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Football Betting Tips
by Ben, last updated 2011-12-16 18:55:53Football Betting Tips
17th - 18th December 2011
17th December 2011Blackburn (2.4) Draw (3.4) West Brom (3.2)
Blackburn were desperately unlucky to lose to Sunderland last weekend. They conceded two goals in the last 10 minutes or so. Previously they had beaten Swansea at home 4-2 with Yakubu scoring all 4. I do think Blackburn have turned the corner and will slowly get themselves out of the relegation zone. West Brom on the other hand seem to have lost all their form. A 2-1 loss against Wigan is terrible, especially when you were winning 1-0. They were lucky to get the draw at QPR the weekend before. Home win for me. It's 2.4 at VC Bet.
Everton (1.7) Draw (3.8) Norwich (6)
Everton are priced at 1.7? Why? Everton have been playing shockingly this season. Their wins have been lucky or against 10 men. They just don't score enough goals. 7 goals in 7 games at home. Cahill isn't scoring and Saha is a mere shadow of his former self. They need a goal scorer. Norwich beat Newcastle last game. Not an easy team to beat. Away from home, Norwich aren't doing too well, 1-2-4 but with the way Everton are playing. 6.0 is almost the definition of a value bet. It's 6.0 at bet365.
Fulham (1.7) Draw (3.8) Bolton (6.25)
Unlucky for Fulham midweek in the Europa League. 2-0 up and cruising. They concede 1 and then with the last kick of the game, they concede another and are out of the Europa League. It wasn't the performance which saw them beat Liverpool 1-0 last weekend. I suppose this is a great game to get back on track. It'd be a toss up between Bolton and Wolves to who I'd like to play after a set back. Bolton are now rock bottom. I can't see how they are going to get out of it. They are conceding far too many goals and there's nothing up front to get any goals. Low odds but 1.7 on Fulham is my tip at PaddyPower.
Newcastle (1.85) Draw (3.75) Swansea (5)
Has the Newcastle bubble burst? It's hard to tell because they had to play the top 3 and then lost last weekend to Norwich. They did go down to 10 men though and even with 10 men, Ba managed to score a goal. They have found a goal scorer in him and with a goal scorer you're going to win more than you lose for sure. Swansea beat Fulham 2-0 at home last weekend. Away from home they are a different beast though. They are 0-2-5. Maybe they could get a draw if they keep it tight but I think Newcastle will win this. Its 1.85 at VC Bet.
Wolverhampton (2.55) Draw (3.3) Stoke (3)
Wolves weren't expected to get anything from Old Trafford and were rightly beat 4-1. No a bad performance actually. There's not much you can do when Nani and Rooney are in top form. They'll look back at that 2-1 win over Sunderland for confidence. Stoke played a reserve side midweek in the Europa League. There will be no European hang over for them this weekend as none of the first team travelled. Last weekend, they were excellent against Spurs first half and deserved to be 2-0 up at half time. Spurs did come back strongly but Stoke held on for the win. I think there is some value in backing Stoke this weekend. They've won 3 on the bounce now against Blackburn, Everton and Spurs. I see Wolves as weaker than all of those teams. Stoke are 3.0 at VC Bet.
Wigan (9.5) Draw (4.75) Chelsea (1.4)
I had written Wigan off this season but 6 points from the last 3 games makes me think they may have enough fight in them to survive. 1-0 down away to West Brom, they managed to come back and win it 2-1. Unfortunately for them, they have a rejuvenated Chelsea side visiting. You could say the result against Valencia was a possible blip but they followed it up with a 2-1 victory over Manchester City. They had a bit of luck but stuck in there and won. I don't see them having any problems getting all 3 points here. 1.4 is all you can really expect for a game like this. Even if Torres plays, Chelsea will still win. It's 1.4 at PaddyPower.
18th December 2011
QPR (8) Draw (4.4) Manchester United (1.5)
QPR went to Liverpool last weekend, looking for a draw. They played very defensively and got beat 1-0. I think they may have a good go at United this game. A few weeks ago, the narrowly lost to City 3-2 and they could have won it with a bit more luck. If they put out a performance like that, they'll beat United. United bounced back from their disappointing run with a good 4-1 win over Wolves, with Nani and Rooney both scoring two each. I think that does paper over some cracks in their team though. Every one beats Wolves nowadays and it still doesn't change the fact they have average players (compared to United teams of the past). Betting wise, I'll not be backing United. They have been winning too many games 1-0 recently and at 1.5 its not really worth the risk. If you are going to back United I think the win to nil market is better. That's a more respectable 2.38 at PaddyPower. It's a no bet for me or something on QPR at 8.0 at Coral.
Aston Villa (4.5) Draw (3.5) Liverpool (2)
Villa came good last weekend with a 2-1 win over Bolton. They were looking lacklustre in midfield and I feared they were going to slip down the table. Pity for them that Agbonlahor is suspended. He's been playing better than Bent has and I think Heskey is getting a bit old now. Liverpool ground out a 1-0 against QPR. Plenty of possession but they were lacking in front of goal. Away from home, they have been playing a lot better though. They are 4-0-3. Only in the Spurs defeat were they really outplayed and that was partly because they were down to 10 men early on and finished the game with 9 men. I'd be happier if I knew Suarez was starting but I think Carroll does OK upfront too. Liverpool for me. Its even money at VC Bet.
Tottenham (1.4) Draw (5) Sunderland (10)
I don't know what happened to Spurs last weekend at Stoke. They were outplayed first half and found themselves 2-0 down. They came out strong second half and managed to get a goal back but it was too little too late. I suppose all runs must come to an end. Midweek, they were knocked out of the Europa League despite winning. Redknapp wasn't bothered about that competition though and its all about the Premier League now. Sunderland managed to win against Blackburn last weekend. The O'Neil factor looks like its kicked in. If it wasn't for that, I'd be all over Spurs. I still will back Spurs but its not going to be such a walk in the park. O'Neil can't the skill level of the players and Spurs have a much superior squad and home advantage. It's 1.4 at Ladbrokes.
Manchester City (1.75) Draw (3.8) Arsenal (5.5)
This has got to be the game of the weekend. They question everyone is asking is how will City bounce back from their defeat at Chelsea. I personally think they were robbed. At 1-0 up they were denied a blatant penalty and Chelsea would have been down to 10 men. As it happened, City got a man sent off early in the second half and went on to lose the game 2-1. I suppose, they were due a loss at some point. Arsenal ground out a 1-0 win over a poor Everton side. Van Persie scoring the only goal. I suppose this game will depend on how quiet City can keep Van Persie. Arsenal do have a lot of pace in their side and could hit City on the counter if they push up too much. I think overs is the way to play this game. Stan James are offering 1.73 for overs which is almost the same as the City win. I can see Arsenal getting at least 1 so it'll be an overs game in City win.
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