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Weekend picks

by Ben, last updated 2005-06-12 22:52:32

 Bolton v Chelsea - Sat Apr 30, 2005

 Chelsea (2.05), Draw (3.4), Bolton (4)

Chelsea could be crowned champions if they get all three points today. A draw would give Arsenal a theoretical chance of still winning the title but realistically Chelsea are going to be champions.

Also I think Chelsea would rather win the title next week at home to Charlton. With this in mind I can see Jose Mourinho resting a few players in preparation for Tuesdays encounter with Liverpool.

I think Bolton can get something from this encounter. They managed to beat Arsenal here in the league, and only lost 1-0 with 10 men to them in the cup. Its going to be a draw or a home win, so backing Bolton +0.5 at 1.75 is my bet.


 Southampton v Norwich - Sat Apr 30, 2005

 Southampton (2.15), Draw (3.5), Norwich (3.75)

This is a tough one to call. Last week, Southampton played a really shocking game and were 4-1 down after 30 minutes. They may also be with out Peter Crouch and Henri Camera, which will be a big blow for their goal scoring potential.

Norwich haven't won away from home all season. Their recent form has been excellent though. Three weeks ago you'd have bet your house on them going down. They've got a fair chance of staying up now, if their form continues.

I think overs is a good bet. I can see there being plenty of goals. The price is evens. Dean Ashton has found premiership form and I expect him to score at least one.


 Newcastle v Crystal Palace - Sat Apr 30, 2005

 Newcastle (1.91), Draw (3.5), Crystal Palace (4.5)

Newcastle's terrible run has got to end soon. They coudl have snatched all three points against Middlesbrough were it not for a fantastic save from Brad Jones. I think this is going to be the day.

Palace aren't a good team. The win against Liverpool was due to Liverpool being distracted by the clash with Chelsea and Liverpool's poor away form. True, they are fighting for Premiership survival and that may give them the extra motivation.

However, just as good runs must come to an end, so must bad runs. I'm going for Newcastle +0.5 at 1.95.


 Man City v Portsmouth - Sat Apr 30, 2005

 Man City (1.83), Draw (3.4), Portsmouth (5)

Man City are on a good run at the moment. Unbeaten in 5 with wins over Liverpool and Birmingham. Portsmouth had managed an excellent 4-1 win over local rivals Southampton. That's put them well clear of the relegation battle.

I think this will be a home win. Portsmouth don't travel very well, having only won 2 away matches this season. So home win at 1.83 (AH odds are 1.8).


 Liverpool v Middlesbrough - Sat Apr 30, 2005

 Liverpool (1.73), Draw (3.5), Middlesbrough (5.5)

Both these teams have been inconsistence to say the least. Liverpool lost to Palace last week then held Chelsea to a 0-0 draw. Middlesbrough beat West Brom 4-0 and the drew 0-0 with Newcastle.

Liverpool have a very good home record but its been fairly average after Champions League matches. I can see them being distracted by the return leg next week. I think a draw is the most likely outcome. I'll go for Middlesbrough +0.75 on the Asian Handicap, odds are 1.8.


 Fulham v Everton - Sat Apr 30, 2005

 Everton (2.63), Fulham (2.88), Draw (3.4)

I think Everton will win this one. A win here would cement their 4th place in the Premiership. A loss or a draw would give Liverpool (or even Bolton) a ray of hope.

Fulham are unbeaten at Craven Cottage this calendar year. Their last home defeat was 28th December when they went down 3-2 to Birmingham. If you look at the sides they've play though, none of them were in the top half of the Premiership.

You can Everton +0 on the Asian Handicap, the price is 1.95. I am also tempted by Everton to win by exactly 1 goal at 4.3.


 Birmingham v Blackburn - Sat Apr 30, 2005

 Birmingham (2.2), Draw (3.25), Blackburn (3.6)

I can see this match being a dull affair. I was tempted to go for a draw in this match. The recent form of both teams suggest this is the most likely result.

Birmingham were unlucky not to get all three points at Everton. It took a late goal for Everton to salvage a point. Blackburn managed to get a point midweek at West Brom.

I think unders is the best bet for this game. I can't see this being a goal fest like when they met earlier in the season. You can get 1.85 for unders.


 Tottenham v Aston Villa - Sun May 01, 2005

 Tottenham (2.1), Draw (3.4), Aston Villa (4)

This looks like a tight game to me. I think it'll end up 1-0 to one team, probably Tottenham with the home advantage.

Tottenham L D D W D W
Villa D D W D W L
Recent form is identical, 1 loss, 2 wins a 3 draws. There is only one point between the 2 teams; both teams are vying for UEFA cup place.

I think unders is the bet for me at 1.75. The half time draw is also a good option (price is 2.2). Tottenham usually take a while to get going.


 Charlton v Man Utd - Sun May 01, 2005

 Man Utd (1.67), Draw (3.75), Charlton (6)

This has got to be the away banker of the weekend. Charlton can still make it into Europe if they win all 3 of their next games and other results go their way. I can't see this happening though. They've only won 1 in the last 11, so winning the next 3 is very wishful thinking.

Man U have gone through a mini slump. They drew 0-0 to Blackburn, then lost to Norwich 2-0 and Everton 1-0. Last week they beat Newcastle 2-1 and I think they're on the up again. They will be with out van Nistelrooy, but to be honest he hasn't been performing too well anyway.

Its just got to be an away win. I think I'll stick to the 3 way price on this one. The Asian Handicap is -0.75 priced at 1.8. Maybe at 1.9 I'd go with the handicap but at 1.8 it isn't worth it, if Man U only win by a goal.


 West Brom v Arsenal - Mon May 02, 2005

 Arsenal (1.73), Draw (3.6), West Brom (5.5)

Second from the top Arsenal take on second from the bottom West Brom. West Brom look certain to go down. With their next match being Man U at Old Trafford and fellow strugglers Palace and Southampton playing each other, they haven't got a prayer. A win would put the in the clear but I can't see West Brom getting anything from this.

Arsenal will be without Henry or Ljungberg but they have shown they have enough class to win without them. They've had a slight goal drought drought recently, only scoring twice in 3 games. I think they are due to give someone a good thrashing. They'll want to put some distance between them and Man U who are only a point behind them now.

I'll go for Arsenal -0.75 on the handicap. The price is 1.95.




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