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Football Betting Tips
by Ben, last updated 2012-05-05 02:12:32Premiership Weekend Betting tips
5th - 7th May 2012
5th May 2012
Arsenal (1.25) Draw (7) Norwich (15)
A crucial game for Arsenal with Spurs and Newcastle breathing down their necks for that 3rd place. Just 3 weeks ago the looked well clear for that 3rd place and guaranteed Champions League football next season but a shock home loss to Wigan and successive draws against Chelsea and Stoke put them just 1 point clear. No Walcott, Arteta or Wilshere for this game. Van Persie was back to his scoring ways last weekend after going through a bit of a goal drought. Norwich were woeful against Liverpool. It look like that 2-1 win over Spurs last month was an anomaly in the general drop off in form. Only 2 wins in the last 11 league games. Arsenal should win this quite comfortably but I am not betting on Arsenal at 1.25. Lots of upsets this season and it wouldn't be that much of a surprise if Norwich did nick this one. I am just leaving this game alone.
6th May 2012
Newcastle (5) Draw (4.2) Manchester City (1.75)
Newcastle are the in form team at the moment. They had a blip at Wigan last weekend ago but made up for it with a stunning win against Chelsea midweek. Papiss Cisse scored 2 fantastic goals. Chelsea did rotate the squad a little but still had a strong side out. With Cisse, Ba and Ben Arfa upfront they are possibly the best offence in the Premiership. Its either them or Tevez and Aguero at Manchester City who are their opponents this weekend. City can pretty much win the title with a win here. They'll thrash QPR on the last day of the season so the task is simple, win here and win the league, anything else and you are relying on Manchester United slipping up. I am not convinced they will win this game though. City didn't look too good against Wolves a couple of weeks ago and even though they beat Manchester United 1-0, I'd have expected them to work David De Gea a bit more. I think the safer bet for City backers would be over 2.5 goals. I cannot see them keeping Newcastle out so they'll need to score 2 to win this. Overs is 1.73 at Bet Victor or City win is 1.75.
Aston Villa (4.5) Draw (3.8) Tottenham (1.91)
Villa got a vital point away at West Brom last weekend. That's probably just enough to keep them up on goal difference. Still not a good performance though and that makes it just 1 win in 13. You could have blamed some of this on injuries but they only have Petrov and Bent out now. It looks like Villa are going to need rebuilding this summer. There was some night club incident midweek too which can't be good for the team morale. Spurs seem to have found their form again now that all this Harry for England business has gone away. Either that or they have played 2 relegation threatened teams and won. I think they will make it three wins in a row though as Villa are playing like a team that are going to get relegated. They are just extremely lucky they picked up points at the start of the season. I am going to go for Spurs at 1.91 at Ladbrokes.
Bolton (2.1) Draw (3.75) West Brom (3.75)
A must win game for Bolton if they are going to stay up. Against Spurs midweek, they looked good when they were at 1-1. I thought they looked most likely to score next but then Spurs hit them with 2 goals in quick succession which deflated them. West Brom's manager will be going to manage the England national side from June. I think West Brom may just be a bit more motivated than normal for this game. Ordinarily, I'd say back the more desperate team but I think that Hodgson will want a win here so the press don't get on his back. Odemwingie and Long should be able to hit Bolton on the counter attack just like Spurs did. West Brom are 3.75 to win at most Bookmakers.
Fulham (1.91) Draw (3.6) Sunderland (4.5)
Excellent win for Fulham midweek against a weakened Liverpool side. At home, they recently beat Wigan who are one of the Premierships form sides and overall they have 4 wins in their last 6. It's a bit worrying how they haven't scored in their last 2 games but they have been tough places to go. (They beat Liverpool 1-0 with an own goal and lost 4-0 to Everton). Pogrebnyak or Dempsey have generally been playing well together and I expect them to score a couple at least. Sunderlands form was bound to drop off. They are 0-5-1 in their last 6 games. They managed to score a couple last weekend which were their first in 5 games. Bendtner was on the scoresheet but Sessegnon has gone off the boil a bit. I think Sunderland will be saving themselves for next weekends game against Manchester United. That game will matter to them whereas this one is a nothingness game. It's a Fulham win for me. Its 1.91 at PaddyPower.
QPR (1.91) Draw (3.75) Stoke (4.5)
QPR are hoping that their recent pattern of wining the home games and losing the away games continue. They've managed to beat Liverpool, Arsenal, Swansea and Spurs in that run. Last weekend they were all over the place defensively and even Torres managed to score a hat trick against them. Hughes will be expecting better. Realistically, these are the last points they're going to pick up this season. They'll get nothing from City next weekend. What extra motivation do they need. Stoke have made themselves a hard team to beat recently. In form Newcastle and Wigan have managed it but they have been getting a fair number of draws. Five, 1-1 draws in the last 8 games. I think this looks like it could be another draw. I like the odds a lot better for the draw than for the home win. I don't like backing a relegation threatened team at odds on against anyone. The draw is 3.75 at bet365.
Wolverhampton (5) Draw (4) Everton (1.75)
With no pressure on Wolves, they played a good game against Swansea. They were 3-0 down after 15 minutes and you would have expected them to give up but they fought on and got a 4-4 draw out of it. This is their last game at home before they go down to the Championship. Maybe one last good performance for the fans? Everton are unbeaten in 7. They have also been scoring a lot with Jelavic looking like an excellent signing. They do have little to play for now though and I wonder how motivated they will be. Looking at the odds and how many goals have been scored recently, I am tempted to go overs rather than pick a winner. Over 2.5 goals is 1.7 at Bluesquare whereas the Everton win is 1.75 at Bet Victor.
Manchester United (1.2) Draw (7.5) Swansea (19)
Manchester United looked poor for most of the game against City on Monday. Apart from the first 5 minutes or so, it was all City. United looked inept. Their midfield would have been great 5 years ago but Giggs, Scholes, Park and Carrick against City was asking to get beat. I think Fergie was playing for the draw which he almost got. Despite not playing very well, De Gea didn't have many saves to make at all. Swansea let a 3-0 lead slip and managed to draw 4-4 with a relegated Wolves side at home. Swansea haven't really been getting the results recently. Maybe it's the end of season or teams have figured out how to play against them. I should imagine that United will press them hard but as Swansea play a possession game, they might not get that much of the ball. When Swansea went to White Hart Lane, they had more possession than Spurs did. Should be a routine United win but I am not interested in backing it at 1.2.
7th May 2012
Blackburn (2.5) Draw (3.6) Wigan (2.9)
Blackburn played a stinker of game against Spurs last round. Not a single shot on goal they had. The only surprising thing is that they only lost 2-0. On recent form, they'll be going down for sure. They have scored more goals than all the teams around them but have also let a lot more in. 75 goals conceded is only beaten by Wolves with 79. Wigan look home and dry now with that 4-0 win over Newcastle. They beat Arsenal away last month and Manchester United at home too. They are playing some excellent football against top teams and getting results. I cannot see why they are not favourites here. I expect by kick off they will be. Wigan are currently 2.9 at Bet Victor for the straight win or for the safer bet, they are 2.1 at PaddyPower on the draw no bet.
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