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FIFA Confederations Cup: Semifinalby Ben, last updated 2005-06-25 22:13:53
Mexico vs Argentina Sunday 26th June Odds: Mexico (5) Draw (3.4) Argentina (1.8) The second semi-final of this sees first place Mexico of Group B against second place Argentina of group A. I did expect this match up but only because I though Argentina would come top and Mexico second in their groups.
Mexico topped their group due to a shock win over Brazil. If you watched the match though, it wasn't shocking at all. Brazil, played badly for most of the game. The goal Mexico scored was because of some slack defending. To be fair Mexico did score a penalty but it was disallowed due some Mexican players stepping in to the box. They will have to do without 2 first choice defenders (Salvador Carmona and Aaron Galindo) who were sent home earlier in the week due to failed drugs tests. They do however have their captain Rafa Marquez back.
Argentina, even though not at full strength, have played well this tournament. They only came second to Germany on goal difference and came from behind twice to get a 2-2 draw against the Germans. They have shown they can score goals, 8 in 3 matches, which compares favourably to Mexico's 3 in 3 matches. Defensively they have let in a few soft goals but overall their defence is solid.
I'm betting on Argentina to win this one. Gamebookers et al. are offering odds of 1.8. Its a bit low considering how well Mexico have done so far but its high enough for me to bet on it. The Asian Handicap is set at -0.75 and for odds of just under evens, it isn't worth it.
I am also going for Juan Riquelme to score anytime. The odds are 3.00 at Eurobet. He's scored in each of Argentina's games so far. As he takes free kicks and penalties, I can see the value in this. Seems to me that a lot of penalties have been given this tournament.
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