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Football Betting Tips
by Ben, last updated 2011-04-22 17:49:43Premiership Weekend Betting tips
23th - 25th April 2011
23th April 2011Manchester United (1.5) Draw (4.5) Everton (8.8)
A bad week for Manchester United. First they get knocked out of the FA Cup by their City rivals and then can only manage a 0-0 draw at Newcastle. The league is still safe I think with Arsenal stumbling and Chelsea just a bit too far behind to catch them now. Berbatov looks out but not too concerned as I prefer Hernandez to him anyway. Everton just keep defying my predictions. Their almost barebones side keep on getting results and can now leapfrog Liverpool with a result here. I just can't see how this run can continue, especially now they have to come to fortress Old Trafford. United are 15-1-0 at home this season with the only draw against West Brom. I do like the 1.5 at William Hill. Its not often you get prices like that for United at home and I'm going to take it.
Aston Villa (1.91) Draw (3.6) Stoke (4.6)
Villa were convincing winners last week against West Ham even though their goal only came in the last minute. It was a much improved performance from the week before where they beat Newcastle 1-0 but played poorly. On 40 points now so pretty safe. No injury worries at all with Bent still scoring for fun. Stoke surprised everyone last weekend with a stunning 5-0 demolition job of Bolton in the FA Cup. Stoke are pretty much safe now but still probably need a couple more points to be safe. They'll not just think that the FA Cup is all they have to play for this season. My first thought was a Villa win but the odds aren't that appealing. Stoke just won 5-0 last game and now their opponents are odds on. Doesn't make sense. I will instead go for over 2.5 goals at bet365. Its 1.95. Its been a season of goals this one. Overs has come in more often than not.
Blackpool (3) Draw (3.6) Newcastle United (2.5)
Blackpool slipped in to the relegation zone last weekend with a 3-1 home defeat to Wigan. Since beating Spurs 3-1 at home, they have played 6, drew 1 and lost the other 5. Captain Charlie Adam is a doubt but should play. Even with him though, their chances of survival are slim. Newcastle played out an entertaining 0-0 against Manchester United midweek. They worked hard to deny United all 3 points. The problem I see with Newcastle is their strike force or lack of it. No goal in the last 2 games but Kevin Nolan so maybe he'll get a goal or 2. The reverse fixture at St James park ended in a shock 2-0 win to Blackpool. In terms of predicting the result, I can see anything happening in this game. I did see what stat that makes me want to back over 2.5 goals though. 94% of Blackpool's home games have been overs. The only game that was under was a 1-1 against Villa. Over 2.5 goals is 1.67 at VC Bet.
Liverpool (1.5) Draw (4.4) Birmingham (8.5)
A mad drama at the Emirates gave Liverpool a point in the 102th minute. A fair result in the end I think. Liverpool at home have really been where all the points have been picked up. No defeat in 7 there now, with excellent wins over Manchester United (3-1) and Manchester City (3-0). Birmingham met Chelsea midweek at the wrong time. They were 1-0 down after just 3 minutes and it was always going to be a struggle after that. The good thing is that they didn't roll over and managed to get a consolation goal. Even though, Liverpool's home form has been great, they may struggle here. Birmingham will come and play for the draw. The last 5 encounters between these sides have been draws. I don't really see any value in the 1.5 on the home win but 4.4 on the draw at VC Bet looks tasty.
Sunderland (2.15) Draw (3.4) Wigan (3.8)
Sunderland continue their slide. They didn't actually play too badly against Liverpool but still lost 2-0. That's just 1 point from their last 9 games now. 1 more win and they should be safe but I don't know where that is coming from. Wigan pulled out of the relegation zone with a 3-1 win over Blackpool last weekend. They deserved it. I thought that Wigan could do it as they haven't been playing too badly. I think the turned it around at the start of the year but have just had a terrible run in, playing all of the top 6. I can see them going to the Stadium of Light and winning here. Sunderland are in free fall and while that's happening, just keep backing against them. Wigan are 3.8 at VC Bet.
Tottenham (1.62) Draw (4.2) West Brom (6.5)
Spurs have ended their scoring drought in the league by scoring 3 goals in both of their last 2 games. Midweek they were great against Arsenal coming from 2 goals behind to win 3-3. Van der Vaart looks like the player he was when he first signed for them. They still have the Champions League qualification to play for this season. They are 2 points behind City but with a much worse goal difference. West Brom lost their first game under Hodgson last weekend. They were 1-0 up with Odemwingie on the scoresheet again. Chelsea fought back strongly though and they lost the game 3-1. West Brom are more or less safe now. The last 4 games of the season for them are against teams, they'd expect to get at least 1 win from. In this game, I would like to back Spurs. The odds are a bit short for me though. I am going to go for over 2.5 goals at 1.73 at bluesquare. I can see both teams scoring and so Spurs win must be an overs game.
Wolverhampton (2.62) Draw (3.3) Fulham (3)
Wolves were looking like they could pull themselves out of the relegation zone but with results going against them and 2 losses they find themselves rock bottom of the table. The international break did them no good at all with Kevin Doyle getting injured. He's been a great miss for them. Fulham on 38 points are safe. Their home form has made sure of that. Still, they can't win away from home though. You can pretty much mark 1 or X on your selection when Fulham are playing away from home. Tricky one to call this from a betting point of view. I think I will have to go with the draw as it's the highest price. Its more or less do or die for Wolves now but I don't think they have the strength team take all 3 points from this decent Fulham side. The draw is 3.3 at Totesport.
Chelsea (1.25) Draw (7) West Ham (16.5)
Chelsea have a small chance of winning the league with their recent upturn in form. Its still Manchester United's to lose but United still have to play Chelsea and Arsenal again this season. Looks like Chelsea play their best when Torres isn't playing so its doubtful he'll start. If you look at the teams they have played recently, Wigan, West Brom and Birmingham, you would have expected them to get all 9 points. I put that West Ham in that bracket of teams so another win here is extremely likely. West Ham were looking like they were going to pull clear of the relegation zone but 3 losses in a row could see them rock bottom by the time this game kicks off. Scott Parker is a doubt and without him, they are poor. Last weekend, they were outclassed by Villa without him, despite taking an early lead. As always with Chelsea, I am going for the Chelsea to win to nil bet. Its 2.1 at bluesquare, which is more than 4 times the price of the straight win.
24th April 2011
Bolton (5) Draw (4) Arsenal (1.8)
Huge disappointment for Bolton in the cup last weekend. They were the early favourites for that game too. Stoke outclassed them 5-0. It'd be interesting to see how they respond. It is season over for them. Nothing really to play for but I suspect they may try harder than usual to say sorry to their fans. Sturridge will be back in the side. Arsenal have bottled it once again. They have drawn far too many games to mount a serious title challenge. 3-1 up against Spurs midweek and they blew it. Nothing wrong with the performance but they can't seem to be able to hold on to leads. I will go for a draw here. I can't be backing Arsenal at 1.8 with all the draws recently and I do think Bolton will put on a performance to make up for last weekend's disappointment. The draw is 4.0 at William Hill.
25th April 2011
Blackburn (3.8) Draw (3.5) Manchester City (2.15)
Blackburn have drifted in to the danger zone now. Only 2 points ahead of the drop zone. With only 3 points in their last 6 games, they sit near the bottom of the recent form table with only Sunderland and Blackpool below them. Ewood Park used to be a fortress but their last win was against West Brom in January. Since then, Blackpool, Birmingham and Newcastle have all come to town and no win. City will be on a high from knocking out Manchester United in the FA Cup. They played great after the first 20 minutes or so and thoroughly deserved to win. City have been poor away from home and not got many points recently but when you look at the sides they were playing, its not that surprising they haven't won away from home since December. I will go with them here though. 2.15 at William Hill is a great price. I am surprised they are odds against really. City still have 4th place to play for and that win over United will surely have boosted their confidence. No Tevez but they did fine without him last weekend. 2.15 at William Hill.
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