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Weekend Football

by Ben, last updated 2006-01-17 22:33:14

Continuing my run of backing against Newcastle with out Owen, I recommend betting on Blackburn +0.25 Asian Handicap at bet365. Odds are 1.9 at the moment. I think this should be a +0 handicap with Newcastle as slight favourites. I've got on early to get this good price.

stakes 5/10

 Gerry's Picks

 By Gerry McDonnell

Up a creek, without a Kanu


Here's something for all you trivia buffs; Steven Spielberg's masterpiece ‘The Colour Purple' may well have been inspired by Sir Alex Ferguson. After last weeks derby shambles, Fergie's face was the brightest shade of purple since Barney overdosed on grapes and Ribena, in an unusually depressing episode of Barney & Friends. Somebody will pay for Fergie's bruised ego, that somebody is Liverpool.

The Scousers may be Champions of Europe, but they're still not amongst the domestic elite. Their recent form looks impressive at first glance, but dig a little deeper and you'll discover that their opposition were easier to beat than Joe Cole. Their record against the big 3 this season is dismal; played four, won zero. A wounded Man U are a dangerous animal and the Pool are easy prey. Get on at even money.

Bookmakers were excited to hear of the training ground spat between Van Nistelrooy and Ronaldo. One leading odds compiler immediately offered 8/13 Van Nistelrooy in the ruck; explaining that a horse should always be favoured over a one trick pony. Van the man should be backed at 5/4 to score against the Reds.

Arsenal are what is known in the betting industry as a nailed on, in the bag, raging certainty. After hitting Boro for seven, they travel to Goodison to play a side they walloped 7-0 just last year; the Gunners are the weekend nap at 8/13. Alexander Hleb broke his goal scoring duck for Arsenal last weekend, the RSPCA have been informed. Goals are like buses, the Belarusian is 9/2 to repeat the feat against the Toffeemen.

Sam Allardyce was not a happy bunny after last weeks draw with Blackburn, he whipped out a set of stats that suggested Mike Riley favoured the team playing at home. Next week; Big Sam hints that the Earth may revolve around the Sun. Here's another obvious fact, get on Bolton at 6/5 to beat Man City. Trevor Sinclair believes that scoring a goal is better than sex, he must know my wife. Trevor's boys will find goals hard to come by at the Reebok, back Bolton to keep a clean sheet at 7/4.

West Brom are odds on for relegation, their best player is away at the African Nations Cup and they blew a 2-0 lead against a Championship team before being booted out of the FA Cup in midweek. The better bettor knows the first rule in Premiership punting is to avoid Sunderland; at 4/1 against a depleted West Brom, meet the exception to the rule.

It's been a turbulent couple of weeks for Joe Cole, the future of English football. First, Jose threatened to drop him from the first team due to showboating; then a misunderstanding over a page 3 model led to Cole receiving two black eyes. Young Joe may have had his knockers, but he's worth an interest at 13/8 to score against Charlton, or at 7/1 to bag a nice pair.

A pensioner from Tyne & Wear passed on last week after Newcastle lost away at Fulham. I was shocked to hear that Graeme Souness' team selection was a factor; the police said it was an assisted Souey side. Some doubt the existence of zombies; yet Souness is undoubtedly a dead man walking. Blackburn have this Toon nailed; get on at 9/5.

The always popular weekend specials return.

"Big brother" - Gary Neville to score with a header 50/1
"Celebrity big brother" - Rio Ferdinand to score with a header 22/1
"Barry Moore" - Gareth Barry and Luke Moore both to score 20/1
"Pool Balls" - Liverpool not to score 5/4

Quote of the week:

"You f...... cheating b......, you'll need a police escort to get out of here."

Sir Alex Ferguson is quite amiable to Steve Bennett.

Gibberish of the week:

"They've got injuries to come back, which they'll obviously be looking forward to and are desperate for."

Graeme Le Saux loses the plot.

Stat, you're a liberty:

The busiest goal keeper in the Premiership is...Thomas Sorensen. The Villa keeper has made 72 saves in the Premiership, a whopping 10% clear of his nearest rival, Shay Given.

Acc of the week:

Arsenal, Birmingham, Man Utd and a Middlesbrough draw make the weekend accer; the 4 fold pays 19/1.

Weekend Betting:

Everton v Arsenal Saturday 21st January 12.45 Live on Premiership Plus

Everton 7/2
Draw 13/5
Arsenal 8/13

Get on: Arsenal

Arsenal have won their last four matches against the Toffees, scoring 16 goals in the process. They've warmed up nicely for this one.
Match Special:
Thierry Henry to score a hat-trick 14/1

Birmingham v Portsmouth Saturday 21st January 15.00

Birmingham 10/11
Draw 9/4
Portsmouth 5/2

Get on: Birmingham

Birmingham's last three matches at St Andrew's were Fulham, Wigan and Man U, the Blues earned seven points. It's five consecutive defeats away from home in the league for Pompey.
Match Special:
Birmingham to win 1-0 6/1

Bolton v Man City Saturday 21st January 15.00

Bolton 6/5
Draw 11/5
Man City 15/8

Get on: Bolton

It's two clean sheets on the bounce for Bolton; City have taken one point out of a possible nine on the road in recent weeks. A home win is the answer.
Match Special:
Stelios to score at any time 15/8

Middlesbrough v Wigan Saturday 21st January 15.00

Middlesbrough 6/5
Draw 9/4
Wigan 9/5

Get on: Draw

Boro are without a league win since November, it's three league defeats on the bounce for the Latics; a paint dryer awaits.
Match Special:
No Goalscorer in the match 8/1

Newcastle v Blackburn Saturday 21st January 15.00

Newcastle 6/5
Draw 9/4
Blackburn 9/5

Get on: Blackburn

Newcastle's recent form is dire; they've earned just 1 point out of 12. It's seven matches unbeaten in all competitions for Blackburn, you can't argue with those stats.
Match Special:
Pedersen to score at any time 2/1

Tottenham v Aston Villa Saturday 21st January 15.00

Tottenham 8/13
Draw 12/5
Aston Villa 4/1

Get on: Aston Villa

Tottenham have lost their last two matches, including a capitulation to a mediocre Leicester side. It's only one defeat in six matches for the Villa; I smell value.
Match Special:
Aston Villa to score two or more goals 10/3

West Brom v Sunderland Saturday 21st January 17.15 Live on Premiership Plus

West Brom 4/7
Draw 13/5
Sunderland 4/1

Get on: Sunderland

Sunderland's recent form is better than the bare stats suggest. They've lost three of the last four, but all by a single goal. The Baggies equalised in the 90th minute at the Stadium of Light, revenge will be sweet for the Mackems.
Match Special:
Julio Arca to score at any time 9/2

Chelsea v Charlton Sunday 22nd January 13.30 Live on Sky

Chelsea 1/6
Draw 9/2
Charlton 12/1

Get on: Chelsea

It's ten consecutive league victories for Chelsea; Charlton have lost their last four matches on their travels in the league. It's definitely not brain surgery.
Match Special:
Chelsea to score a penalty 6/1

Man Utd v Liverpool Sunday 22nd January 16.00 Live on Sky

Man Utd Evs
Draw 2/1
Liverpool 5/2

Get on: Man Utd

United have won their last three league matches at Old Trafford by three or more goals. Arsenal and Chelsea have both seen great runs of form end at Old Trafford; a similar fate awaits Liverpool.
Match Special:
Van Nistelrooy to score two or more goals 11/2

West Ham v Fulham Monday 23rd January 20.00 Live on Sky

West Ham Evs
Draw 9/4
Fulham 9/4

Get on: Draw

The Hammers have won their last two on the road, but lost their last four at Upton Park. Fulham are magnificent at home but useless away. Something's gotta give.
Match Special:
Match to finish 2-2 14/1


 Nigels Picks

 by Nigel Ridgeway

REDS ON THE RISE AT TASTY 21/10
Man United v Liverpool
Su Jan 22 - 3.00 ko (SS1)
Chelsea have all but wrapped up the title, but this game will tell us more about who will finish second, and it's Liverpool who are fancied to come away with the points at a tasty 21/10. They may be a point behind their rivals in the table but they have two games in hand, and are assembling an impressive run of wins and clean sheets. They've won 11 of their last 12 league games (drawn the other one), and have only conceded three goals. They've also had three 1-0 wins here in five seasons, and another one looks on the cards. Should they win the game, they'll be a lot shorter than the current Evens in our ‘Without Chelsea' market. Once the game goes live, don't forget to check out our 14 'In-Play' markets.

Live Game Picks:

Liverpool to beat Man United @ 21/10
Liverpool to win 1-0 @ 7/1


CITY UP FOR IT AT 21/10
Bolton v Man City
Live betting - Sa Jan 21 - 3.00 ko
Friday sees the start of the 2006 African Cup, much to the inconvenience of various Premiership managers, who are having to cope with key players being taken away from them. In particular, Sam Allardyce, who's been hit hard by the loss of Jaidi, Okocha, Faye and Diouf. He suffered another blow when Hidetoshi Nakata was sent off against Blackburn last week, leading to his suspension for the game against Man City this weekend. That leaves the Trotters (available at 5/4) with a severely depleted squad, and we can take advantage by backing City at 21/10. Much has been made about City's decline recently, but the 3-1 win over United could see a reversal in their fortunes, and they'll be up for another Lancashire derby.

Man City to beat Bolton at 21/10

bet365




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