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Weekend Footballby Ben, last updated 2005-11-03 08:00:41
Well, after a recent run of bad form I have decided to play it safe this weekend. I have had Barcelona to beat Getafe in La Liga. Barcelona started off mediorce this year but recently have been awesome. You can get 1.75 at SportingOdds
The only bet I've had in the English Premiership this weekend is Chelsea -0.25 on the Asian Handicap. The price was 2.15 at bet365 earlier in the week. Its now 2.00 which is still OK but not fantastic.
Chelsea owe me a result. I can't believe how badly they played against Betis midweek. I think they will bounce back and beat Man U at Old Trafford. When was the last time Chelsea lost twice in a row in the Abramovic era? I think the answer is never.
Man U are in disarray. I can't imagine Roy Keanne's comments has boosted morale at all. With the injuries they've got in defence and an average midfield, I can't see them winning.
See Nigels picks below for more reasoning on why Chelsea should be backed this weekend.
**UPDATE** I have decided to scrap this bet. The more I think about it, the more doubts I come up with. Even though Man U have been going through a bad patch, they still have some excellent players. Rooney is probably the best striker in the premiership. I suppose 1-1 wouldn't be too bad a result for either side. And when was the last time Man U lost 3 in a row? Probably some time in the 80s.
I still think Chelsea will win this match but I am not confident enough to put any money on it. I'd certainly be laying off some of my bet if I'd have gone with Nigels accumulator this weekend. 3 out of 3 wins so far - only Chelsea to go for £402.31 from a £25 stake.
The best value for betting on this match is at gamebookers. They have a 100% book special. Currently this is Man U 3.55 Draw 3.25 Chelsea 2.42 I am just having a small bet on Lampard to score first at SportingOdds. They pay out for first and second goal scorers in this match. As there isn't likely to be more than 2 goals is more or less a bet on Lampard to score anytime at 7.5 which is great price for Chelsea's top goal scorer this year.
Gerry's Picks By Gerry McDonnellThe bubble boy Even a betting genius can occasionally have a bad week. After receiving an ultimatum from the wife, "It’s either betting or me." I immediately had a lumpy bet on Chelsea to beat Betis. To make matters even worse, the threat turned out to be very much like the wife; idle. Sir Alex Ferguson has also had a week he’d rather forget. On a disastrous trip to the Riverside, United found themselves 3-0 down at half-time. Fergie turned the hair-dryer up to full blast, but the players were just as wet in the 2nd half. Two days later, a Roy Keane interview severely criticised Rio, Fletcher, Miller, O’Shea, Richardson and Alan Smith, he obviously forgot about Paul Scholes. With team morale shattered, a midweek defeat in the Champions League was almost inevitable. The Manchester United era of domination is officially over thanks to Mr Keane’s tirade, the bubble has well and truly burst, and all it took was one prick. Chelsea are a confident pick at 5/4 to add to Fergie’s week of woe. Jose Mourinho used the word ‘voyeur’ to describe Arsene Wenger this week, which is somewhat unfair; I don’t think anybody has derived any real pleasure from watching Chelsea this season. The smile can return to Wenger’s face this weekend when they take on Sunderland; Arsenal’s reserves won 3-0 at the Stadium of Light in the Carling Cup, imagine what the first-team will do at Highbury. Charlton are the only team in England with a 100% record on the road, but that stat will come under threat at Ewood Park. Blackburn are a team in Mark Hughes’ image, last week he received a red card for kicking a bag, in all fairness, we’ve all been there. Craig Bellamy has scored three goals in three games since he returned from injury, the wild Rovers are extremely backable at 5/4. Alan Shearer came off the bench to score against the Albion last time out; (He’s not the first footballer to be dropped by Graeme Souness.) the Geordie legend has every chance of inching closer to Jackie Milburn’s record against a woeful Birmingham. The last four league games make depressing reading for the Blues; they’ve lost all four and scored in none. 8/13 is available for a Newcastle team that have won their last three games, which is practically a charitable donation. Stuart Pearce has nicknamed Andy Cole and Darius Vassell ‘Laurel and Hardy’; Chris Coleman won’t be laughing as Andy Cole scores the goals that will condemn his former club to a third straight defeat. Vassell scored twice against Aston Villa last week and Peter Crouch will try to continue the trend of ex players returning to haunt the Villans. It wouldn’t be a surprise if Crouch scored, it would be a miracle. Liverpool are awful away, Villa are just plain awful. This match has draw written all over it. Super Soccer are making a song and dance of their weekend specials: "Frankie goes to Hollywood" - Lampard to be booked for diving 66/1 "Billy Fury" - William Gallas to be booked 7/2 "Sleighed" - Chelsea to score four or more goals 11/1 "Busted" - Diouf and Pennant both to score 16/1 "The Who?" - Khizanishvili to score at any time 12/1 "El, Ton, John" - Diouf, Rooney and Hartson all to score 14/1 Quote of the week: "Just because you are paid £120,000 a week and play well for 20 minutes against Tottenham, you think you are a superstar." Team builder extraordinaire Roy Keane offers his opinion on Rio Ferdinand. Stat, you’re a liberty: Alex Ferguson has crossed swords with Jose Mourinho on six occasions, and never won. Acc of the week: Blackburn,Newcastle, West Ham, Middlesbrough, Chelsea. The accer pays a juicy 36/1. Weekend Betting: Aston Villa v Liverpool Saturday 5th November 12.45 Live on Premiership Plus Aston Villa 2/1 | Draw 2/1 | Liverpool 5/4 Get on: Draw Liverpool haven’t won a match away from home in the league all season; the Villa haven’t beat the Reds at home this millennium. Score draw. Match Special: Match to finish 1-1 11/2 Arsenal v Sunderland Saturday 5th November 15.00 Arsenal 2/9 | Draw 4/1 | Sunderland 9/1 Get on: Arsenal The Gunners have a 100% record at home in the Premiership, the Mackems have conceded 13 goals in 4 games, it’s a certain home win. Match Special: Arsenal to win 4-0 9/1 Blackburn v Charlton Saturday 5th November 15.00 Blackburn 5/4 | Draw 9/4 | Charlton 7/4 Get on: Blackburn Rovers and Charlton have met eight times in the Premiership and there has never been a draw. Bellamy is firing on all cylinders, get on the Rovers. Match Special: Bellamy to score two or more goals 13/2 Fulham v Man City Saturday 5th November 15.00 Fulham 7/5 | Draw 11/5 | Man City 8/5 Get on: Man City The last four meets between Fulham and Man City have all ended in a draw. The on fire Man City will end that run. Match Special: Andy Cole and Vassell both to score 8/1 Newcastle v Birmingham Saturday 5th November 15.00 Newcastle 8/13 | Draw 12/5 | Birmingham 4/1 Get on: Newcastle Newcastle are on a great roll, Steve Bruce is singing the Blues. Home banker. Match Special: Newcastle to score four or more goals 13/2 West Ham v West Brom Saturday 5th November 15.00 West Ham 8/11 | Draw 9/4 | West Brom 10/3 Get on: West Ham The Albion are at the foot of the recent form table, the Hammers are having trouble scoring. A hard fought low scoring home win is the solution. Match Special: West Ham to win 1-0 6/1 Portsmouth v Wigan Saturday 5th November 17.15 Live on Sky Portsmouth 5/4 | Draw 9/4 | Wigan 7/4 Get on: Draw Wigan have won 7 matches on the bounce in all competitions, but Pompey without Laurent Robert are an improving animal, score draw. Match Special: Dario Silva to score at any time 6/4 Everton v Middlesbrough Sunday 6th November 14.00 Everton 11/8 | Draw 11/5 | Middlesbrough 13/8 Get on: Middlesbrough Boro won at Goodison in the Carling Cup; after thrashing Man U, there is no argument against a repeat. Match Special: Middlesbrough to win 1-0 7/1 Man Utd v Chelsea Sunday 6th November 16.00 Live on Sky Man Utd 9/5 | Draw 11/5 | Chelsea 5/4 Get on: Chelsea Chelsea are the top dogs in England, United aren’t even the best team in Manchester. Away win. Match Special: Chelsea to score three or more goals 9/2 Bolton v Tottenham Monday 7th November 20.00 Live on Sky Bolton 11/8 | Draw 11/5 | Tottenham 13/8 Get on: Bolton It’s three clean sheets on the bounce for Bolton, Big Sam can edge the Champions League showdown. Match Special: Kevin Nolan to score the only goal of the game 45/1
Nigels Picks by Nigel RidgewayLAST WEEK - MAIN PICK BORO WON AT 7/2!
CHELSEA ARE VALUE AT 5/4
Su Nov 6 - 4.00 pm ko (SS1)
It's a sign of the times that United find themselves at a top-priced 11/5 with bet365 for their home game against Chelsea on Sunday. That's the first time United have been available at over treble-your-money odds to win a Premiership match at Old Trafford, but not too surprising considering their humbling loss to Boro last weekend (but no surprise to all the ‘in the game' readers who hopefully took my advice and lumped on at 7/2!).
At the Riverside, the weaknesses in the United side were displayed for all to see, and they can take no comfort from their home form either. They've won only once at home this season and, with the likes of Man City, Spurs and Blackburn all nicking points in Manchester, the trip will hold no fears for Chelsea. Chelsea have been guilty of some slack defending recently, but Mourinho won't allow that to happen here, and the 5/4 on Chelsea is the value bet of the match. Once the game goes live, don't forget to check out our 14 Live In-play markets.
Live Game Pick: Chelsea @ 5/4
CITY 9/1 TO FINISH ABOVE THE REDS
Such is United's form this season, they now find themselves below Manchester City in the standings, and we go 9/1 that City will finish above the Reds at the end of the campaign (1/33 Man Utd). With the Citizens looking vastly improved under Stuart Pearce, that price could have its backers, while the 12/1 for Ferguson to be the first top-flight manager to leave his club this term could also come under pressure depending on results this week. He's also 5/1 not to be manager of United on the final day of the season, with Martin O'Neill seen as the most likely replacement at 7/4.
Chelsea can be the cornerstone of our Premiership acca this weekend, along with Blackburn to beat Charlton at 13/10. The Addicks don't have don't have a great record at Ewood Park (lost five of their last seven visits), and could be without some key players. West Ham (5/6) should be too good for West Brom, while Newcastle can be backed with confidence at 8/13 to beat Birmingham. The Toon are unbeaten at home since the arrival of Michael Owen, who is 7/2 to open the scoring on Saturday (money back if he scores the last goal in the game instead!). A £25 acca on our four fancied teams pays out £402.31 for a £25 stake, which includes a bet365 (up to 60% available every weekend).
Suggested Premiership Acca:
Chelsea, Blackburn, Newcastle & West Ham - pays £402.31 (£25 stake)
Bet with bet365

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