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Football Betting Tips
by Ben, last updated 2011-08-19 20:02:45Premiership Weekend Betting tips
20th - 22nd August 2011
20th August 2011
Sunderland (2.2) Draw (3.4) Newcastle (3.8)
Early kick off for the local derby. Sunderland played a great game against Liverpool. The thing with Sunderland these past couple of seasons is that they have started strong then gone off a cliff in terms of form. With only a few injuries they do look like they can finish top half this year. Newcastle looked pretty terrible against Arsenal. Even though Arsenal weren't taking many shots, you could see it was only a matter of time before Arsenal would score but luckily Joey Barton managed to get Gervinho sent off. That eased the pressure and got them a point. I still think Newcastle will struggle with their strike force this season. Home win for me. Its 2.2 at William Hill.
Arsenal (2.63) Draw (3.25) Liverpool (2.95)
When I first saw the price, I thought Arsenal was a nailed on bet. Looking in to it a bit more I can see why the price is high. They have lost arguably their captain to Barcelona and look like losing Nasri too. Gibbs, Djourou, Rosicky Traore, Wilshere and Diaby are all out as well as Song and Gervinho who are suspended. Arsenal haven't looked good this season with the 0-0 at Newcastle and 1-0 home win against Udinese. Plenty of pretty passes but no end product. Liverpool drew 1-1 with Sunderland last weekend. Suarez missed an early penalty which would have changed the game. Lots of money spent but I am not convinced that Liverpool have had the time to gel. No doubt at the end of the season these two teams will be battling it out for 4th place. At this moment in time, I can't really split them. 1-1 draws seem to be very common when these two teams meet. I guess the draw it it then. 3.25 at PaddyPower. Free £50 bet for new punters.
Aston Villa (1.75) Draw (3.6) Blackburn (6)
Villa played a tight defensive game at Fulham last weekend and got a 0-0. They only had one shot on target. It will be different this week at home though. I expect Bent or Heskey to get on the score sheet. Blackburn looked poor last weekend in their home defeat to Wolves. They lost players from last season and Steve Kean hasn't had the funds to replace them. Ryan Nelsen and Chris Samba should be back in defence this weekend but its not going to help them upfront. Jason Roberts and David Hoilett aren't going to get many goals this season. Its Villa for me at 1.75 at Totesport.
Everton (1.57) Draw (4) Queens Park Rangers (7.6)
First game of the season for Everton after last week's game was called off. No significant new signings there but they will have more or less the same squad that finished so strongly last season. The only worry is that Everton sometimes take a while to get started. It took 7 games before a win last season. QPR got a nice welcome to the Premier League with a 4-0 thrashing at the hands of Bolton. They still look like a Championship side but with new money coming in, they should be able to strengthen. In terms of betting, I am skipping this one. Too early to see what Everton will be like and QPR may pull something out of the bag to make up for last weekend.
Swansea City (2.2) Draw (3.4) Wigan (3.9)
Not a good start for Swansea. They were well and truly beat by City last weekend. It could have easily been more than 4-0. Swansea really need to sign a new striker. Daniel Graham and .Scott Sinclair aren't going to keep Swansea up. Wigan drew last weekend against Norwich. They look light weight up front too. Martinez has to decide whether to start a not fully fit Rodallega who can score goals. No real strong opinions on this game. Its tricky. I think the value is on the away win but no bet for me.
Chelsea (1.33) Draw (5.5) West Brom (12)
Chelsea looked disappointing last weekend at Stoke and had to settle for 0-0.Torres still not doing anything for them. Maybe this will be his game to shine. Chelsea knocked 4 past West Brom last season around this time. West Brom looked decent against Manchester United last weekend. They were too open to start but tightened things up. It wouldn't have surprised me if that game would have finished 1-1. If they play like that again they could get something from this game. Its yet to be seen if Stamford Bridge will be a fortress this year. I'll not be backing the 1.33 on the home win. Its quite likely but not a 1.33 at this stage of the season. 5.5 on the draw at bet365 is where the value is.
21st August 2011
Norwich (2.63) Draw (3.3) Stoke (2.92)
First home game of the season for Norwich. They did well to get a point at Wigan. Stoke are a better side than Wigan though. Stoke played a midweek game in Europe and won 1-0. Pullis is complaining about the lack of time to prepare for this fixture. Teams that aren't used to playing in Europe sometimes don't play as well at the weekend. I think that explains Norwich being slight favourites. Odds suggest the bookies can't separate them. I can't either. No result would be that much of a surprise so I'll leave this one.
Wolverhampton (2.4) Draw (3.3) Fulham (3.3)
Wolves beat Blackburn last weekend away 2-1. Kevin Doyle and Steven Fletcher played well in attack to get all 3 points from being 1-0 down. Fulham should be tougher competition than Blackburn though. Fulham had a midweek game in the Europa League beating Dnipro 3-0. Their season started a while ago and I should think this would give them an advantage over teams that only started last weekend. The problem with Fulham is that they tend not to win away from home. Maybe Jol will fix this but backing against Fulham away from home has been a punters gold mine. They do draw a lot though and that will be my pick. 3.3 at William Hill.
Bolton (5) Draw (3.6) Manchester City (1.85)
Bolton thrashed QPR 4-0 in the opener and sit joint top of the league with their opponents. QPR played like a Championship side though and look like they will struggle. Bolton really don't have any strong strikers. Davis scores a few but I can't see him getting anything against this City side. Aguero was a star for City last weekend in their 4-0 demolition of Swansea. He scored twice and set up Silva's goal. The whole team perked up when he came on. If they can pair him up with Tevez then they can win the league this season. The bookies have just about priced City right. I guess if this was Manchester United it would be about 1.6. Always the risk of the draw if City play defensively but I'll be backing City at VC Bet at 1.85.
22nd August 2011
Manchester United (1.67) Draw (4) Tottenham (6)
Manchester United weren't at their best against West Brom last weekend. They made punters sweat for their payout. Goal keeper David De Gea looked to be to blame for West Brom's goal. With Spurs likely to have more shots on target, De Gea could be United's weak point. The central defence of Vidic and Ferdinand are out but I am confident that their replacements will do as well. Its the keeper that worries me. We didn't see Spurs in action last weekend due to the game being called off. They managed to thrash Hearts 5-0 in the Europa League though. Scottish football isn't very strong though so I'll not read too much in to that. Every year, you get good odds on United beating Spurs at home and every year, United win. I'll not deviate from a winning formula. 1.67 for United at bet365.
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