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Football Betting Tips
by Ben, last updated 2011-05-21 01:53:33Premiership Weekend Betting tips
22nd May 2011
Aston Villa (3.25) Draw (3.4) Liverpool (2.36)With hindsight maybe, Villa's win over Arsenal last weekend wasn't much of a surprise. They have had a slump in form but they do have several England players including Darren Ben who scored 2. Liverpool were well beaten by Spurs last weekend. To be fair, Spurs do have a better team than Liverpool this season so maybe that shouldn't have been too much of a surprise either. Carroll started up front which may have affected their system a little. After that defeat, this became a nothing game for Liverpool as they have been leapfrogged by Spurs for that last European spot. Therefore, I cannot see why Liverpool are favourites for this. Villa for me at 3.25 at VC Bet.
Bolton (5.25) Draw (3.8) Manchester City (1.73)
Bolton have lost 4 on the bounce now. With nothing to play for after they defeated Arsenal, its not that surprising. They played OK at Blackpool and didn't just lay down, suggesting they may raise their game one last time this season for the fans at home. City leapfrogged Arsenal in midweek with a 3-0 victory over a weakened Stoke side. They beat the full strength side 1-0 in the FA Cup final last weekend though. A win here would guarantee them the 3rd automatic Champions League spot which would mean they would avoid the potentially tricky qualifiers. Will they though? City have blown hot and cold all season. At 1.73 the away win isn't even worth considering. Just a couple of weeks ago, they were playing Everton and got beat 2-1. I'll take a chance on the home win at 5.25 at VC Bet. Bolton owe the fans something and what better way that to beat City on the last day of the season.
Everton (3.2) Draw (3.4) Chelsea (2.41)
Everton lost away 1-0 to West Brom last week. Its not been an easy place to go since Hodgson took over so a loss wasn't the end of the world. Everton have been strong at home the latter part of the season, they are now 10 games unbeaten at home in the league. That was with an injury crisis as well. Cahill is a doubt but they have been playing well when he's not been on the pitch. Chelsea's season ended 2 weeks ago with the loss at Old Trafford. Last weekend they had to settle for the draw at home with Newcastle. If you can't win at home to Newcastle, how can you expect to go to Goodison Park and win there? Season's over and this game is meaningless to Chelsea. Everton are at home and can guarantee a 7th place finish with a point here. I will go for the Everton win though. They'll want to end the season on a high in front of their home crowd. It's 3.2 at Totesport.
Fulham (3.75) Draw (3.6) Arsenal (2.1)
Fulham made up for that humiliating 5-2 defeat by beating Birmingham 2-0 away from home. Birmingham aren't the easiest of sides to beat at home either. That's 3 wins in their last 4 games. Arsenal's collapse continues. With their 2-1 loss at home to Villa last weekend, they risk having to qualify for the Champions League next season. Only Van Persie seems interested nowadays. They are waiting on the fitness of several players, including Diaby, Clichy, Nasri, Djourou, Koscielny and Rosicky. This is another strange one with respect to the odds. Arsenal have only won 2 of their 10 games and they are just above even money. I think Fulham will win this. Its 3.75 at bluesquare
Manchester United (1.58) Draw (4.4) Blackpool (6)
Latest news is that Fergusson will field a strong side despite winning the league last weekend. I think it was quite a stupid suggestion that he could field a weakened side anyway. A weakened side for United is having £30 million Berbatov starting. With the squad they have its not possible to have a weak, weakened side. Even a weakened side is strong enough to beat Blackpool. Its almost do or die for Blackpool here but as long as they lose by less than Birmingham do, and Wigan lose they can still stay up. Its not out of the realms of possibility that Spurs could beat Birmingham by 3 goals, Wigan lose and Blackpool lose by 2 goals. That must be playing on Holloways mind. If he goes out all guns blazing, they may get spanked. Maybe playing for the draw or narrow loss will be their best bet. I see the 1.57 on United as a bit of a bonus. Under normal circumstances, you'd be looking at maybe 1.2 for this game and if you look at United's record over the season, 17 wins and 1 draw, you'd be well in to profit backing them at 1.1 every home game. I just can't see them laying down on the last day of the season in front of their fans. United win is 1.57 at bet365.
Newcastle United (2.12) Draw (3.6) West Brom (3.8)
A very good point for Newcastle last weekend at Chelsea. They managed to score 2 despite having a limited strike force. Alan Smith and Leon Best are available again for this game. West Brom beat a determined Everton side last weekend 1-0. Their mission was accomplished several weeks ago when they went on that fantastic run when Hodgson took over. They would finish as high as 9th with a win here but I am not sure how motivated they will be. They lost their last away game 3-1 to Wolves. I don't really have any opinions on this game. Would any result really be a surprise? Odds on Newcastle are a little short but if West Brom play like they did against Wolves, Newcastle should win easily. No bet for me.
Stoke (2.88) Draw (3.6) Wigan (2.6)
Stoke have lost their last games. 1-0 in the FA Cup final and 3-0 in the league both to Manchester City. They were on a 4 game unbeaten run before that though. The midweek loss was with a weakened side who really have nothing to play for. Etherington and Pennant should be back from injury and no doubt Jones will play a part in this game. He was left on the bench in the last game against City. Can Wigan manage the great escape. 2-0 down at half time last weekend, they looked down and out but 3 second half goals put safety back in to their own hands. A win here and they will be safe, a draw and they'd be needing both Blackpool and Birmingham to lose. I think the bookies have over reacted here to need to win factor. Wigan have played nice football but have generally been shocking away from home. Stoke have been strong at home and with 2 defeats on the bounce, they may up their game for the last match of the season in front of their home fans. Its another one that's too tricky to call but I do fancy an over 2.5 goals game which is 1.95 at bet365.
Tottenham (1.57) Draw (4.4) Birmingham (6.5)
Spurs surprised most people with their win at Liverpool last weekend. Considering they had injury problems too, the 2-0 win was an excellent result for them. A win here will seal some European football next year for them but they may not actually want it. Defoe has got in to trouble for suggesting that Europa League football will be a distraction in next season's race for the Champions League. Birmingham are in deep trouble. They could have secured safety last weekend with a win over Fulham but went down 2-0. That could be fatal as they are only ahead of Blackpool on goal difference. -20 vs -21. If they get beat more heavily than Blackpool, they will do down. Scoring has been a problem for Birmingham this season. They'll welcome Craig Gardener back how will have to step up as top scorer, Zigic Is out as well as Martins. I'll skip this game betting wise. Spurs have drawn too many games at recently and I am not totally convinced they'll be up for this game.
West Ham (2.05) Draw (3.6) Sunderland (4)
West Ham were officially relegated last weekend after throwing away a 2-0 lead. They sacked grant and first team coach Kevin Keen will be in charge for this game. Parker could start this game which will probably be his last for the Hammers. He'll be off in the summer. Backing against Sunderland last weekend was again profitable. Its easy to do when they have no strikers. Gyan may be back this weekend though so maybe they can spring a upset like they did against Bolton a couple of weeks ago. I will back West Ham in this final game, mainly because its against Sunderland but also because they'll want to leave the Premiership on a high. West Ham are 2.05 at PaddyPower.
Wolverhampton (2.2) Draw (3.2) Blackburn (4)
When I was looking at the results last weekend I was thinking this game could end up being an Italian style end of season draw. I worked it out though and a draw could send them both down. Only a win will guarantee that one side stays up. With the way things are though, a loss for either side wouldn't be fatal either. Wolves beat Sunderland last game 3-1 but Sunderland were injury ravaged and would have lost to any team last weekend. Blackburn lead Manchester United 1-0 for a lot of the game last weekend but after United equalised the game fizzled out. This is a tricky game to call. Blackburn are the better team but are away from home. Another no bet for me.
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