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Football Betting Tips
by Ben, last updated 2010-10-29 18:27:27Premiership Betting Tips
30th October - 1st November 2010
30th October 2010Arsenal (1.2) Draw (7.5) West Ham (19)
Some good form on paper for Arsenal since losing to Chelsea. 4 wins in all competitions. I am still not sure about them. The City game would have been all different if it was 11 vs 11. Carling Cup games aren't that a good indicator as teams generally play weaker sides. West Ham haven't turned the corner as I thought. They let a 1-0 lead slip against Newcastle and ended up losing 2-1. Midweek they beat Stoke 3-1 in extra time. The extra 30 minutes would have been tiring for them. 1.2 is a bit of a low price. I am looking at 3 or more goals for a bit of extra value. Arsenal haven't been keeping clean sheets when playing against 11 men so I expect West Ham to nick a goal. Arsenal should win so its going to be an overs game I think. 3 or more goals is 1.45 at bet365.
Blackburn (8.5) Draw (4.5) Chelsea (1.5)
Blackburn lost their last game to Liverpool. They had Samba and Nelson out so their defence wasn't 100%. Saying that though, they didn't create enough chances. Some pundits are saying that Chelsea look like running away with the league. I am not too sure. They have failed to score in their last 2 away games. 1-0 loss to City and 0-0 to Villa. It seems they struggle when they are up against decent opponents. Are Blackburn decent opponents? Probably not but 1.5 is very short for Chelsea. I will be backing Chelsea on the win to nil market. Its 2.4 at bluesquare. That bets been a goldmine so far this season. Its not paid out as well away from home but if you think Chelsea are going to win, you get almost treble for the price if you go with the win to nil rather than straight win.
Everton (1.62) Draw (4) Stoke (7)
Everton are now unbeaten in 4 since that home defeat to Newcastle. They have been playing well all season but just didn't get the early results. With Yakubu playing up front now, I am much more confident they can score. Stoke have hit a bad patch but nothing to be too concerned about. They lost to Bolton and Manchester United with late goals and then lost to West Ham in the Carling Cup in injury time. Stoke have ambitions this season and have the players to deliver. I am not going to be backing Everton at 1.62. Far too short. I quite like Stoke +1 on the Asian Handicap. Stoke have only lost 1 game by more than a single goal and that was to Chelsea. A single goal loss will return stakes and a draw or Stoke win will payout. Its 1.95 at bet365.
Fulham (1.91) Draw (3.6) Wigan (4.5)
Fulham are sliding in to losing territory. Two, 2-1 losses ended their draw streak. Questions are being asked of Mark Hughes now. I guess the loss at West Brom could be put down to a couple of bad referee decisions. If they don't win this though, the pressure will be on. Wigan have a surprisingly good record. Only 1 defeat in the last 7. They do actually have a couple of potential match winners in Rodallega and N Zogbia. To me this has a draw written all over it. I certainly won't be backing 'one win all season' Fulham at 1.91. The draw is 3.6 at VC Bet.
Wolverhampton (5.5) Draw (3.75) Manchester City (1.8)
After a promising start Wolves sit second from bottom. No win since the first game of the season. They are playing quite well but the results aren't going their way. I still think they have the quality to be in this league though. City were unlucky against Arsenal losing a man so early in the game. They were on a good run up to that point. Big news is that Tevez will not be playing. I guess thats why you are getting 1.8 on the City win. The way I see it, is that City have enough good players to cope without Tevez. Time for Adebayor to step up. Its currently 1.8 at bet365 for the City win.
Manchester United (1.62) Draw (4.2) Tottenham (6)
I am not sure whether Manchester United made a smart move by extending Rooney's contract. I guess if anything its put the issue to bed for now. Manchester United got their first win on the road last weekend against Stoke with a last goal. Hernandez has stepped up well to fill in for Rooney. Spurs could only manage a draw against Everton last weekend. van der Vaart on the score sheet again. This fixture is an interesting one from a betting point of view. Over the past few years its always looked value to back Spurs against Manchester United. However, Manchester United have won the last 6 and the last 5 by at least a 2 goal margin. I'll go Manchester United on this. Its 1.62 at Boylesports. 5/1 is a big price for Spurs but they don't seem to be able to deliver against Manchester United.
31st October 2010
Aston Villa (1.87) Draw (3.6) Birmingham (5)
Villa's new manager boost seems to have subsided now. No win in the last 3 and only scoring a single goal. I guess a 0-0 against Chelsea is a good result. Carew will be back for this game so that increases the chance of them scoring. Birmingham looked like they were sliding but a good 2-0 win against Blackpool may have stopped that. Hleb has been a great signing for Birmingham. Early game tend to start slowly. Neither side are scoring freely and have good defences. To me this looks like a draw. Its 3.6 at bet365.
Newcastle United (2.25) Draw (3.3) Sunderland (3.6)
Newcastle are a team that are struggle for home form. Since that 6-0 demolition of Villa they has lost 2 and only drew against Wigan due to a late goal. Last weekend there were impressive against a resurgent West Ham side. The trouble off the pitch for Carroll seems to not have affected him on the pitch. Sunderland have been playing well and were due a win. They beat Villa 1-0 courtesy of Dunne own goal. Thats 3 clean sheets in a row now for Sunderland. This game screams draw to me. Newcastle can't seem to win at home and Sunderland can't seem to win away from home so the draw is the logical pick. Its 3.3 at Totesport.
Bolton (3.4) Draw (3.4) Liverpool (2.3)
Bolton continued their season of draws with a 1-1 draw away to Bolton. Nothing much wrong with the football with Bolton, just getting too many draws. Liverpool were relieved to get the win last weekend against a toothless Blackburn. Liverpool dominated and Blackburn scored pretty much with their only meaningful attack of the game. A turning point maybe or just a blip for the new owners? I don't know but why are Liverpool favourites for this game? Bolton have only lost 1 game all season and that was away to Arsenal. The odds make this a 1X game for me. I will go for the Bolton win, its 3.4 at bet365.
1st November 2010
Blackpool (3) Draw (3.4) West Bromwich (2.63)
Blackpool are sliding down the table now. They haven't managed to build on that win at Liverpool, losing their last games. Too be fair they played extremely well against City in their last home game, scoring 2 goals. I still get the feeling that their squad is not good enough for the Premiership though. West Brom are on fire at the moment. Since the loss at Liverpool at the end of August, West Brom have gone on a 6 game unbeaten run winning 3, including the famous 3-2 win at Arsenal. Midweek, they changed most of the squad and still managed to demolish Leicester 4-1 in the Carling Cup. I guess I'll go with the form side and will be backing West Ham. Its 2.63 at Boylesports.
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