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Weekend Football

by Ben, last updated 2005-09-13 23:03:34

A tough week for betting, this one. There are a lot of matches I would not like to call so I am not going to bother.

So this weekend it looks like I am only having 2 bets. Swansea and Tottenham.

Analysis below. I did bet on Man U but I've decided against that now. (I've hedged it so that I lose a small amount whatever the outcome). Its too tough to call. Benitez rested players in midweek and United have some injury worries. Not confident enough to back any result on this one.

  Hartlepool vs Swansea

  Hartlepool (2.4) Draw (3.4) Swansea (2.75)

Not a league that I follow but a result popped up on the live score centre that made me interest. Last week, Swansea beat Bristol City 7-1. Looking at their form before then they'd won 3-1 and 5-2.

So midweek, I had them to beat MK Dons which they did 3-1. I'm going to have them again this weekend. They are on form and have no fresh injury worries.

I had a look at Harlepool and they are having an injury crisis. All their first choice strikers are out. They won their last match but that was thanks to 2 late goals and that was only their second win of the season.

I've gone for the draw no bet option at sportingodds. Odds are 2.05. Asian Handicap is set at +0.25 but odds are only 1.75. I can't see any reason why Swansea's good form isn't going to continue for this match.


 Aston Villa vs Tottenham

 Aston Villa (2.7) Draw (3.25) Tottenham (2.75)

I decided to pick Tottenham for this after Villa's terrible performance against West Ham. For some reason I thought Villa would be a good bet on the Asian Handicap. They were thrashed 4-0. Villa had a fair amount of possession but never looked like scoring. I think they only made Roy Carol make a single save all match.

Tottenham have had a disappointing run. 2 draws and a loss, scoring zero goals. There were great expectations for Spurs at the start of the season. I expect them to get something here.

I think Tottenham on the Asian Handicap is the way to go. Odds have dropped on the AH but you can still get a Tottenham draw no bet at 2.0 at Paddypower


 Nigel's Picks

 from Bet365

UNITED TO NICK IT AT 8/5
Liverpool v Man Utd
Su Sep 18 - Noon, live on (SS1)

There’s some tasty Premiership action to get stuck into this weekend, and the big game between Liverpool and Man United is no exception (14 live in-play markets), We’ve got United down as marginal 8/5 favourites, but the best bet has to be on the total goals market, with under 2.5 the recommendation at 10/11. It’s surprising how many times the goals go under when two of the bigger teams play each other and, judging on Liverpool’s start to the season, they will set out to contain United. In their three league games so far, they’ve conceded only one goal, and their two 0-0 away draws mean that they have already achieved more clean sheets in away games than they did for the whole of last season. United did the double over Liverpool last season with a pair of one-goal wins, and a similar scoreline looks on the cards.


CHELSEA IN THE SECOND HALF AT 3/1
Charlton did us a favour last week by beating Birmingham (15/8), but they have it all to do to maintain their unbeaten run against Chelsea on Saturday (will they ever lose a game?). Chelsea are 4/7 to win but, as they don’t tend to kill-off opponents until the second half, it might be worth waiting till half-time (or In-Play) to back them, when they will likely be a bigger price. For the same reason, a bet on the Draw / Chelsea double result is also worth a punt at 3/1. There is also a strong reason to back them to win to nil at 6/4. Chelsea are yet to concede in the league, and have won their last three against Charlton 1-0, 4-0 and 1-0.


SUNDERLAND TO SEE THE LIGHTS AT 11/8
The rest of this weekend’s games look tricky to predict. Only Chelsea and Arsenal (2/5) are odds on to win, but Sunderland are fancied to get their first win of the season at the Stadium of Light. The Black Cats did well to contain Chelsea for the best part of an hour last week, and look over-priced at 11/8 to beat a struggling West Brom side. With Arsenal looking home bankers against Everton, a £25 acca on all four selections this weekend pays out £356.61 for a £25 stake - that includes a bet365 bonus of 5% (up to 60% on offer every weekend in the Premiership).

Weekend Premiership Picks:
United to bt Liverpool @ 8/5; United to win 1-0 @ 13/2
Chelsea to bt Charlton @ Half Time or In-Play price; Draw / Chelsea @ 3/1; Chelsea to win to nil @ 6/4 Sunderland to bt West Brom @ 11/8 4-fold on United (8/5), Chelsea (4/7), Arsenal (2/5), Sunderland (11/8)




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