Handicap (money back if it's a draw) is my bet. It's 2.05 at bet365.

Wolverhampton (3.0) Draw (3.4) Tottenham (2.50)
Wolves seems to be getting their act together now, at home at least. Last weekend, they thrashed Blackpool 4-0. Blackpool were reduced to 10 men but the result wouldn't have been any different if it was 11 vs 11. That's 3/4 victories now at home, which include wins over Chelsea and Manchester United. Spurs haven't played for a couple of weeks after their game last weekend was postponed. The weekend before then they had that disastrous trip to Blackpool where they lost 3-1. On another day it could have been 3-6 with all the chances Spurs created but they didn't put enough of them away. They do miss Bale and Van der Vaart who probably will miss this game too. They have the return leg of their Champions League tie against AC Milan next week too. They won the first leg 1-0 so have the away goal. A win here will probably be more important than a win against Milan. Extremely tricky fixture to call as none of the results would be surprising. I will go for an over bets then. Over 2.5 goals is 2.05 at Totesport. Both team really need the win here so I expect to see goals.

7th March 2011

Blackpool (11) Draw (6) Chelsea (1.33)
Blackpool really missed Charlie Adam last weekend against Wolves. They went down 4-0 but did have a man sent off too. Unfortunately that man they had sent off was DJ Campbell who has probably been their second most influential player this season and so will be out for this game. With their two best players out for this game, I can't really see them getting anything out of this. Chelsea at 1.33 is low but when you look at their second half performance against Manchester United, you can see why. It was 4-0 at Stanford Bridge earlier in the season. I can see a similar result here. Chelsea to win to nil is 2.38 at bluesquare is my bet.




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