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Weekend Football

by Ben, last updated 2005-10-12 23:59:26

Blackburn +0.75 at 2.00 at bet365
Tottenham -0.75 at 1..93 at bet365
West Ham +0.5 at 1.93 at Stan James
Wigan/ Newcastle draw at SportingOdds

No analysis this week. See below for Nigel’s and Gerry’s picks.

 Gerry's Picks

 By Gerry McDonnell

The Moody Blues

As a child, I quickly came to terms with the concept of a caterpillar evolving into a butterfly. As an adult, I accepted the wife’s monthly tendency to turn into a raging psychopath, before reverting back to the more placid psychopath she would normally be. As a betting genius, I find Everton’s transformation from Champions League participants into Sunday League cloggers more difficult to comprehend.

What are the reasons behind their demise?

Two seasons ago, Everton finished 17th in the league, one spot off relegation. At the start of last season, instead of strengthening a poor team, they sold their best/plumpest player. Three consecutive 1-0 wins early in the season gave them an air of confidence, which coupled with a statistical anomaly not seen since I bet on red at roulette and black came out 37 times, landed the Evertonians a 4th place finish. To sum up, Everton are not in demise, they’re still the same poor team they were two seasons ago. Get on Tottenham at 4/7.

Next week, I solve the Middle East crisis.

Thomas Sorensen is a capable goalkeeper, but he suffers from ‘footballing anorexia’, he freezes when he sees Emile. The Villa keeper handed the bragging rights to Birmingham in both matches last season, but the luck is about to run out for the Blues.

Birmingham are conceding two goals a game on their own patch and have had a player sent off in their last three league matches. Barring a goalkeeping error, the Villa are a cracking bet at 7/4.

While watching England beat the Poles in a local tavern, I heard a drunken young man sing the following, "If Crouch can play for England so can I." You’d think Phil Neville would spend his time more productively.

It’s now 10 games without a goal for Peter Crouch and Liverpool are 13th in the table as a result. With the Reds finding goals hard to come by, back Blackburn to snatch a draw at 12/5.

Sunderland v Man U would have been the game of the week if Roy Keane wasn’t out injured, although I hold out hope that Keano will offer Mick McCarthy tactical advise from the stand. The Mackems are on a four match unbeaten run in all competitions, but with Van Nistelrooy and Rooney in great form, United are the bet at 4/9.

Nothing lasts forever, with the possible exception of a conversation about cushions between the wife and her mother. Chelsea’s 100% record in the league has been a fantastic effort, but Bolton are a great bet to put an end to their domination.

Big Sam has avoided defeat at the Bridge for the last two seasons, and Bolton have won six of their last eight matches in all competitions. All good things must come to an end, back Bolton to win or draw at 3/1.

The following paired Goalscorer specials are all available at Super Soccer.

"Ham, Berger" – Dietmar Hamann and Patrik Berger both to score 33/1
"Chubby, Brown" – Wayne Rooney and Michael Brown both to score 10/1
"Bent, double" – Darren Bent and Marcus Bent both to score 13/2
"Horses, Four Courses" – Van Nistelrooy and Wayne Rooney both to score 3/1
"Sun, Bern" – Sun Jihai and Olivier Bernard both to score 66/1
"My big fat Greek wedding" – Wayne Rooney and Stelios both to score 12/1
"Chris, Musampa" – Chris Sutton and Kiki Musampa both to score 12/1

Conspiracy theory of the week:
Why would Liverpool pay £7 million for Peter Crouch? Could the following have taken place?
Rupert Lowe, "Harry, now that we’re relegated, sell that lanky Crouch, and try to recoup the £2 million we paid the Villa.
Harry Redknapp, "Rafa, i’m flogging Crouchy, he can’t head the ball, but he’s got two great feet, he’s yours for a million a foot.
Rafa Benitez, "O.K. here’s a cheque for £7 million.

Quote of the week:
"He’s been refereeing for years and has done a good job."
Wayne Rooney applauds Kim Milton Nielson.

Most annoying sentence of the week:
Let’s join our commentators, John Motson and Graeme Le Saux.

Stat, you’re a liberty:
There’s only one team in the Premiership that have kept all opposing forwards off the scoresheet in the league this season; it’s West Ham.

Acc of the week:
Man Utd
Tottenham
Arsenal
West Ham
Charlton

The five-fold will pay over 20/1 when successful.
Weekend Betting:
Wigan v Newcastle Saturday 15th October 12.45 Live on Premiership Plus

Wigan 8/5
Draw 11/5
Newcastle 7/5

Get on: Draw

It’s three wins on the bounce for Wigan and they are yet to concede two goals in a game. With Michael back for the Geordies, a draw is on the cards.
Match Special:
Match to finish 1-1 11/2

Chelsea v Bolton Saturday 15th October 15.00

Chelsea 1/5
Draw 9/2
Bolton 9/1

Get on: Draw

Bolton have reaped an impressive four points from their last two visits to the Bridge, at 1/5 for Chelsea, I’d rather be a layer than a player.
Match Special:
One goal or less in the game 11/5

Liverpool v Blackburn Saturday 15th October 15.00

Liverpool 8/15
Draw 12/5
Blackburn 5/1

Get on: Draw

Liverpool are on a four match run in the league without a win, another draw is the only option.
Match Special:
Kuqi to score at any time 5/2

Sunderland v Man Utd Saturday 15th October 15.00

Sunderland 11/2
Draw 11/4
Man Utd 4/9

Get on: Man Utd

70% of United’s goals have been scored away from home this season; the omens are not good for the Mackems.
Match Special:
Man Utd to score four or more goals 5/1

Tottenham v Everton Saturday 15th October 15.00

Tottenham 4/7
Draw 12/5
Everton 9/2

Get on: Tottenham

Everton have never won at Spurs in the Premiership, even when they had a good team; home banker.
Match Special:
Tottenham to score in both halves 6/4

West Brom v Arsenal Saturday 15th October 15.00

West Brom 11/2
Draw 11/4
Arsenal 4/9

Get on: Arsenal

The Albion are currently woeful, the Gunners could run riot.
Match Special:
Arsenal to score four or more goals 5/1

Middlesbrough v Portsmouth Saturday 15th October 17.15 Live on Sky

Middlesbrough 8/11
Draw 11/5
Portsmouth 7/2

Get on: Middlesbrough

The Boro are a punters nightmare, their last two matches at home in the league have seen a win against Arsenal, followed by a defeat to Sunderland. A tentative home win.
Match Special:
Yakubu to score the first goal 4/1

Birmingham v Aston Villa Sunday 16th October 12.00

Birmingham 11/8
Draw 2/1
Aston Villa 7/4

Get on: Aston Villa

City can’t win at home, Villa are playing better than their results would indicate; away win.
Match Special:
Sorensen to keep a clean sheet 9/5

Man City v West Ham Sunday 16th October 16.00 Live on Sky

Man City 5/6
Draw 9/4
West Ham 11/4

Get on: West Ham

Man City’s recent win over Everton was their first victory in 5 games. The Hammers have a pearl in Benayoun, 11/4 looks tasty.
Match Special:
Benayoun to score the first goal 12/1

Charlton v Fulham Monday 17th October 20.00 Live on Sky

Charlton 8/11
Draw 9/4
Fulham 10/3

Get on: Charlton

Charlton’s only defeats this season have been at home to other London clubs, Fulham aren’t Tottenham or Chelsea.
Match Special:
Darren Bent to score two or more goals 9/2 




 Nigel's picks

 from Bet365

OPPOSE REDS AT A TASTY 5/1
After the double dose of internationals this week, there could be some value in opposing the teams stuffed with returnees this weekend, and, in particular, Liverpool should be opposed against Blackburn. Liverpool are unattractive favourites at 8/13, while Blackburn's price of 5/1 could be a shade on the generous side. Blackburn are on a high right now, coming off their win at old Trafford, while Liverpool come into this off a run of three draws and a defeat. So, a result for Rovers is more is more likely than the odds suggest. They can also be supported (with even more confidence) on the Asian Handicap at 2.00, where they receive a three-quarter goal start.


MACKEMS GREAT VALUE AT 11/2
United could also be vulnerable this weekend against Sunderland, especially now the Mackems have got the monkey off their back with a 2-0 win at Middlesbrough. Since securing their first Premiership win in 27 games, they've gone three games unbeaten and could be over-priced at 11/2 to win their first home game of the season. Again, they look more worthy of support on our Asian Handicap at 1.875 (+ 1 goal), which consistently offers bettors great value. At the same time Stephen Elliot (a recent scorer for Ireland) looks a fair bet at 9/1 to open the scoring, especially considering we'll give you your money back if he scores the last goal in the game instead.


VISITORS CAN HAMMER OUT RESULT AT 3/1
Su Oct 16 – 4:00 pm ko (SS1)
For the same reasons as the above, there would have been grounds for opposing Arsenal (v West Brom) and Chelsea (v Bolton) this weekend, if only their opponents were more convincing. Instead, we'll lump on West Ham at 3/1 to get a result at the City of Manchester Stadium. After a bright start, the Citizens have come back down to earth recently with a defeat at home to Bolton, an early exit in the Carling Cup at the hands of Doncaster, and a loss against Newcastle. On the other hand, a particular good run of results away from home has made pre-season odds on relegation quotes for the Hammers look silly, and they'll be hard to beat again this Sunday (Live 'In-Play' betting available on up to 14 markets).

In other games this weekend, Wigan, whose form looks far more convincing than Newcastle's, look worthy of support at 8/5, while Tottenham are good things at 8/13 to beat Everton. A £10 acca on our five fancies this weekend pays out £6552, which includes a bet365 bonus of 10%. Good luck.

Bet with bet365





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