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Weekend picks

by Ben, last updated 2005-06-12 22:57:27

 7 May-17:15 Man Utd v West Brom 1.30 5.00 9.00


Need I say anything about this fixture? Not really, home win for sure. I'll avoid the handicap (-1.5) though as I am still not convinced that Man U can consistently score. It could be a thrashing or it could be a 1-0/ 2-1. Its too hard to tell.

I do feel sorry for West Brom. They played well against Arsenal. It took Arsenal 66 minutes to break them down but at the end of the day the best team won. That was surely the nail in the coffin for them.

I am going to leave this one alone betting wise and just enjoy the game.


 7 May-15:00 Portsmouth v Bolton 2.75 3.40 2.40


I think this will be an away win. Portsmouth are guaranteed safety now and have very little to play for. They played dreadfully against Man City the first half which saw them lose 2-0.

Bolton on the other hand have everything to play for. Just a couple of weeks ago, a Champions League spot was with in their reach. However, 2 draws and a loss have made this almost impossible now. They played well against Chelsea first half but Chelsea being Chelsea ended up winning 2-0.

I'll go Bolton -0.25 on the handicap. The price is 1.95.


 7 May-15:00 Norwich v Birmingham 1.90 3.50 3.75


Norwich are still in deep trouble. Last week they came back from 3-1 down to make it 3-3 before losing to a late Southampton goal. A win today is absolutely imperative. Their recent home form is impressive, winning 3 out of 3.

Birmingham beat Blackburn from behind last weekend. That makes in one win in 6, 4 draws and 1 loss. Birmingham haven't travelled well this year. They haven't won away from home since beating Fulham back in Decemeber.

I'll go for a Norwich win. Failure to do so, could see them relegated today. If they win other results go their way, they could go into next weeks final game being in control of their own destiny. The price is 1.95 on the handicap.


 7 May-15:00 Middlesbrough v Tottenham 2.25 3.20 3.10


This clash will decide who will go into the UEFA cup. Other teams could get into Europe but I see it as a 2 horse now. Tottenham currently occupy that 7th spot on goal difference. A win for either side could propel them into 6th place if Bolton lose.

Middlebrough managed a hard fought 1-1 draw with Liverpool last week. That makes it 3 draw and a win from the last 4. Not bad but not good either.

Tottenham come here on the back of a 5-1 thrashing of Villa. I think they can beat Middlesbrough today. They deserve a UEFA cup spot, if only for that disallowed goal which would have given them an extra 2 points against Man U. I'll go for Tottenham +0.25 on the handicap, the price is 1.85.


 7 May-15:00 Everton v Newcastle 1.8 3.40 4.5


Before Wednesday's match with Fulham, I'd have been certain that Newcastle would lose this one. I'm not too sure now. Newcastle scored three which is more than they scored in the previous 6. This could well be a turning point.

Everton really need the 3 points here. Liverpool are hot on their heels. They need 4 points for the last 3 games to guarantee 4th place. With their next two fixtures being tricky away ties with Arsenal and Bolton, they know that their best hope of getting 3 points is from Newcastle.

I will go for Everton here. I like the Asian Handicap (-0.5) price of 1.95.


 7 May-15:00 Crystal Palace v Southampton 2.20 3.40 3.00


This is probably the most crucial match of the day. The loser will surely be playing Championship football next season. Depending on the other results the winner could guarantee their survival with a win.

There isn't much between these two teams. Both are on 31 points, with Southampton just in the clear on goal difference. Palace managed to get a point from Saint James Park last week. Southampton managed to beat Norwich 4-3 with a late goal.

I'll go for overs in this match at 1.9. I can't decide which way this fixture is going to go and I think that plenty of goals.


 7 May-15:00 Blackburn v Fulham 2.10 3.25 3.40


I think this is going to be a home win. Blackburn took the lead against Birmingham last week but the went on to lose 2-1. Disappointing to say the least. They will have Robbie Savage back for this match which will be a big boost for them.

Fulham deservedly lost to Newcastle midweek. A lacklustre performance saw them being 3-0 down before Radzinski score an 86th minute consolation goal.

Odds have dropped since Thursday when I got these prices. The best price you can now is 1.95 at gamebookers.


 7 May-15:00 Aston Villa v Man City 2.37 3.25 2.87


Man City are an in form team. Stuart Pearce is doing an excellent job at Main Road and has just been named manager of the month. Unbeaten in 6, I can't see Villa spoiling the party.

Villa were comprehensively beaten last week by Tottenham 5-1. There's still a chance for Europe for Villa but with the way the fixtures are, I put Villa in the 'nothing to play for' category.

This is looking like a draw or an away win, so I'll for Man City +0.25 on the handicap. The price is 1.75.


 7 May-12:30 Chelsea v Charlton

 Chelsea (1.28) Draw (5.00) Charlton (10.00)

I fully expect Chelsea to bounce back from their disappointing loss in the Champions league. I think they will want to give Charlton a good beating. Its going to be their first home game since winning the title last weekend. They'll want to put on some display for the fans.

Charlton are continuing their dismal end of season run. They haven't scored in 3 games, only won 1 in the last 12, and last weeks 4-0 just goes to show what happens when they go up a quality team. Incidentally, they lost to Chelsea, 4-0 this season, Man U, 2-0 and 4-0, and Arsenal 4-0 and 3-1.

I think Chelsea -1.25 on the handicap is a good bet, the price is 1.95. The worst that can happen is the Chelsea decide to go back to their 1-0 winning ways and then you'd lose half.


 8 May-16:05 Arsenal v Liverpool

 Arsenal (1.80) Draw (3.40) Liverpool (4.5)

This is a crunch match for Liverpool. Failure to get all three points would hand Everton 4th place. They surprised me beating Chelsea midweek, but that's Champions League and this is the Premiership. They'll have Alonso and Morientes back in the side so that'll be a big boost. Liverpool have been terrible away this season and even more so after Champions League games.

Arsenal are flying at the moment. They have won 8 and lost 2 in their last 10. Their leaky defence has been sorted out, conceding only 1 goal in the last 7 games. Its going to be tough for Liverpool to score. Also Arsenal will want to pay them back for the 2-1 loss at Anfield. A win today will guarantee them second place in the Premiership.

I'll go for Arsenal straight win priced 1.8. The handicap is -0.75 priced 2.1. Arsenal aren't hammering teams nowadays so I think that a 1 goal winning margin is looking likely.




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