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Football Betting Tipsby Ben, last updated 2011-03-11 17:28:24
FA Cup weekend betting tips 12th 13th March 201112th March 2011
Birmingham (3) Draw (3.3) Bolton (2.6)
Birmingham have had cup success already by beating Arsenal. They still not safe in the league though. They lost 3-1 at home to West Brom the weekend after and then got a respectable midweek draw at Everton. I have read reports that McLeish isn't going to be putting out the full side for this game. They sit above the relegation zone only on goal difference and with West Ham climbing, league survival is more important than the FA Cup. Bolton on the other hand are looking at safe upper mid table. With Birmingham winning the Carling Cup 7th won't be enough to play in Europe so the FA Cup is not only silverware but also their best chance to get in to Europe next year. Bolton did go to fortress Craven Cottage in this competition and win 1-0 to get this far. I'm going for Bolton here, 2.6 at Totesport is the best price. This would be low for the league but given that Birmingham seem like they are not interested in this game, its an excellent price.
Manchester United (2) Draw (3.6) Arsenal (4)
Tough times for both these teams who sit first and second in the Premier League. Two league defeats for Manchester United at Chelsea and Liverpool have put Arsenal back in it. The performance at Liverpool was worrying because it was poor. At Chelsea, it was Chelsea's brilliance but Liverpool outclassed Manchester United. Arsenal dropped 2 points last weekend against Sunderland. Maybe some referee decisions went against them but they should be beating Sunderland at home. Midweek was a disaster for Arsenal in Barcelona. It didn't help that Van Persie was sent off softly but for 50 minutes or so it was 11 vs 11 and Arsenal didn't have a shot on goal. Their confidence must have taken a big blow. Only 19 year old Jack Wilshere shone but he's not going to be able to carry the team. No Fabregas, Walcott or song in midfield. Van Persie will be playing but I don't think that Arsenal can get anything here even with their top striker fit. Even money at bluesquare for the Manchester United win is my bet.
13th March 2011
Stoke (2.2) Draw (3.5) West Ham (3.75)
Stoke are on a bit of a slide at the moment, well away from home. They were thrashed last weekend 3-0 by West Ham. The worrying thing is the week before they were terrible against West Brom and could have easily lost it at the end. They had won the previous 3 home games though. West Ham are back in the relegation zone despite their recent run of good form. Its tight down at the bottom and Stoke only sit 3 points above West Ham despite being in 12th place. I can see West Ham getting out of the relegation battle though with their current squad. They do have some quality players and its just taken Grant longer than expected to get them playing together. With regard to this game, its tricky. If last weekends game wouldn't have happened I'd be on West Ham but I have a theory that its hard to beat the same team twice in a short period of time. Stoke will be wanting revenge and are the home side. I will skip this game betting wide. Neither of the results wouldn't be too surprising and I can't really see any value in the way the bookies have priced this one up.
Manchester City (1.4) Draw (5) Reading (9.2)
Manchester City had a tough fixture midweek in the Ukraine. They lost that 2-0. Thats a blow for their Europa League hopes but Kiev is a tough place to play in and they weren't expected to get anything from that. Whats more worrying is the recent form. Last weekend against Wigan they weren't that good even though they won 1-0. If Wigan had that bit extra in the final 3rd they could have easily won that as Wigan kept the ball really well with some slick passing. Reading knocked out a poor Everton in the last round to get here. From what I read, it was the most shocking Everton performance of the season. Reading are just outside a play off place now but may be hitting form at the right time. The thing is, there is a gulf of class between the Premiership and the upper middle of the Championship. If this was a league match against one of the bottom 10 of the Premiership, you'd expect these types of odds but as Reading are a Championship side, I like the 1.4. I'm sticking with that but also see there being a lot of value in the City winning to nil at 2.2 at bluesquare. Its paid off many times at home for Manchester City but I just a feeling that Reading may score this game.
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