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Football Betting Tips
by Ben, last updated 2011-04-30 00:25:04Premiership Weekend Betting tips
30th April - 1st May
30th April 2011Blackburn (2.05) Draw (3.5) Bolton (4)
Blackburn held out for 75 minutes against City last weekend and maybe didn't deserve to lose 1-0. Still no win in 10 for them though and its put them in relegation danger. Bolton have had a good week. They made up for the FA Cup loss with a great 2-1 win over Arsenal and then lost 3-0 to Fulham. Their season is over now and they may put in the effort at home but away, they don't seem interested. With that in mind, I am going to go for Blackburn here. They are in serious danger of going down if they don't pick up all 3 points here and Kean will make sure all his players know that. Blackburn win is 2.05 at VC Bet.
Blackpool (2.75) Draw (3.5) Stoke (2.75)
Blackpool were unlucky to only get a draw at Blackpool last weekend. They should have had a penalty which would have made it 2-1. They don't seem to be getting the decisions and with Holloway complaining about it, maybe this weekend, something will go for them. Its getting desperate for them. They are above the relegation zone on goal difference only. Only 2 points from their last 7 games. Stoke have been playing really well despite their season resting on the FA Cup now. They didn't roll over at Villa and got a 1-1 draw, then they beat Wolves 3-0 to make them officially safe in the Premiership. Jones is scoring freely now for them too so I expect him to get one against a leaky Blackpool defence. I was looking at overs again but the odds are too low to justify that. I am going to go for Blackpool. It's a team that has everything to play for vs a team that has nothing to play for. Blackpool are 2.75 at PaddyPower.
Sunderland (2.7) Draw (3.3) Fulham (2.94)
It was hard to work out what happened to Sunderland last weekend. They were 1-0 down with about 40 minutes left to go but ended up winning 4-2. Not only that, they had to make 3 substitutions due to injury. What a way to stop the slide. They will go in to this game with a striker crisis though. None of their regular forwards are fit so someone called Stephane Sessegnon will play the lone striker role. Fulham are back to a predictable pattern now. Win at home and draw or lose away from home. Last weekend they were behind for most of the game against Wolves but a late Andy Johnson goal gave them a point. Midweek, the demolished Bolton 3-0 (admittedly Bolton weren't interested though). This is an X2 game for me. There probably still is some value in opposing Sunderland still. I am just not sure whether Fulham can win away from home. It's the draw for me then. Its 3.3 at Totesport.
West Brom (2.4) Draw (3.4) Aston Villa (3.25)
West Brom are on 40 points which is probably going to be enough to keep them up. After the defeat to Chelsea they came back with a good 2-2 draw at Spurs. Odemwingie on the scoresheet again. Villa are just a point above West Brom. Their relegation fears have been banished with a run of 2 draws and 2 wins. Bent scoring again too. Both teams are safe now but a point each wouldn't harm either side. It's a local Derby but there isn't as much rivalry between these sides as there are in other Birmingham derbies. I think the draw at 3.4 at bluesquare is the best bet.
Wigan (3) Draw (3.3) Everton (2.63)
Wigan were looking good for getting out of the relegation battle. 1-0 up at Sunderland then it all went wrong. By losing 4-2 they slipped back in to the relegation zone on goal difference. I'll put that down to a freak event though. Wigan have been impressing me and I think they can bounce back. Everton are currently flying. They were great at Manchester United last weekend but could not hold back the sheer weight of pressure that United piled on them. Cahill was back as a substitute and Arteta could be back for this game. Still quite a few injuries though but they seem to be doing fine with their patched up team. As I said, I think Wigan can bounce back from their defeat. They have to or they are going down. In terms of betting, I'm going for the draw. Biggest price on the coupon and I can't pick a winner here. 3.3 at bet365.
Chelsea (1.53) Draw (4.75) Tottenham (7.5)
Chelsea's revival continued last weekend with a comfortable 3-0 win over West Ham. Torres on the score sheet which could be the thing that starts his season. Also they have a fully fit squad which is crucial at this late stage. There is still a slim chance of the title for them but it would require a massive help from Arsenal. Spurs have been scoring but not winning many games. 3-3 and 22 in their last 3. 4th place looks beyond them and it looks like Liverpool could give them a run for 5th place. Still a lot to play for. I am going to go for the Chelsea win. Odds are shocking though. Maybe the Chelsea of a few seasons ago this would be OK but this Chelsea team is getting old and Spurs have the players to cause an upset. I don't think they will though so even though I don't like the price, I'll still pick Chelsea at 1.53 at PaddyPower.
1st May 2011
Birmingham (2.15) Draw (3.3) Wolverhampton (4)
Birmingham probably weren't expecting to get any points from the last 2 games. Both away at Chelsea (3-1) and Liverpool (5-0). Before then though, they were on a little mini run that has put them so close to the 40 point mark. A win here would put them on 41 and safe. Wolves played well last weekend against Fulham and led for most of the game before conceding late. Maybe that did something to their confidence because they were terrible at Stoke and rightly got thrashed 3-0. Still no Kevin Doyle who was so instrumental in their revival. I will go with Birmingham here. Wolves looked like a team that are going down midweek and I don't see them being able to raise their game here. Birmingham are 2.15 at William Hill.
Liverpool (1.5) Draw (4.5) Newcastle United (8)
Liverpool's home form is excellent at the moment. I was thinking there may have been an upset last weekend but they demolished Birmingham 5-0. They are only 3 points behind Spurs with a better goal difference but have played a game more. Newcastle got a point at Blackpool last weekend but maybe should have lost. I am concerned about their lack of scoring. Teams usually put at least 2 past Blackpool but they only managed the 1. With Nolan doubtful, I doubt they'll have the strike force to penetrate Liverpool. They are safe now on 41 points. Liverpool were this price last weekend to beat Birmingham who had something to play for. Liverpool is 1.5 at Totesport.
Arsenal (2.63) Draw (3.5) Manchester United (2.93)
Arsenal lost at Bolton last weekend and deserved to. They have bottled the league. It doesn't help that their style of play is too predictable. Pass it around a bit but never shoot, always trying to pass it in the goal. Teams have got wise to that and they are easy to defend against. Only 1 win in 7 league games. Manchester United did enough again to beat Everton last weekend. The sheer weight of United pressure made the goal inevitable. It was a similar story in the Champions League at Schalke. Lots of the pressure and the goal was inevitable. They won that game 2-0 so the second leg is just a formality. I can't actually see why Arsenal are favourites here at all. Maybe if United would have had a tough game midweek and the second leg was on Wednesday would have been important, I could see this as a tricky fixture but its not. United are 2.15 on the Asian Handicap +0 at bet365.
Manchester City (1.4) Draw (4.75) West Ham (10)
City banished their away form with a narrow 1-0 win against Blackburn. At home though, they've been solid with a 10-4-2 record. With Arsenal slipping up, there is a chance that they could catch them and get 3rd place. Still no Tevez but they have been able to get wins without him. West Ham have now lost 4 on the bounce, letting in 10 goals. They haven't scored in their last 3 away games. With Parker still out, I can't see them getting anything from this game. City odds look poor but they are playing the team that are rock bottom of the league. In these situations I'd recommend going for the City to win to nil bet at 2.4 rather than the straight win. City's defence is tight and most of their home wins have been to nil. It's 2.4 at bluesquare.
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