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Weekend Football

by Ben, last updated 2005-10-27 01:07:14

This week in the Premiership is a bit too hard to bet on. I don't feel confident enough to bet on any result (apart from the West Ham Draw no bet at 5.0 but that's just a speculative bet).

I've decided to go down in to the English lower leagues for my weekend bets.

1)Crewe v Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 1X2 at 1.95 at William Hill
2)SHEFF UTD V CARDIFF Sheff Utd 1X2 at 1.70 at Canbet
3)Doncaster v Tranmere Doncaster -0.5 Asian Handicap at 1.94 at Ladbrokes

No analysis this week. See below for Nigel and Gerry's picks.

 Nigels Picks

 by Nigel Ridgeway

BORO LONGING TO BE BACKED AT 7/2
Sa Oct 29 - 5.15 pm ko (PremPlus)
Middlesbrough are never at team you'd want to have your house on, but the temptation is so strong to oppose United right now that Steve McLaren's side are worth an interest at 7/2 in Saturday's live encounter (ko 5.15, Prem Plus). The Red Devils may have won four out of five away from home but these were against Everton, Newcastle, Fulham and Sunderland, while Spurs, Liverpool and Man City have all taken a point from them over the past few weeks, and this will be a harder game for them than the odds suggest.

Boro are hardly reliable, but the key to punting them looks to be going in when the odds are long, and to oppose them when they're short and, as they showed against Arsenal, a hard game like this looks sure to bring out the best of them. In our First Goalscorer market, prolific scorer Yakubu looks a fair bet at 8/1, especially considering our Goalscorer Cashback Offer (money back if he scores the last goal in the game instead). Once the game goes live, don't forget to check out our 14 Live In-play markets.

Live Game Picks:

Middlesbrough @ 7/2
Yakabu to score first @ 8/1


YOU CAN EARN YOUR SPURS AT 9/5
Arsenal are another team worth taking on right now, and the 9/5 available on their arch rivals Tottenham is hard to resist. That price is probably based on past form more than anything else, as it's been 12 games since Spurs beat their London rivals, and that 2-1 win was their only win in 20 attempts going back nearly ten years! However, Spurs are playing the better football this season and, with home advantage, they can nick this.

The rest of the weekend games look trappy, but Man City can be backed with confidence at 5/6 to beat Aston Villa on Monday night. Their only blip at home in the league this season was a loss to Bolton, but that was down to a last minute goal, and the Citizens have been rock solid in front of their fans. Finally, Sunderland have been playing well enough of late to warrant a bet at 5/4 to beat Portsmouth, who haven't been that impressive on the road this season.

Bet with bet365

Bet It Live With bet365!



 Gerry's Picks

 By Gerry McDonnell

Killing me softly...with Boumsong


The pen is mightier than the sword, but definitely not in the hands of a Frenchman. As a result of Arsenal's hilarious spot-kick, Thierry Henry is now responsible for the remainder of the Gunners' penalties. The showboat capsized spectacularly, but it's the bookies that will be turned over; back the French genius to be top Premiership goal scorer at 4/1.

Arsenal's visit to Tottenham is the highlight of the weekend coupon, the Gunners won 5-4 on their last visit to the Lane (I think I tipped up 5-3), and another potential cracker is on the cards. Arsenal were as short as 8/15 for the thriller last season; with Edgar Davids unavailable due to suspension and 6/4 on offer for the Gunners, Arsenal are the nap of the week.

Like all housewives, the Mrs. has a cushy life. But after long research, I've discovered an occupation that's even easier than watching TV and eating chocolate all day. The West Ham defenders have the cushiest job in the country this weekend, even easier than being Robbie Savage's fan mail opener.

Anton Ferdinand & Co have the simple task of marking Peter Crouch. It's now 13 games without a goal for the beanpole striker, although unconfirmed reports suggest that he hit a post in training 2 months ago. We have to go back to 1963 to find the last time West Ham won at Anfield (I think Teddy Sheringham scored the winner), but the Hammers can be confident of a clean sheet in this one; back the goalless draw at 8/1.

Man City and Aston Villa both like to play football, and luckily for them, they meet in a football match on Monday night. City are in scintillating form on their own patch and have hammered the Villa in this fixture for the last three seasons. The 4/5 on offer for Man City should be treated like a jam doughnut in the presence of Wayne Rooney; it should be dived on before it disappears.

If you think that under/over 2.5 is the spread on the amount of goals Peter Crouch will score this season, you're only partially correct, it's also one of the most popular bets on a football match.

For the uninitiated, ‘under' = 2 goals or less, ‘over' = 3 goals or more. The match between Birmingham and Everton is a no brain ‘under'; it's as close as you can get to a certainty without finding Jordan's telephone number.

6 of the last 8 Birmingham matches have gone ‘under' and it's 9 out of the last 10 for Everton. You can back ‘unders' at 4/7 in this match, and that's similar to printing your own money, only a lot more legal. Never look a gift horse in the mouth, in fact, just stay away from Van Nistelrooy altogether.

West Brom are rock bottom of the recent form table (8 matches), making Newcastle a great bet at a whopping 5/4. Emre looks an unusually superb signing from Graeme Souness; his left foot is an absolute peach, which makes him a plum bet to bag a pair against the Baggies, get on at 20/1.

The following mixed bag of specials are all available at Super Soccer.

"Robben Hood" - Arjen Robben to score with a header 13/2
"Claude it back" - Makelele to score the last goal 33/1
"In Denial" - Mido to be sent off 25/1
"Crouch a tiger, Did a dragon" - Crouch and Drogba both to score 9/2
"Helmet Cole" - Andy Cole to score with a header 9/2
"Killing me softly, with Boumsong" - Boumsong to score at any time 10/1

Quote of the week:

"You know why they (Arsenal) took the penalty like that? They have so many penalties in a season; they had to do something different."

Jose Mourinho is a genius.

Stat, you're a liberty:

Peter Crouch is not the tallest player to have graced the Premiership, Portsmouth goalkeeper Kostas Chalkias stood a centimetre taller.

Acc of the week:

Wigan
Arsenal
Sunderland
Newcastle
Man City

The five-fold pays a whopping 42/1, and will definitely* win.

* = probably will not.

Weekend Betting:

Wigan v Fulham Saturday 29th October 12.45 Live on Premiership Plus

Wigan 10/11
Draw 9/4
Fulham 5/2

Get on: Wigan

Fulham haven't won away from home this season, the Latics are flying. Home win.
Match Special:
Wigan to win 2-1 15/2

Tottenham v Arsenal Saturday 29th October 13.00

Tottenham 6/4
Draw 11/5
Arsenal 6/4

Get on: Arsenal

The Gunners are unbeaten against Tottenham this century, get stuck into the 6/4.
Match Special:
Arsenal to score three or more goals 5/1

Birmingham v Everton Saturday 29th October 15.00

Birmingham 6/5
Draw 11/5
Everton 15/8

Get on: Draw

Neither team can afford to lose, it's a goalless draw.
Match Special:
No Goalscorer in the match 15/2

Charlton v Bolton Saturday 29th October 15.00

Charlton 10/11
Draw 9/4
Bolton 5/2

Get on: Bolton

Bolton have never lost at the Valley in the Premiership. Charlton are imperious away, average at home. 5/2 spells value.
Match Special:
Bolton to win 2-1 12/1

Chelsea v Blackburn Saturday 29th October 15.00

Chelsea 1/6
Draw 9/2
Blackburn 12/1

Get on: Chelsea

Chelsea were knocked out of the League cup in midweek, Blackburn will feel the backlash. This finished 4-0 to Chelsea last season, a repeat could well be on the cards.
Match Special:
Chelsea to win 4-0 8/1

Liverpool v West Ham Saturday 29th October 15.00

Liverpool 8/15
Draw 12/5
West Ham 5/1

Get on: Draw

Liverpool can not be backed at 8/15, just say no.
Match Special:
No Goalscorer in the match 8/1

Sunderland v Portsmouth Saturday 29th October 15.00

Sunderland 5/4
Draw 9/4
Portsmouth 7/4

Get on: Sunderland

The Mackems are unbeaten in 10 games against Pompey, that mythical home win is finally in sight.
Match Special:
Stephen Elliott to score two or more goals 13/2

Middlesbrough v Man Utd Saturday 29th October 17.15 Live on Premiership Plus

Middlesbrough 7/2
Draw 12/5
Man Utd 4/6

Get on: Man Utd

United have won 6 of their last 7 league matches at the Riverside, Man U are a tentative pick.
Match Special:
Rooney and Van Nistelrooy both to score 11/2

West Brom v Newcastle Sunday 30th October 16.00 Live on Sky

West Brom 7/4
Draw 9/4
Newcastle 5/4

Get on: Newcastle

A team on the up plays a team on the way down. It's an away win.
Match Special:
Newcastle to keep a clean sheet 7/4

Man City v Aston Villa Monday 31st October 20.00 Live on Sky

Man City 4/5
Draw 9/4
Aston Villa 3/1

Get on: Man City

City have bossed this fixture for the last three seasons, winning 2-0, 4-1 and 3-1 respectively. Nil points for the Villa again, if only they could play Birmingham each week.
Match Special:
Man City to score in both halves 7/4






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