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Midweek football

by Ben, last updated 2005-08-21 21:58:08

 Villarreal vs Everton, Wednesday 24th August

 Villarreal (1.62) Draw (3.75) Everton (6)

Everton were very lucky on Sunday to get all 3 points from Bolton. They managed to score with their only shot on target. They defended well and hit Bolton on the counter. Somehow I don't think this will work against Villarreal. If they do that, the likes of Forlan, Riquelme and Figueroa will demolish them.

In the first game, Everton played well and should have maybe got a point from it. A draw would have given them some hope of getting in to the group stages of the Champions League but 2-1 is too big a mountain to climb. Everton are the 1-0 specialists, which won't get them though. Bent should be fit again but as the lone striker he's not going to get the support he needs to get goals.

I can't see Everton winning here or even getting a draw. Villarreal's home record is excellent. Only Deportivo managed a win there last season, whereas Champions Barcelona were beaten 3-0.

I don't like the 1X2 odds for this game. Fair but just a bit low for my liking. I am going to go for Villarreal to win to nil at Gamebookers. The price now is 2.25. Its dropped a bit since when I put mine on but its still value. If it drops any more though just bet on 1-0, 2-0, 3-0 and 4-0. You get better odds for more or less the same bet (you don't win anything if they get hammered 7-0 though).

I've also gone for Inter Milan to keep a clean sheet against Shakhtar Donetsk which is just above the Villarreal match on the coupon. Inter won the away leg in the Ukraine 2-0 and should have no problems seeing off Shakhtar. Gone for the clean sheet option because there is a chance of the 0-0 here.


 Shanes extra tips

 by Shane James

Arsenal - Fulham
Arsenal to win, Fulham do not have the class to out beat them at home. Arsenal will also be gunning for revenge after defeat by Chelsea at the weekend.

Birmingham - Borough
Tough game, neither team playing well should end in a draw but home advantage could be the key. If all Borough players are fit its game on, still go for 1-1 though

Portsmouth - Villa
Villa unlucky at Man United this weekend, good strong performance from them, if they play like this at Pompy should be an easy win.

Sunderland - Man City
City all the way Pearce is doing good got good fighting team spirit should be a feisty game with city on top.

Bolton - Newcastle
Bolton Bolton Bolton all the way. Newcastle don't want Graham S there and neither do the player don't expect them to play a decent game of football until he goes.


 Sunderland vs Manchester City, Tuesday 23rd August

 Sunderland (2.75) Draw (3.4) Man City (2.7)

Sunderland are really finding life tough in this division. They don't seem to have any Premiership quality players. Liverpool, should have really beaten them by more than the 1-0 score. They did have a player sent off (for nothing) but even when they had 11 men they weren't threatening. I saw the stats and Sunderland only had 2 shots and they were both off target. They're going to have to at least test the opposition keeper if they are going to stay up.

Manchester City won their first game at the weekend. They came from behind to defeat Birmingham 2-1. I thought Man City might struggle a bit after losing Wright-Philips but this shows that they can win those away games against other mid-table teams. James looked more solid than he did against Denmark. He plays very well for Man City but seemed to always mess up when he plays for England.

I'm going for Man City on the Asian Handicap (+0). Man City are unbeaten in the last 10 matches under Stuart Pearce. I don't see the relegation favourite's ending this run of good form. I suppose Sunderland have to pick up points sometime but if they do on Tuesday it'll just be the 1.

The Asian Handicap prices aren't up yet so I've made my own up. I've taken the draw at Stan James at 3.4 and the away win at Paddypower at 2.7. I've split my stake 30-70 to get equivalent Asian odds of 1.9 (see my handy Excel sheet for eact amounts). I don't see the proper Asian Markets offering as good value as this.




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