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Football Betting Tips

by Ben, last updated 2011-03-18 18:49:16

 Premiership Weekend 19th - 20th 2011


19th March 2011

Tottenham (1.62) Draw (4.2) West Ham (6.5)
Spurs have had a nice rest after drawing 0-0 at home to get through to the quarter finals of the Champions League. At this stage of the season they'll be loving the rest. They find themselves outsiders for qualifying for next years Champions League so they must win this to keep the pressure on Chelsea and City. West Ham were knocked out of the FA Cup last weekend by Stoke. They didn't play well at all. Their goal was helped by a blatant handball which the referee didn't see. All this talk of a resurgent West Ham looked like hot air. If you look at it, their results have come at home and away they have been poor. First half against West Brom last month, they were 3-0 down at half time. I do like the odds on the home win. I'm not going to go for that though. I think over 2.5 goals at 1.73 at bet365 is a better bet. I can see West Ham scoring so its effectively the same bet.

Aston Villa (1.91) Draw (3.6) Wolverhampton (4.5)
Villa have had a big break from football. Its makes Houllier's decision to rest players in the FA Cup game against City look stupid. They lost the next game to Bolton 3-2. From the match reports, it looked like Bolton only had 3 good chances and scored them all. Villa played extremely well and should have taken all 3 points. Villa do have a quality side and really should be on more than 33 points. Wolves have been on a great run of form. They still sit in the bottom 3 though and are in serious danger of going down. Their recent revival has come at home and away they are still losing. Their away record this season is 1-2-11. I think Villa will win but again I will go for over 2.5 goals instead. Its 1.83 at Betfred. Lots of overs games this season and upsets.

Blackburn (1.85) Draw (3.8) Blackpool (4.5)
Blackburn are in serious danger of going down. Only 1 point from their last 6 games. They maybe should have got a point from Fulham but still, they are showing relegation form. The owners will definitely be regretting sacking big Sam now. Blackpool are looking good for relegation too. They do have the advantage of captain Charlie Adam back for this game though. They have really missed him but leading goal scorer DJ Campbell is still suspended. Betting wise, I can't be backing Blackburm at odds on. It makes no sense. They are both on 32 points with Blackburn ahead on goal difference. Blackpool have had more success away from home than at home. I think that 4.5 is too big a price for them (last time I said that they lost 4-0 at Wolves). I'll still go with the Blackpool away win though. Its 4.5 a bluesquare.

Manchester United (1.45) Draw (4.6) Bolton (9.5)
After 2 league defeats, Manchester United will be glad to get back home in the Premier League. 13 wins and 1 draw show that Old Trafford is a fortress. They won their last 2 home games in the Champions League and FA Cup. The Champions League game was tight to say the least but they got through that. Injuries are taking its toll on the side though. The main worry is the defense where Ferdinand and Vidic are both out. Bolton are in no mans land in the league now. The won't go down and with no chance of getting in to Europe through the league. They are did manage to get past Birmingham in the FA Cup last weekend in a very close game. They have Stoke in semi-final which I can see them winning, so they just have to beat whichever Manchester team to win the FA Cup this season. I don't think they'll be too bothered about this game. Manchester United should win this comfortably. Its another game where I am going for overs rather than the home in though. With the make shift defense that Manchester United have, they look like they will concede. 3 or more goals is 1.67 at bluesquare.

Stoke (2.25) Draw (3.3) Newcastle United (3.75)
Stoke got in to the semi final of the FA Cup by defeating West Ham 2-1 last weekend. This was perfect revenge for the 3-0 thrashing the week before. Stoke looked good, missed a penalty and West Ham's goal should have been disallowed. They know they are not safe yet so need a result here. Newcastle are a strange side. You look at them and you wonder where they are going to get their goals from but they still manage to score. The defeat to Everton last round was their first loss in 5. On 36 points they are probably safe now. Their fixture list is fairly easy from now on. I will put my money on Stoke then. I saw enough last weekend to believe they have the winning mentality back at the Britannia. Stoke are 2.25 at PaddyPower.

West Brom (5) Draw (3.75) Arsenal (1.85)
Hodgson has turned around West Brom's fortune a little. On the slide when he took over, they are unbeaten under his management. 3 draws and an excellent win last round away at Birmingham. The sit just a point above the relegation zone though and still are in danger of going down. This game is all about Arsenal though. They probably have had the worst 2 weeks of the season. First they lose in the Carling Cup final. They then drop a couple of points at home to Sunderland. They go out of the Champions League at Barcelona and then go to Old Trafford to get beat 2-0 by United's B side. Do they have the character to pick themselves up and get on with winning the league? With Manchester United still playing in 3 competitions this could Arsenal's year. They are 3 points behind with a game in hand. I think the price on Arsenal has to be taken. I am pretty sure if this was earlier in the season it'd be about 1.5. Arsenal win at 1.85 at William Hill for me.

Wigan (2.25) Draw (3.4) Birmingham (3.75)
With only 9 games left, things are looking bleak for Wigan. Its win or go down I think for them. Their last 3 fixtures have been pretty tough and this one looks winnable for them. I saw their last game against City and Wigan did look good. It was only a goal keeping error that allowed City to win 1-0. Birmingham were knocked out of the FA Cup last weekend. From the reports it sounded like they wanted the win and it was only a stoppage time goal that knocked them out. Back in the league though, Birmingham haven't been playing well. They drew at Everton which I suppose its a good result but they lost at home to Newcastle and West Brom. They are games they should be winning at home. I will take a chance on Wigan here. I think if they lose they will go down so they will be much more motivated than Birmingham. Wigan win is 2.25 at PaddyPower
.

Everton (2.05) Draw (3.3) Fulham (4.33)
Everton's mini run of wins came to an end with the match against Birmingham. They were poor and were fortunate to get away with a 1-1 home draw. Bad times on the injury front for Everton. Artea and Fellaini are definitely out and Cahill and Neville are doubtful. They are probably Everton's most influential players. Fulham took all 3 points from Blackburns visit last game. It was a late and controversial goal though and a draw would have been a fairer result. Looking at their recent form, they have drawn a hell of a lot of games and only the 1 away win all season. I'll pick this bet on a process of elimination. Can't back Everton because of the injuries. Can't back Fulham because they don't win away from home. That leaves the draw at 3.3 at PaddyPower.

20th March 2011

Sunderland (2.75) Draw (3.3) Liverpool (2.8)
Sunderland stopped their 4 run losing streak with a 0-0 draw at Arsenal. That should have been a loss too if it were not for some bad refereeing decisions. They are missing Darren Bent's goals so much. The good news is that Cattermole is going to be back which will boost their team. Liverpool were knocked out of the Europa League Thursday after only being able to get a 0-0 draw at home to Braga. This is the team that Arsenal beat 6-0 earlier on in the season. Maybe King Kenny's bubble has burst. With no Gerrard they struggle. Carroll will take some time to fit in to the Liverpool system. This a tricky game to call. I will go with Sunderland though. They haven't played for 2 weeks and should be better prepared and fresher. Sunderland are 2.75 at VC Bet.

Chelsea (1.73) Draw (3.8) Manchester City (6)
Chelsea were the bookies friend midweek when they drew 0-0 to Copenhagen. They didn't need to win but the number of chances they missed was unbelievable. Torres and Essien didn't start and only came on as substitutes. I can see both of them starting this game with Anelka dropped up front. City were knocked out of the Europa league despite winning 1-0 at home. Balotelli was sent off in the first half which didn't help things. I think Mancini will set up not to lose this game. At bit like the 0-0 at Arsenal a few weeks ago. A draw would probably suit City too. They'd be 6 points above Spurs but with a much better goal difference. City have actually won the last 3 league encounters against Chelsea but I can't see it this time. Last time City won away from home was way back in December at Newcastle. The draw is 3.8 at VC Bet.





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