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Football Betting Tips
by Ben, last updated 2011-08-12 14:23:13Premiership Weekend Betting tips
13th - 15th August 2011
13th August 2011Blackburn (2.2) Draw (3.4) Wolverhampton (3.75)
Blackburn secured their safety on the last day of last season by beating Wolves 3-2. Looks like this season is going to be another struggle for them. The new owners have not invested money in the team despite getting £17 million from the Phil Jones sale to Manchester United. Wolves have strengthened a bit by signing Jamie O'Hara and Roger Johnson. I thought they were very unlucky at times last season and maybe their league position didn't reflect how they played. Saying that, they'll probably struggle again this season. In terms of bets, I'm skipping this one. I think it will be 1X but can't really decide which one to go for.
Fulham (2.2) Draw (3.4) Aston Villa (3.8)
Fulham started their season in the Europa League last month. They drew 0-0 at Rnk Split and won the home leg 2-0. They'll want to build on last season's 8th position and have the squad to do it. Andy Johnson has looked good in preseason. Martin Jol is an experienced manager and I do rate him much better than Mark Hughes. Villa have let Ashley Young and Stewart Downing go and replaced them with Charles's N'Zogbia. Darren Bent is still there and hopefully can still get the goals despite his wingers being sold. McLeish played a real defensive game at Birmingham so it'll be good to see how he manages this counter attacking Villa side. Shay Given is also a great signing. I've always rated him as a goal keeper. Both games last season ended in draws and I can see this ending up the same. Its 3.4 at Betfred.
Liverpool (1.57) Draw (4.33) Sunderland (8)
Liverpool went on a mini run at the end of last season after Dalglish took over. With Charlie Adam, Jose Enrique and Stewart Downing signed, they'll be pushing for a Champions League place this season. No Gerrard for this game but the side looks strong enough without him. Sunderland have made several new signings the best probably is Craig Gardner. They needed it after the slide they went on towards the end of last season. I expect Sunderland to start strong and go through some massive dip which Steve Bruce's sides always seem to go on. In this game though, I can see Liverpool winning comfortably. 1.55 is actually pretty good in my opinion. Liverpool should be a top 4 side this season and Sunderland may well be one of the teams fighting it out down at the bottom again. It's 1.57 at bet365.
Queens Park Rangers (2.4) Draw (3.3) Bolton (3.3)
QPR breezed the Championship last season and probably are the best placed of the 3 sides that came up to stay up. They made some signings over the summer but no stars. Warnock is a good manager though and will get the best out of his players. Bolton went on a slide at the end of last season, losing the last 5 or so of their games. With Sturridge and Elmander gone they may struggle this season too. They signed Reo-Coker who will boost their side. I don't know who to pick in this game. I suppose if I had to pick I'd choose QPR because they are the home side and could have the new team bounce. The good thing about being a punter though is that you don't have to back every game.
Wigan (2.2) Draw (3.4) Norwich (3.75)
Wigan don't want a repeat of last season when they got hammered 4-0 by Blackpool. They lost their best player in Charles N'Zogbia to Villa. Inconsistency cost them lots last season. In the end, they stayed up by the skin of their teeth. I do have faith in Martinez to keep them up this season. Norwich came up as runners up in the Championship and scored the most goals in that league. They haven't made any significant signings to bolster their side so look like a Championship side. For the bet on this game, I am willing to take a chance on Norwich. Wigan have started slow in previous seasons and I think that 3.75 is a decent price at PaddyPower.
Newcastle (4) Draw (3.6) Arsenal (2.07)
Not a good summer for either side. Newcastle still haven't signed a replacement for Andy Caroll who left months ago. No significant new signing in the summer. They are actually my outside bet to go down this year. Trouble at Arsenal too. Fabregas and Nasri both are set to miss the game but Wenger denies that its because they are both leaving the club soon. They also have quite an injury list too. With Van Persie, Walcott, Diaby and Wiltshere all injured the Arsenal team that play might not be recognisable from last season. In terms of betting this is a tough one. Last season Newcastle took 4 points off Arsenal including that fabulous 4-4 draw. The sides are totally different this time round though. I'll skip this fixture or at least wait until I see the Arsenal team. If there are some familiar names in there I'll probably back Arsenal but without knowing who's playing its tough to pick a winner here.
14th August 2011
Stoke (6) Draw (3.8) Chelsea (1.7)
Stoke started their competitive season last month with an away game against Hajduk Split winning that 1-0 and winning the home leg 1-0 too. This might give them the fitness advantage here. Stoke have added to their squad by signing Woodgate and Upson but whether they both start is unknown. Chelsea have had a great pre-season winning all their games. Lampard is a slight doubt but Essien will definitely be out which is a massive blow. Torres looks like he's not playing due to a concussion which on his form is good for Chelsea. Drogba has excelled in previous seasons but I think he's getting old now and is past his best. Another tricky fixture to call this one. I guess that means I'll be on Stoke then. Would a cheeky 1-0 Stoke win be that much of surprise? Its 6.0 at VC Bet. Get a £25 free bet if you open an account.
West Brom (7) Draw (4.33) Manchester United (1.53)
West Brom finished the season strong last year after Roy Hodgson took over. They have strengthen their squad with Shane Long, Ben Foster and Zoltan Gera. They managed to keep hold of Odemwingie too who I do rate. If he keeps up his form from last season, they'll be pushing in to the top half of the table no problem. Manchester United looked brilliant against Manchester City last week in the Community Shield. Even at 2-0 down you sensed they were going to come back as they dominated the game. (I had a cheeky £10 at half time at 16/1). New keeper David de Gea could be a bit of a problem though. The 2 goals he let in would have probably been saved by van der sar. In terms of bets, I think the 1.53 is fair but I will go for 3 or more goals. I am expecting a 2-1, 3-1 for Manchester United. Overs is 1.73 at bet365.
15th August 2011
Manchester City (1.3) Draw (6) Swansea (13)
City played very negatively against Manchester United in the Community Shield. They were lucky to be leading 2-0 at half time. With their players they should be playing better football. This is a home game against one of the Premiership new boys. They really should be walking this game. Swansea look like they are going to struggle this season and are favourites to go down. They signed a couple of strikers in Danny Graham and Leroy Lita but I don't think they'll be able to cut it in the Premiership. If they do stay up, it'll not be by getting any points from the like of City. They'll need to beat the likes of QPR, Norwich and Wigan. I can only see one winner here. 1.3 is all you can really expect from a game like this. PaddyPower have got City to win to nil at 1.91 which will be my bet.
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