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ENGLAND: Premier League

by Ben, last updated 2005-08-12 00:01:12

 Everton vs Man Utd, Saturday August 13, 2005

 Everton (5) Draw (3.6) Man Utd (1.83)

Manchester United and Everton start the Premiership with the early lunch time kick off. I can't believe the cheeky people at Sky are charging extra to watch this match. I already pay my Sky Sports subscription and should get to watch this for free. I'm not paying any extra so it looks like I am listening to this one on radio 5.

Anyway... Everton look like they can something from this match. They played well against Villareal midweek and should have a point from that at least. I think Villareal scored with their first shot on target. Up to that point, Everton were the better side. I was so impressed by Everton that I laid Villareal on Betfair, at half time, to lock in my profit. They looked a totally different side to the one at the end of last season. Its not going to be easy for United to win here. They won this fixture 1-0 last season after every one had wrote them off.

United won 3-0 midweek. That was pretty much expected against the Hungarian side. Its promising how Rooney, van Nistelrooij and Ronaldo all scored. There were so many times last season when they dominated but just couldn't score. The FA Cup Final was just a joke. They tore Arsenal apart but just couldn't hit the back of the net. They should do better this season, especially with new keeper Edwin van der Sar but this away fixture is going to very tricky for them.

A few weeks ago I had a bet on United to win this one. I've changed my mind though. I got about even money so I'll be able to sell this bet at a profit on Betfair. I am now going to go for Everton on the Asian Handicap. Its +0.75 at bet365 with odds of 1.9. The odds look like they are drifting out so I'll wait until Saturday morning to put this one on. I hate betting against the "big three" but I think Everton can get a draw out of this.




 Wigan vs Chelsea, Sunday August 14, 2005

 Wigan (11.8) Draw (4.8) Chelsea (1.36)

Wigan take on Chelsea which has got to be the harshest welcome to the premiership any team could get. At least they are at home and they can get the defeat to Chelsea out of the way early.

Wigan did well last year in the Championship. The offensive partnership of Ellington and Roberts scored a whopping 45 goals between them last season. The leap to the Premiership is a big one though. Teams that go up are the most likely to go down. Wigan haven't made any big signings this year, the biggest spend was 1.5 million for Norwich's Damien Francis. You need to spend money to do well in the English Premiership and Wigan haven't.

Chelsea are a class above every one else in the Premier League. I agree with what chief executive of Chelsea said, "The winner of the Premier League, will come from a small group of one...I am fully expecting it." Arsenal played a decent game against the reigning champions last weekend. They had the better possession but scoring against Chelsea is nigh on impossible. They only let in 15 goals all last season. With Drogba looking sharp nowadays and Crespo back from loan it looks like they'll be scoring a lot more this season. No more 1-0 bores.

I fully expect Chelsea to win this. The odds are a pathetic 1.36 though. The best bet I found was Chelsea to win to nil. You can get evens at bet365 and gamebookers,. That covers the 1-0 speciality as well as the bigger 4, 5, 6 or even 7 nils that I can see happening. I'll not bother with the Asian Handicap (-1.5) because of the amount of 1-0 wins Chelsea pulled off last season.




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